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climate vs weather
climate- long term average weather pattern over many years, determined by the atmosphere and other ocmponents of earth system; relatively predictable if forcings (drivers of change) are known)
weather- short term variation (minutes to days) in teh atmospheric conditions taht determine temperature, precipitation, wind humidity, etc; highly variable and only predictable over a time frame of a few days
what are the climate change indicators
Climate change indicators are measurable signs of climate change in the Earth system. Key indicators include: global mean temperature, arctic sea ice extent, and sea level rise
how much has global mean temp changed
increased by approx 1.2 degrees C since preindustrial basline, most warming in polar regions
how much has arctic sea ice extent changed
decreased by 30% compared to 1979 baseline
how much has sea level rise changed
rising at a rate of approx 4 mm per year
positive feedback
process that amplifies initial temperature response to a forcing (forcing= something that creates change in climate system)
example of positive feedback
increase in GHGs causes an increase in warming.
increase in warming causes increase in evaporation
increase evaporation casues more water vapor in atmosphere
water vapor is a GHG! cycle continues
KNOWN AS WATER VAPOR FEEDBACK
negative feedback
process that dampens the initial temperature response to a forcing
example of negative feedback
known as Planck feedback
earth absorbs UV radiation and warms, but releases IR radiation to space, which cools the earth
How is contemporary climate change different from past climate change? (Paleoclimate)
Contemporary climate change is much faster than most natural changes in Earth's past.
in teh absense of green house effect, what woudl the average temp of earth be
-18C or -40F
UV vs IR radiation
UV radiation- low wavelength and high intensity
IR radiation- high wavelength and low intensity
what is the greenhosue effect
the absorption and re-admission of infrared radiation emitted by the Earth by some chemicals (greenhouse gasses) in the atmosphere)
you MUST get this word for word
two things can happen to UV radiation emitted by the sun adn intercepted by the earth
1)absorption
2) reflection
is earths energy budget balanced
yes
dont forget to explain earth energy budget adn balance between UV and IR radiation
what are the greenhouse gases
carbon dioxide
methane
nitrous oxide
ozone
watervapor
hwo do greenhouse gases trap heat
GHGs in the atmosphere absorb the IR radiation from earth and re-emit it in all directions, including back toward Earth's surface
what are the pools of the carbon xycle
oceans
soils
atmosphere
landplants
what are the fluxes in the global carbon cycle
photosynthesis
respiration
ocean uptake
ocean release
human emissions
pools
areas where elements are stored
fluxes
processes that transport elements from one pool to another
what does insolation stand for
incoming solar radiation
what is insolation
the amount of solar energy per unit area on a horizontal surface
how does insolation vary around the world (EXAM Q)
dependent on latitude! insolation is 2.5 times greater at the equator than poles
the variation of insolation is what drives patterns of ____ and ______
atmospheric (and oceanic) circulation
temperature will ___ with altitude, but convection is ___
decrease, high
convection
movement of air (circulation)
what creates the circulation patterns that influence the earth surface
high convection in the troposphere
what would the temperatures of earth look like if we had no circulation
polar regions get colder
equator gets warmer
(this is because circulation allows us to even out earths temps)
at the equator, ___ insolation will warm air near the Earth surface, causing it to _______
high insolation; expand and decrease in density
what is convection current
warm air rises cool air sinks
wind
result of a pressure gradient as air moves from areas of high pressure to low pressure
what creates circulation cells
movement of air from high pressure to low pressure on a global scale
what are the three generalized circulation cells
hadley cell
ferrel (mid-latitude) cell
polar cell
Hadley cell
0-30 degrees N and S of equator (the most equitorial)
*more fixed than the others*
Ferrel (mid-latitude) cell
30-60 degrees Nand S of hte equator
*definitely does NOT folow roles
Polar Cell
60-90 degrees N and S of the equator
*mostly fixed besides the polar vortex
what circulation cell would cleveland be apart of
CLE is 41 degrees N so we would be in Ferrel (middle of it) whcih explains our strong seasonal variation
intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ)
marks the boundary between Hadley cell
shifts position over the course of the year in response to seasonality
how does ITCZ shift
warm season shifts north
cold season shifts south
why are there three circulation cells in each hemisphere? (EXAM Q)
the earths rotation causes rising air to deflect to the east and west and creates three circulation cells in each hemisphere
the deflection of a moving object from rotating reference point is called the coriolis effect
what is the coriolis effect? (EXAM Q)
the deflection of a moving object from rotating reference point, seen in any rotating object
what direction does the earth rotate in
west to east (this is why we are ahead of time than california)
according to coriolis effect, if i am taking off straight towars the pole while starting at teh equator and do not take the coriolis effect into account, what direction will i end up
equator has most rotational speed, so i would end up really more towards the east than i would have htought
according to coriolis effect, if i am taking off straight towars the equator while starting at teh poles and do not take the coriolis effect into account, what direction will i end up
towards the west! rotational speed will increase
starting at teh equator with the hadley cell, warm ari rises, so high elevation air will be deflected where
to the right due to coreolis effect
as air cools from hadley cell, its density increases so it sinks ot eh earth surface and is deflected wehre
to the left due to the coreolis effect
the ferrel cell is in the middle and is influenced by what?
hadly and polar cells, reason why weather in temperate areas can be so variable
cloud
visible mass of water droplets or ice crystals
what cuases saturation, condensation, and cloud formation
vertical movement of air
saturation
describes the total amount of water vapor that air can hold at given temperature
what happens if hte amount of water vapor in the air exceeds saturation point
some water vapor molecuels condense and become liquid
what is saturation highly dependent on
temperature
a warmer world is a what world
wetter (since warm air holds alot of water)
why are polar regions generally arid
cold air holds less moisture
what is El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
reoccuring climate pattern wiht three phases, el nino, la nina and neutral
el nino
occurs hwen circulation of surface air near equator int eh south Pacific reverses and flows west-east instead of east to west
brings warm water to sea surface near pacific coast of south america
La Nina
occurs when the east to west movement of surcace air near equator is even stronger than usual, dragging even more cool water across the pacific
creates extremely cool SSTs near the pacific coast fo south america
what is the general difference between El Nino and La Nina years in the northern US (EXAM Q)
El nino will bring warmer and drier winters to northern US and cooler and wetter conditions to the southern US.
la nina will bring colder and snowier wethers to northern, while bringing warmer and drier conditiosn to the southern US
ESNO Neutral
typical conditiosn in tropical pacific
increase in total global SSTs during el nino years drives what
overall global mean temperatuers up
how woudl i be able to see el nino years on a grpah
SST line goes up (positive anomalies) bigger peaks
what does the IPCC stand for (EXAM Q)
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change)
the United Nations body assessing and communicating hte science of climate change
AR
assessment report
comprehensive updates produced by teh IPCC every ~7 years ont eh science of climate change
what assessemnt report are we on right now (since 2021)
AR6
CMIP
couple model intercomparison project
climate projections producd by climate scientists around the wrold that support the data presented in teh ARs
AOGCMs
atmospheric-ocean general circulation models
the actual climate models used to both hindcast and forecast changin climates
how many AOGCMs do we have for AR6 now
35 models
how do climate models operate as 4D models (EXAM Q)
3D (latitude which is NS, Longitude which is EW, altitude which is Up Down) and per time = 4D
what do climate models use 3D grids to model
movement or air, water, and energy vertically throughout the atmosphere and horizontally across the surface of earth
within each grid cell, biophysical equations are used to calculate values of climate variables including
temperature
humidity
ocean salinity,etc
what happens when you solve one grid cell for a climate model
values are passed onto the nect cell where the euqations are solved to find new values
AOGCMs generally include four components or processes:
sea ice
ocean
atmosphere
land
Earth System Model (ESM)
includes component of AOGCM plus additiona components or dynamic vegetation (land change through space and time) and biogeochemical cycling (particularly carbon and neutrients)
what are IPCCs five shared socioeconomic pathways SSPs (exam q)
SSP1 sustainability
SSP2 middle of the road (continue on our path)
SSP3regional rivery (strongnationalism and less cooporation)
SSP4 inequality (elites drive decisions)
SSP5 fossil-fueled development
what does the number htan follows SSP1, SSP2, etc mean
expected extra energy warming the earth from GHG emissions in units of W/m^2
ex: SSP1-2.6 menas in first scenario we expect increase from 340 to 342.6
climate change has impacts on (4)
climate
ecosystems
non human species
humans
according to AR6, climate change has done what to climate extremes
increased intensity and frequency of drought in most land areas
increased intensity and frequency of flooding and extremely high preceiptiation in most land areas
increased proportion of major hurricanes in North Pacific ocean and has likely made hurricanes wetter around the world
why is this not a contradiction : climate change causes "increased intensity and frequency of drought in most land areas
increased intensity and frequency of flooding and extremely high preceiptiation in most land areas"
dry overall, but will expreience extremes like flash floods WHEN THEY HAPPEN
according to AR6, climate change has done what to ecosystems
increased warm water coral bleaching and mortaility
increased area burned by wildfires around the world
what do scientists think might be our climate tipping point
loss of coral reefs
according to AR6, climate change has done what to non human species
increased drought related tree mortaility
shifted patterns of phenology (seasonal timing)
caused about 50% of speceis studied to shift thier geographic ranges polewards (or upslope on land)
what are three things that animals will do during climate change
adapt
move in response
stay in place (possible extinction)
according to AR6, climate change has done what to humans
increased heat related mortaility
reduced food and water secruity
increased occurence of food and water borne diseases
damaged human infrastructure, particularly in economically and socially marginalized areas
do NOT forget to look at visuals and describe climate change impacts reviewed in class from the very last slideshow DO NOT FORGET (this is from the last exam 87 in climate change impacts)
..
who are the top three carbon polluting countries (EXAM Q)
china (1st)
USA (2nd)
EU (3rd)
what are the biggest sources of energy around the world
oil
coal
gas
BE SURE TO LOOK AT EN ROADS SIMULATOR AND UNDERSTAND/ INTERPRET IT
....
What are the three Food, Ag and Land Use solutions ? why does beef consumption have such a high carbon footprint
1) reduce food waste and meat consumption (beef high due to cow ruminants, digesting plants and producing methane (28x more warming potential than CO2) as a byrpoduct)
2)protect natural habitats (especailly costal wetlands)
3) conservation agrculture
what are the four transportation solutions
electrical vehicles (EVs)
investment in public transportaiton
enhance efficiency
urban planning
what are the three energy solutions?
renewable energy/bioenergy
nuclear energy
zero carbon
how to overcome the variable energy battery problem
pumped-stroage hydroelectricity (PSH) which uses renewables to pump water ina. reservoir when available, adn then use thew ater in teh reservoir to generate electicity when renewable energy is unavailable
mitigation vs adaptation
mitigation focuses on reducing climate change (ie GHGs)
adaptation focuses on living with climate change
five sectors of GHG emissions
energy- heating cooling electricity
industry- manufacturing, fossil fuel extraction
agriculture and land use- food prodcution and deforestation
transportation- cars, planes, shipping
buildings- concrete and other materials
big three for personal carbon footprints
energy
transportation
food
what is meant by solar tipping point (from article)
The solar tipping point is when solar energy becomes so much cheaper and easy to deploy compared with fossil fuels that the lower price and accessibility will lead to widespread adoption. We are at the solar tipping point- as we collectively come up with a combination of low cost, ease of application, basically makes solar energy not just the cheapest option but legitiamtately competitive with fossil fuels in a way that implication of crossing the tipping point is that we dont need to do anything special to promote use of this- it will just become the default
2. What are some key barriers to the widespread adoption of solar energy? (from article)
.
What role does energy storage (e.g., batteries) play in the solar energy transition, and why is it considered both a challenge and an opportunity? (from article)
Batteries can be used to store energy and save it over time, but this is a challenge because some areas don't experience as much sun, batteries are expensive, and the materials for them are rare. Energy storage might also be seen as an opportunity in transition to solar energy because of its ability to sell excess stored energy.