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what is causing sea level rise
glaciers and ice sheets melting and adding water into ocean, volume of ocean expanding as water warms
how much carbon is land biosphere carbon
2100 GtC
what are the annual fluxes of carbon from the bioshpere
mostly from photosynthesis and respiration, in dynamic equilibrium 110-130 GtC, 1400 GtC from permafrost
how much carbon is stored within the ocean
mixed layer 900 GtC, deep ocean 37000 GtC
what are the annual fluxes of carbon from the ocean
co2 easily dissolves in water, mixed layer 60-80 GtC per year, deep ocean 100 GtC per year
how much carbon is currently stored in the atmosphere
885 GtC
what is the annual flux rate of carbon stored in rocks
0.1 GtC, volcanoes and chemical weathering
what is the alternative pathway for rock carbon exchange
via the biosphere, once living organisms die and become buried, humans then extract and burn to produce energy
how are humans interfering with the carbon cycle via rocks
fossil fuels burned, co2 and water vapor released into atmosphere 9.8x faster per year
how are humans interfering with the carbon cycle via land
land use changes add another 1.4 GtC per year
how are humans interfering with the carbon cycle via biosphere
taking in carbon 2.4x faster due to human activity leading to increased photosynthesis
how are humans interfering with the carbon cycle via the ocean
taking in carbon 3.2x faster, warming of water leads to higher solubility
according to the Mauna Loa observatory how much Co2 is in the atmosphere as of right now
429ppm
what is the solar constant in w/m2
1360 w/m2
define the solar constant
sun emits 380 septillion watts of power in all directions, it is distributed over a larger volume as you move further and further away
how much insolation is received at the top of the atmosphere on average in a location
340 w/m2
what percent of insolation received by the atmosphere is absorbed by earths surface
47%
what are the different fates of insolation
absorption by atmosphere, scattering/reflection, and transmission
absorption of insolation
atmosphere slightly warmed, different air molecules absorb different wavelengths of radiation
reflection of insolation
radiation makes contact with surface, reflected away without being absorbed, doesn’t produce heat in climate system, amount reflected relies on albedo, some radiation may be diffused
transmission of insolation
neither absorbed/scattered/reflected, directly transmitted through to surface
define radiative forcing
instantaneous change in energy balance for the planet caused by a forcing agent
define committed warming
unavoidable global temperature change that will happen due to earths energy budget still not being balanced
what are positive feedbacks
a process whereby an initial change sets off a chain reaction of events that reinforces that initial change, ice albedo, permafrost methane, and water vapor
define climate sensitivity
the estimated temperature response to changes in radiative forcing that incorporates feedback and time lags
define arctic amplification
the arctic is warming at about twice the average rate for the entire globe
RF of greenhouse gasses
co2, ch4, n2o, halocarbons, o3, stratospheric water vapor; overall positive
RF of aerosols
interact with sunlight/outgoing LW radiation, overall negative, sulfate highly reflective
RF of volcanoes
emit lots of sulfur aerosols directly into stratosphere, lifetime can be a few years, slight cooling for 2-3 years, negative
RF of carbon
dark soot leads to lowered albedo, positive
RF of mineral dust
wind blown dirt/sand, about 20% human, negative
how do we know that GHGs are the primary driver of climate change
emissions volume correlation, atmospheric oxygen trend, fingerprinting co2 source using isotopes
what is carbon fingerprinting
plants prefer carbon 12 over carbon 13, if burned plants will release carbon 12 rich co2, measure of annual c12/c13 ratio of atmospheric co2, decreasing ratio means co2 increase is coming from plant sources not volcanoes or oceans
how do we know that the sun isn’t the cause of rising temperatures
proxy records indicate changes in solar output amount to insignificant change of RF, stratosphere cooling, satellite measurements show no change between solar outputs and temperature
what is the urban heat island
areas tend to be warmer on average due to the built environment asphalt, metal, and tall buildings, dramatically changes albedo and latent heat flux
UHIs different from climate change
they are caused by land use cover changes but not GHGs, localized effect
UHIs relation to climate change
warmer global temps means warmer urban temps, cooling strategies can help pops adapt to warmer temps, disproportionate amount of GHG emissions from cities
what is the ozone hole
primarily caused by CFCs, human made chemical, once they reach stratosphere they release chlorine which breaks down leading to depleted area, causes increased UV-B radiation to surface
ozone relation to climate change
human activity leads to bad environmental impacts, CFCs both deplete and are a GHG
what is air pollution
introduction of directly unhealthy gasses or particulates into the atmosphere due to human activity, primary and secondary sources,
air pollution relation to climate change
some but not all are GHGs, both contribute to warming and health issues
how is the cryosphere a climate indicator
portion of earths surface where water is in solid form, matches temperature records, extent of melt and decreasing thickness is global
how are the ice sheets a climate indicator
cumulative changes in mass, antarctic and greenland, greenland decreasing much faster
how are sea levels a climate indicator
levels have risen 200m and rate of rising is increasing, now 4mm per year
how is humidity a climate indicator
rising primarily due to global temperature rise, atmosphere can hold more water vapor
what are some other climate indicators
change in season length, number of heating degree days v. cooling, shifting plant hardiness zone
how do clouds interact with the rest of the climate system
interact in 2 opposite ways with energy, reflective and insolating, tops reflect lots of incoming solar radiation, absorb heat energy trying to get out
how do aerosols impact clouds
act as condensation nuclei, water vapor condenses around to form water droplets, higher amounts lead to more smaller cloud droplets which changes the reflectivity of the cloud, remain higher in atmosphere
why are clouds so hotly debated among climate researchers
they are difficult to stimulate but highly important
how might clouds impact temperatures in the future
current research states positive feedback by 0.6 w/m2