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Why did Labour win the 1964 election?
Wilsons Leadership
Attitudes to conservatives
Liberal Revival
Social Change
Home’s leadership
Attitude to Labour
Why did Labour win the 1964 election?
Factor 1: Wilsons Leadership
Party seemed united as Wilson brought over left-wing rebels expelled under Gaitskell
Presented as a modern, progressive man - broke off from Etonian leaders - seen as Yorkshire -born average man (despite teaching econ at Oxford)
Promoted economic growth, YFE and welfare, more housing and better education
Exploited scandals such as Profumo affair - contrasted Home
But
lost votes from 1959 - more of a rejection of Tories
many distrusted Labour due to TU links
Internal divisions not unsolved
Middle class disliked commitment to nationalisation
Inexperience of ministers
Why did Labour win the 1964 election?
Factor 2: Attitudes to Conservatives
Blamed for increasing economic issues
No answers to rising unemployment & inflation
Out of touch with modern society - Home - aristocratic Etonian
Sex scandals (Vassall, Profumo)
But
Home surprised most - came across honest and modest - Wilson had rep for politically cunning
Tac cuts - Maudling - cut taxes in 1963 & unemployment fell form 900,000 to 300,000 from Feb 1963 to July 1964- gave opinion poll lead in summer
Overturned some areas in working class due to stance on immigration - Smethwick
Why did Labour win the 1964 election?
Factor 3: Liberal Revival
Middle class identified with neither
Revived 1962
Overturned 14,200 Tory majority in Orpington by-election in 1962
Had more investment, publicity and new talent
Only gained 3 seats but doubled vote (9seats)
Labour one even fell - so taking votes from Tories - critical
Why did Labour win the 1964 election?
Factor 4: Change in British society in 1950s
Rise in culture - satire making fun of politician - That was the Week that was, Private eye → less respect for tradition and culture
Labour benefited - opinion polls - did better in under 44
Grammar schools - underprivileged could exceed and gain new opportunities - drive for classless Britain
Issues Wilson faced as PM
Labour majority only 4 seats
Party promise of modernising society needed to be fulfilled
Foreign and colonial issues
Senior govt. figures didnt get on
Economy
Wilson’s strengths
Intelligent/hard working/ detailed memory
Optimistic, resilient, patient and calm in crisis
Kind, generous and charming
Distrusted party ideology - pragmatic solutions
Compromised
Accepted both wings of party
How effective was Wilson’s leadership
Parliament majority
Increased majority in 1966 from 4 to 96 - appeared purposeful and avoided divisions, and made Heath seem ponderous
Labour Unity
Avoided major divisions, united in opinion over Europe (failed)
Cabinet Management
Avoided split on foreign issues & modernised social policy
Gave ministerial roles to MPs with range of opinions - not just supporters
Only 4 govt. resignations during time in office
BUT often quarrels of personalities
Reform of industrial relations - 1969 cabinet fighting
Social Reform
Increased prosperity - lower class divisions and people travelled more
More education and SofL improved, demand for equality, Open Uni for adults, new Comprehensive system (caused controversy)
Maintained promise of 1963 Robbins Report
BUT Traditionalists outraged - promiscuous society
Support for death penalty
Weak at preventing discrimination (Race Relations Act)
Foreign/Colonial Issues
US Relations damaged (refusal to send troops to Vietnam and 1966 publicly criticised heavy bombing and 1967 failed at trying to broker peace)
Failed to get De Gaulle to allow entrance to EEC - veto repeated 1967 - but got party unity over Europe
Poor tactic of economic sanctions of Rhodesia & tried to negotiate majority rule with Ian Smith - - risked unity of labour and commonwealth- failed luckily
How did Wilson transform British society in 1964-70
Social Reform
Increased prosperity - lower class divisions and people travelled more
More education and SofL improved, demand for equality, Open Uni for adults, new Comprehensive system (caused controversy)
Maintained promise of 1963 Robbins Report
BUT Traditionalists outraged - promiscuous society
Support for death penalty
Weak at preventing discrimination (Race Relations Act) - hard to make convictions
Tightened rules on immigration 1965 + 1968
New comprehensive system
Maintained commitment to Robbins Report - believed in scientific and tech advances
Oct 1967 - abortion legalised
Junes 1967 - contraceptive poll available by NHS
May 1970 - Equal pay
Economic issues for Labour (1964)
Conserves. left BofP deficit - £800m
Labour wanted firms to invest in new tech to increase efficiency and increase workers wages to incentivise productivity
Govt NEEDED to:
Improve transport network
Invest in nationalised industries
Ensure well trained workforce
Trade Union Relations 1964 contributions to poor economic performance
BAD
Inflation - Union leaders threatened strikes to demand wage increases
Wanted higher wages and resisted pay freezes
But
High Labour Unit Costs = high price for goods = less exports = BofP worsens
*Labour had to listen to TU - 60% workforce TU members!
1964 economic policy?
DEFLATION
Callaghan (chancellor of the exchequer) negotiated forge in loans to stop a run of the pound - in return British support in Asia of USA - Borneo to defend commonwealth and help in Vietnam
Increased taxes on tobacco and alcohol
Import surcharge temporarily
Economic policy 1965
DEA - Dept. Of Economic Affairs created
The National Plan - Set to improve economy
Targets → annual growth of 3.8% over 6 years and increase in exports 5.25% each year
NBPI - National Board for Prices and Income - ensure wages only increased if productivity did and gave investment funds for modernisation → but had NO POWER
Treasury didn’t work with DEA and NBPI had no power
DEA closed 1969 (helped win 1966 election as it seemed DEA had a plan)
BofP deficit reduced
What economic policy occurred in 1967?
DEVALUATION
A lowering of the value of the pound - helps deficit as exports increase
Still economic difficulty and strike action (seaman strike over pay and working hours) - damaged British exports
Autumn 1967 - 2.5 M unemployed, deficit growing
Pound devalues 18th Nov from $2.80 to $2.40
Trade figures improved slowly but still a deficit
Deflationary measures still needed alongside devaluation
By 1968, chancellor of the exchequer Jenkins - still needed £923m to deal with situation
Wilsons economic record
+ signs of improvement - surplus, IR reduces, £ appreciated
+motorways built in N. England
+ Manufacturing encouraged in South Wales, Scotland, Merseyside, etc
- Labour as short-sighted as Conservs.
-Rate of inflation NOT slowed
-Higher unemployment
-share of world exports declines from 25% to 11% (1950-70)
-Lots spent on military - not spent elsewhere
-TU strike actions
-No continual industrial productivity - deflationary pressures
How successful was the economic policy of labour 194-70?
Deflation
National Plan
Devaluation
Labours response to TU’s
1968 - press criticised Wilson - not controlling unions
Barbara Castle (left wing Labour) Ministry of Employment and Productivity leader - ‘In Place of Strife’
Said
Employees have right to join a union
Govt. could order a ballot before a strike - if believed threat to national interest
28 day cooling period If dispute unofficial
Disputes between unions could be referred to an industrial commission (legally binding decisions)
Financial penalties of decisions NOT obeyed
Workers unfairly dismissed entitles to compensation or job back
Consequences of ‘In Place of Strife’
FAILED
Trade Union Congress and many Labour MPs disliked it
Resistance led by James Callaghan (Home Secretary)
50+ MPs rebelled when debated in HofC
Over time ‘white collar’ employment grew - private sector discourages TU’s so TU industry declined
How far do you agree that Wilson was an effective PM?
Economic Policy
Industrial Relations
Issues such as cabinet, foreign policy, social issues
Why did Labour lose the 1970 election?
Labour weaknesses
Conservative strengths
Labour Weaknesses
Wilson’s Complacency
Too relaxed - expecting to win after 51% approval ratings
Trade figures released day before election - damaged Wilsons claims of the economy mending
Disillusionment of Labour Supporters
Labour supporters refused to vote
Party membership fell from 830,000 in 1964 to 680,000 in 1970 - number of local activists declined
Party too right wing:
Party too supportive of USA
Too much spent on defence - not enough on welfare - health and education
Policy to keep £’s value - only benefitted London + USA
W.c made poorer
Abandoned commitment to socialism/ WC interests (In Place of Strife)
Failure of ‘In Place of Strife’
Sign of govt failures to improve and modernise Britain
Conservative Strengths
Conservative proposals
APPEALING
Join EEC
Attempts to control prices and income by law would end
Less state intervention - especially if firms loss-making
Reform IR’s - decrease strikes causing disruption and inflationary pay settlements
* Wilson tried to mock these policies however only drew attention to his own policies novelty
Health’s leadership
Attacked Labour economic policies
Inflation increased by 31% by RPI and unemployment increased by over 200,000
Press afforded win to Heath’s ‘guts and leadership’
When Powell challenged leadership in shadow cabinet - sacked - showed authority and MPs rallied behind Heath - United despite thousands of letters of criticism
How successful was Heath as PM
Aims:
Joining EEC
Industrial Relations
Less State Intervention
Strengthen Economy
How successful was Heath as PM
Economy
Inflation inherited at 5% - left at 10%
No change in unemployment
Days lost to strikes in 4 years double that of Wilsons 6 years
But during ‘economic blizzard’ - his fault?
Inherited surplus budget - left a deficit
How successful was Heath as PM
Joining EEC
Successfully joins 1st Jan 1973 - both parties still divided
De Gaulle left - Pompidou wanted them to join (on french terms)
Labour officially opposed but 69 MPs defied and voted in favour - Gave Heath majority
heath felt EEC would govt better access to markets and competition would stimulate modernisation and development
39 conservs opposed
Critics said:
Britain had to sacrifice preferential trade with Commonwealth
Had to accept EECs policies/ heavy subsidies to french farmers
Little impact on short term economic progress
How successful was Heath as PM
Industrial Relation Act
Industrial Relations Act - Aug 1971
Aimed to Balance rights of individuals and those in unions
Workers had legal right to join or not a TU
National Industrial Relations Court (NIRC) and Industrial Relations Commission (IRC) established
TU had to register with NIRC and IRC - would have better rights of recognition by employers
Members of registered unions - better protection against unfair dismissal
Unregistered TU - liable for claims for damages
Act gave govt power to order pre-strike ballot and 60 day cooling-off period
Failed - unpopular - similar to In place of strife
TUC told members to de-register
Act increased bitterness of confrontations between unions and employers
Complicated TUC negotiations with Heath over r wages and prices
Union leaders militant in early 1970s hoped to destroy IR act and Heaths govt
Dock workers legal judgement - released home despite refusing to appear to NIRC - undermined credibility
How successful was Heath as PM
Industrial relations
less successful than Wilson
Frequent strikes due to anger over IR act & inflation
Why was inflation such an issue
Damaged real wages - SofL
1971 - Nixon ended system of fixed ER (since WW2 to stop devalue of dollar making British exports more expensive)
1972 - £ allowed to float freely - poor industrial performance caused depreciation - imports more costly
Commodity prices ribose - raw materials, furl, food
Heath govt tried to stimulate growth - cut taxes + increased public spending - 1972 budget especially - higher AD - pushed up prices
Miners Strike Jan-Feb 1972
Wanted 47% pay rise - National Coal Board offered 8%
Jan 1972 - 280,000 miners strikes - govt declared state of emergency - regular power cuts
Why were they successful?
Scargill & miners organised - co-ordinated flying pickets
Violent incidents - Saltley coke depot in Birmingham - 15,000 massed pickets successfully stopped fuel leaving depot - didn’t damage public sympathy either
Govt poorly organised - severe winter
Damaging to govt
Encouraged other orders to strike for more pay
Added to inflationary pressures
Govt looked weak
Failure of IR act shown
How successful was Heath as PM
U-turns
Jan 1971 - Rolls-Royce aircraft division nationalised - ‘vital’ to defence industry
Heath not prepared for unemployment to rise due to govt policy
Feb 1972 granted £35m to Upper Cycle Shipbuilders - save 3000 jobs
New Ministry for Industrial Development set up April - provided aid to industry in deprived regions to stimulate growth and reduce unemployment
Statutory policies Nov 1972 - to regulate price and pat increases - destroyed by oil price shock Oct 1973
Oil price shock - Oct 1973
Egypt and Syria - war with Isreal - cut supplies and x4 prices to west - perceived Western support for Isreal
Nov 1973 - miners began overtime ban for more pay
Heath tried negotiation with leaders - failed - militant miner told Heath aim was to destroy his govt
13th Dec - State of emergency declared - 3-day working week from 31st Dec
Electricity provided to industry and businesses only on 3 days a week
50mph on roads to save petrol
TV shut 10:30 curfew each night
1974 election
Conservs - 37.9% - 297 seats
Labour - 37.1% - 301 seats
How did Wilson and Callaghan deal with Industrial relations 1974- 1979
Social Contract - Unions agreed to cooperate in trying to control wage increases, govt promised to try keep prices down and provide better welfare benefits, return to free collective bargaining over wages + no statutory incomes policy
Didn’t resolve nations economic difficulties - wage increased still exceeded inflation - cynics suggested the ‘only give and take in the social contract was that the government gave and the unions took’
Opinion poll - Jack Jones - leader of the transport workers unions seen as most powerful man in the country
SC suggested TU and govt had some shared objectives - cooperation lasted till winter 1978
How did Wilson and Callaghan deal with The minority govt
hard to pass laws
help Oct 1974 election - 319 seats - gain of 18
Won nearly 200,000 less voted
How did Wilson and Callaghan deal with Party divisions 1974-79?
Move to the left - Micheal Foot - Dept of employment and Tony Benn - Secretary of State for industry
Europe - Wilson promised to re-negotiate terms of EEC + hold a referendum on the issue
Contributions to EEC budget reduced - terms announced march 1975 - referendem for June 5th 1975 - Wilson gave cabinet ministers freedom to campaign for either side
2:1 votes in favour of continued membership
How did Wilson and Callaghan deal with Economic difficulties - stagflation?
Miners strike 1974 settled by 27% pay rise - inflation nearly 30% by 1975 - fuelled higher wage calls - etc
World recession hit exports + EG
Unemployment increased from 542,000 1974 to 1.3m in 1976
Healy (C. Of the exchequer) new dependence on recovery on inflation
1975 budget raised taxes + cut govt spending - reduce money circulation - lower prices
July 1975 - formal incomes policy - set £6 per week ceiling on wage increases, a freeze on higher incomes - TUC reluctantly agreed - opposed by left wing MPs
1975 - changed to £4 a week - gradual fall in average level of wage increases from 26% in 1975 to 15% 1976 and 10% 1977
Inflation dropped but no recovery - poor productivity and high costs - no boost in exports and still high imports - BofP deficit
1976 - severe crisis of confidence of the pound - falling value threatened competitiveness and worsen inflation (high import price)
Band of England bought pounds on foreign exchange - prop up value - threatened use of reserves - threat of national bankruptcy
IMF loan 1976
$3900m loan - had to cut £2b in spending
Lib-Lab pact 1977-8
Nov 1976 - Tories 25% lead in an opinion poll → by election losses gave slim majority in Commons weakened
March 1977 - Callaghan negotiated deal with Lib leader Steel
Winter of discontent
1978-9
Unions disliked Healys policies - wage increase caps at 5% - TU felt they’d abandoned the Social Contract and that they had disproportionately suffered
Dec - Ford workers won 15% pay rise over a 3-month strike
Followed by lorry drivers demanding 30% rise - caused petrol shortage and deliveries affected
More strikes + overtime bans after the National Union of Public Employees wanted a 40% pay increase - rubbish piled, graves not dug - visual impact for press - unsympathetic to Labour and unions
Callaghan seemed out of touch and complacent - West Indies holiday in Jan - ‘CRISIS WHAT CRISIS?’ Headline
Strikes settled with pay increases - Labour seemed out of control - TU too much power