Topic 8: Human Populations

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consequences of exponential growth

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1

consequences of exponential growth

  • increased demand for food/water/land

  • demand for food → raising livestock → deforestation

  • loss of habitat endangers species

  • loss of forest degrades air/water quality

  • congested areas promote spread of disease

  • more pollutants released

  • more waste generated

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2

crude birth rate (CBR)

number of live births per 1,000 people in a population per year

CBR = births / population * 1,000

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3

crude death rate (CDR)

number of live deaths per 1,000 people in a population per year

CDR = deaths / population * 1,000

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4

natural increase rate (NIR)

rate of population growth, not accounting for immigration of emigration; percentage

NIR = (CBR - CDR) / 10

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5

doubling time (DT)

time (years) for a population to double

DT = 70 / NIR

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6

replacement level fertility

the number of children a couple must have to replace them (2.1)

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7

total fertility rate (TFR)

estimate of the average number of children a woman will have per year, if she passes through her childbearing years conforming to the age-specific fertility rates of a given year

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8

TFR > replacement level

population growth

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9

TFR < replacement level

zero/negative growth

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10

contributing factors to total fertility rate (TFR)

  • urbanization

  • increasing opportunities for women

  • reduce infant mortality rate

  • delay women’s age when she first gives birth

  • pensions for retirees

  • availability of abortions & birth control

  • avoiding dogmatic religion & tradition statutes

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11

factors that reduce death rates:

  • urbanization (more resources/medicine)

  • better healthcare

  • increased access to food

  • sanitation and potable water

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12

first stage of the demographic transition model (DTM)

  • ex: a few remote groups

  • CBR: high

  • CDR: high

  • increase: stable/slow

  • reasons for changing birth rate:

    • children work

    • high infant mortality rate

    • religion/societal pressures

    • no family planning resources

  • reasons for changing death rate:

    • disease/famine

    • little to no medical care

<ul><li><p>ex: a few remote groups</p></li><li><p>CBR: high</p></li><li><p>CDR: high</p></li><li><p>increase: stable/slow</p></li><li><p>reasons for changing birth rate:</p><ul><li><p>children work</p></li><li><p>high infant mortality rate</p></li><li><p>religion/societal pressures</p></li><li><p>no family planning resources</p></li></ul></li><li><p>reasons for changing death rate:</p><ul><li><p>disease/famine</p></li><li><p>little to no medical care</p></li></ul></li></ul>
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13

second stage of the demographic transition model (DTM)

  • ex: Egypt, Kenya, India

  • CBR: high

  • CDR: falling rapidly

  • increase: rapid

  • reasons for changing birth rate:

    • children work

    • high infant mortality rate

    • religion/societal pressures

    • no family planning resources

  • reasons for changing death rate:

    • medical care

    • good water/sanitation

    • more children live

<ul><li><p>ex: Egypt, Kenya, India</p></li><li><p>CBR: high</p></li><li><p>CDR: falling rapidly</p></li><li><p>increase: rapid</p></li><li><p>reasons for changing birth rate:</p><ul><li><p>children work</p></li><li><p>high infant mortality rate</p></li><li><p>religion/societal pressures</p></li><li><p>no family planning resources</p></li></ul></li><li><p>reasons for changing death rate:</p><ul><li><p>medical care</p></li><li><p>good water/sanitation</p></li><li><p>more children live</p></li></ul></li></ul>
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14

third stage of the demographic transition model (DTM)

  • ex: Brazil

  • CBR: falling

  • CDR: falls slowly

  • increase: slower

  • reasons for changing birth rate:

    • more medicine/food

  • reasons for changing death rate:

    • medical care

    • good water/sanitation

    • more children live

<ul><li><p>ex: Brazil</p></li><li><p>CBR: falling</p></li><li><p>CDR: falls slowly</p></li><li><p>increase: slower</p></li><li><p>reasons for changing birth rate:</p><ul><li><p>more medicine/food</p></li></ul></li><li><p>reasons for changing death rate:</p><ul><li><p>medical care</p></li><li><p>good water/sanitation</p></li><li><p>more children live</p></li></ul></li></ul>
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15

fourth stage of the demographic transition model (DTM)

  • ex: US, Japan, UK

  • CBR: low

  • CDR: low

  • increase: stable/slow

  • reasons for changing birth rate:

    • urbanization

    • healthcare

    • family planning

  • reasons for changing death rate:

    • healthcare

    • reliable food source

<ul><li><p>ex: US, Japan, UK</p></li><li><p>CBR: low</p></li><li><p>CDR: low</p></li><li><p>increase: stable/slow</p></li><li><p>reasons for changing birth rate:</p><ul><li><p>urbanization</p></li><li><p>healthcare</p></li><li><p>family planning</p></li></ul></li><li><p>reasons for changing death rate:</p><ul><li><p>healthcare</p></li><li><p>reliable food source</p></li></ul></li></ul>
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16

age-gender pyramids

shows the proportion of the population, by sex, at each for different age levels

<p>shows the proportion of the population, by sex, at each for different age levels</p>
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17

How do predictions made about population growth by age structure diagrams influence economic decisions?

  • pensions

  • social security

  • job competition

  • more people = more consumers = greater need for jobs

  • large population provides a taxable base for supporting retirees

  • more people = greater environmental footprint

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18

factors contributing to population growth

  • universal access to family planning

  • better healthcare for pregnant women/children

  • equality- more opportunities for women

  • increased access to education

  • increased involvement in child-rearing for men

  • eradicate poverty

  • sustainable use of natural resources

  • cultural attitudes about family size

  • government policies

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19

abiotic factors

  • light

  • temperature

  • nutrient level

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20

biotic growth factors

  • high reproductive rates

  • generalized niche

  • adequate food supply

  • suitable to habitat

  • ability to compete for resources

  • ability to hide/defend from predators

  • ability to migrate/live in other habitats

  • ability to adapt to environmental change

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21

biotic decrease factors

  • low reproductive rate

  • specialized niche

  • inadequate food supply

  • unsuitable/destroyed habitat

  • too many competitors

  • can’t run/hide from predators

  • can’t resist disease/parasites

  • can’t migrate

  • can’t adapt to environmental change

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