Population
a collection of individual items (of interest)
What is a census
observation/measure of every member of a population
What is a sample?
A selection of observations taken from a subset of the population
What is the purpose of a sample?
To find out information about the population as a whole
What are the advantages of a census?
should give completely accurate result
What are the disadvantages of a census?
time consuming and expensive
cannot be used when testing as it destroys the product
can be hard to process large quantities of data
What are the advantages of samples?
less time consuming and expensive than a census
fewer responses needed
less data to process than a census
not all products destroyed in testing
Disadv of samples
overall conclusion may not be as accurate
sample may not be large enough to include small sub-groups of a population
What are sampling units?
Individual units of a population
e.g. if sample uses university students, the sampling unit would be a single university student
What is a sampling frame?
A list of sampling units from which the sample is drawn. Each unit is given an identifying name or number.
What is random sampling?
Where every member in the sample has an equal chance of being chosen. It's representative of the whole population. Helps remove bias.
What are the methods of random sampling?
simple random sampling
systematic sampling
stratified sampling
What is simple random sampling?
Method where every sample unit has an equal chance of being chosen.
needs a sampling frame
Explain methods of simple random sampling
Get sampling frame
each member is allocated a number
a selection of these numbers is chosen at random
Methods of choosing the numbers are: random number generator, calculator or lottery sampling)
How to carry out Systematic Sampling?
Starting point is randomly chosen
required elements are chosen at regular intervals
e.g. sample size 20, elements are chosen every 5th member
What happens in Stratified sampling?
the population is divided into mutually exclusive groups and a random sample is taken from each.
number sampled in a stratum =
(Number in stratum/number in population) x overall sample size
Adv of simple random sampling
free from bias
fast, easy and cheap to implement
Each sampling unit has an equal chance of selection
Disadv of simple random sampling
Can introduce bias (especially if the population is large as it may not represent smaller subgroups of the population)
sampling frame needed
What are the advantages of systematic sampling?
simple and quick to use
suitable for large populations
What are the disadvantages of systematic sampling?
A sampling frame is needed
It can introduce bias if the sampling frame is not random
What are the advantages of stratified sampling?
Sample accurately reflects the population structure
Guarantees proportional representation of groups within a population
What are the disadvantages of stratified sampling?
population must be clearly classified into distinct stratum
You need to know the structure of the population before you can take a stratified sample
Classification into mutually exclusive strata may be difficult to implement
selection in each stratum suffers same disadvantages of random sampling
Types of non-random sampling
Quota sampling and opportunity sampling
What is quota sampling?
Interviewer/researcher decides categories corresponding to the population and set a quota for each in proportion to their numbers in the population. Interview/test members until quotas are full.
opportunity sampling
Taking the sample from people who are available at the time the study is carried out and who fit the criteria of the study
What are the advantages of quota sampling?
allows a small sample to still be representative of the population
no sampling frame required
quick, easy, inexpensive
easy comparison between different groups within a population
What are the disadvantages of quota sampling?
can introduce bias
division into groups - costly, inaccurate
increase size of study = more time in division = time consuming
What are the advantages of opportunity sampling?
Easy to carry out
Inexpensive
disadv of opportunity sampling
bias
unlikely to provide representative sample
highly dependent on individual researcher
Types of data
qualitative, quantitative
discrete, continuous
Class boundaries
The maximum and minimum values that belong in each class
What is the Large data set?
Weather data provided by the Met office for 5 UK weather stations and 3 overseas weather stations for May-October 1987 and 2015
5 uk weather stations
Leeming, Hurn, Camborne, Heathrow, Leuchars
3 overseas weather stations
Jacksonville, Florida
Beijing, China
Perth, Australia
Daily maximum temperature (UK only)
max temp reached over 24 hours
what temp is recorded overseas
daily mean temp
Daily total rainfall
includes solid precipitation (snow or hail)
any measurements less than 0.05mm recorded as trace/tr
daily total sunshine
Recorded to the nearest tenth of an hour
daily mean wind direction and windspeed
windspeed measured in knots (1.15 mph) and represented by the beaufort scale
wind directions - bearings and cardinal directions
both averaged over 24 hours from midnight to midnight
daily maximum gust
measured in knots
max instantaneous windspeed recorded
daily maximum relative humidity
as % air saturation
daily mean cloud cover
Measured in oktas or eighths of the sky covered by cloud
daily mean visibility
Measured in decametres (Dm). This is the greatest horizontal distance at which an object can be seen in daylight
daily mean pressure
Measured in hectopascals (hPa)
Only things recorded overseas
daily avg temp
daily total rainfall
daily mean pressure
daily mean windspeed
Avg temp range and wind speed range in Camborne
Temp range - 10-20℃
Wind speed range - 3-18 kn
Avg temp range and wind speed range in Heathrow
Temp range: 8-29℃
Wind speed range - 3-19 kn
Avg temp range and wind speed range in Hurn
Temp range: 6-24℃
Wind speed: 2-19 kn
Avg temp range and wind speed range in Leeming
Temp range: 4-23℃
Wind speed: 2-17 kn
Avg temp range and wind speed range in Leuchars
Temp range: 4-19℃
Wind speed range - 3-23 kn
temp range and wind speed range in Beijing
Temp range: 8-33℃
Wind speed range - 2-9 kn
temp range and wind speed range in Jacksonville
Temp range: 15-31℃
Wind speed: 1-12 kn
temp range and wind speed range in Perth
Temp range: 8-25℃
Wind speed range - 4-14 kn
Station furthest north
Leuchars
Station furthest south
Perth
Inland stations
Heathrow, Leeming, Beijing
Coastal stations
Hurn, Camborne, Leuchars, Perth, Jacksonville
UK great storm
15-16th october 1987
gusts up to 100kn recorded
Florida Hurricanes
12 October 1987 - Hurricane Floyd
1-2 October 2015 - Hurricane Joaquin
Beaufort Scale
Scale 0 - calm - less than 1 knot
1-3 - light - 1 to 10 knots
4 - moderate - 11 to 16 knots
5 - fresh - 17 to 21 knots
What is lottery sampling?
Members of the sampling frame are written on a ticket and placed into a ‘hat’. The required number of tickets in then drawn from the hat.