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foci of macro
LR econ growth
business cycle (short run fluctuations in output and employment)
why is LR growth important
long ah speech on how humanity for all of time was poor and then we locked in and now gdp/capita or output/person is rising so we got bands
role of businesses and HH in LR growth
people borrow large amounts of money, savers set aside small amounts, pool together small amounts for loans to give to businesses to invest in capital
excluded transactions from GDP
financial transactions
second hand sales
expenditures approach
C + Ig + G + Xn
what is included in gross investment
machinery + tools, construction, research and development, changes in inventory
how to get net investment
gross investment - depreciation
what is considered government expenditures
public services, social capital, research and development (healthcare and benefits not included)
G/S gov uses, G/S public uses, R + D (this includes purchases of resources)
national incomes approach
wages + rent + interest + corp profits + prop income + taxes on prod
what is corp profits made of
dividends + undistributed corp profits + corp income tax
GDP in terms of NI
GDP = NI + depreciation + statistical discrepancy - NFFI
NFFI
value of Americans abroad - abroad stuff in America
NDP equation
NDP = GDP - depreciation
GNP
GDP + NFFI
personal income equation
PI = NI - taxes on prod - social security - corp income tax - undistrib corp profits + transfer payments
disposable income
PI - personal income taxes
what else is DI
consumption and savings
RGDP equation
nom GDP over (price index/100)
how to calculate price index
(mkt basket of a specific year over mkt basket of base year) times 100
limitations of GDP (what it doesn’t take into account)
nonmarket transactions like stay at home parents
value of leisure
improved product quality
underground economy
pos and neg externalities
composition and distribution of output (ARs vs toys, and who gets them?)
per-capita output
non econ measures of well eing
intermediate output
what is used to compare living standards
RGDP/capita
econ growth formula
new RGDP - old RGDP over old RGDP
goal of econ growth
lessen the burden of scarcity
determinants of growth
supply
quantity and quality of nat’l resources
quantity and quality of human capital
quantity of capital
technology
(public policy: positive + stable business environments)
efficiency
allocative efficiency and full employment
demand
demand for final G/S also has to increase
RGDP in terms of labor
worker hours times labor productivity
what are worker hours
size of labor force times avg hours worked
what is labor productivity comprised of
technological advancement (40%), quality of capital (30%), quality of human capital (15%), economies of scale and resource allocation (15%)
sources of increasing returns and economies of scale
more specialized inputs
development costs spread
simultaneous consumption
network effects
learning by doing
case against growth
hurts environment
more growth won’t help poverty + discrimination
more productive makes us slaves + worker burnout + stress
unsustainable since Earth has finite resources
case for growth
will lead to greater material abundance and higher living standards
only practical solution to poverty
improves nation’s infrastructure
no growth would limit growth in poor nations
better working environments
pollution is more a problem of the commons than an effect of growth
growth deals w human knowledge, not extractable limited resources
even so, the price of limited resources have not risen, so we are not depleting them faster than they are being discovered
last word
our population is aging and the work force is declining. if the elderly demand new products for them, productivity can still grow.
parts of business cycle
peak
at or near full employment and on PPC
inflation
recession
avg price level not decr (sticky)
lower output, employment, and income
trough
total output is lowest
avg price may start decreasing
expansion
demand for output incr
incr output, employment, and income
avg price may or may not increase
causes of shocks
irregularity of innovation
changes in productivity
changes in amount of money
financial instability
durable/nondurable
durable goods are affected by shocks
seasonal, frictional, structural, cyclical
seasonal - due to weather
frictional - moving between jobs
structural - wrong skills or education
cyclical - insufficient demand in recession
what is labor force
population - those under 16 - institutionalized - discouraged workers - others
LFPR
labor force over population times 100
unemployment formula
unemployed over labor force times 100
criticisms to unemployment rate
part time treated same as full time
ignores the discouraged worker
what happens to NRU over time + why
decreases bc LF decreases due to aging population
gdp gap
actual - potential
okun’s law
for every 1% increase in unemployment rate above NRU, the actual GDP drops 2% below potential GDP
inflation rate equation
new CPI index - old CPI index over old CPI index times 100
CPI equation
price of mkt basket in year over price of mkt basket in 1982-1984 times 100
what is only subtract from NI to GDP
NFFI, GDP doesn’t like it because of the word foreign
gdp and depreciation
subtract depreciation when going from GDP to something else cuz it always contains it
why add GDP and NFFI to get GNP
GDP doesn’t like foreign so once you add it, GDP changes and deals with national things because NFFI has Americans minus foreigners
only thing added to go from NI to PI
tr
real income eq
nom income over (CPI/100)
estimate real income
percent change nom minus percent change price level
nom interest rate formula
i = r + pi^e
what happens when negative real interest rate
savers lose purchasing power over time
institutional structures that promote growth
strong property rights
patents and copyrights
efficient financial institutions
literacy and widespread education
free trade
competitive market system
what does a change in inventory indicate
either output was made and not sold (counted) or sold but made in a different year (not counted)
hurt + helped by inflation
hurt: fixed income ppl
savers
lenders
helped: flexible income
borrowers
actual return on a loan where inflation is anticipated
i minus pi
deflation good or bad and why
bad because if spirals and causes bankruptcies mixe
economists feelings about strong demand
mixed feelings about strong demand
cost push causes less what
output and employment
shifting to be on PPC vs shifting of the PPC itself
shifting to be on PPC is efficiency, supply is shifting of the PPC itself
economists consider what an immediate determinate of employment and output
total spending
p index
current year cost over base year cost times 100
purchasing power of the dollar
1 over CPI over 100