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American National Election Studies
includes questions about how respondents voted, their political oaffiliation, and their opinions of major political parties and candidates
Benchmark poll
the first poll taken in a campaign
Entrance Polls
taken before voters cast their votes, ask for who the voter plans to vote for and other similar questions
Exit Polls
polls conducted as voters leave selected polling places on Election Day
George Gallup
one of the earliest developers of scientific methods for public opinion polling and a proponent for a strong role for the voice of the public in politics and government
Literary Digest 1936 straw poll
oversampled the upper middle class and wealthy people, who tend to be more republican. The questionnaires were mailed ou too early and didn’t allow them to see opinion as election grew closer. The response rate was low
Margin of Error
a measure of the accuracy of public opinion poll within statistical parameters
Population
the entire group of people whose attitudes a researcher wish it says to measure
Public Opinion
what the public thinks about a particular issue or set of issues at any point in time
Public opinion polls
interviews or surveys with samples of citizens that are used to estimate the feelings and beliefs of the entire population
Push polls
polls taken for the purpose of providing information on an opponent that would lead respondents to vote against that candidate
random sample
a method of poll selection that gives each person in a group the same chance of being selected
sample
a subset of the whole population selected to be questioned for the purposes of prediction or gauging opinion.
sampling error
error resulting from the size or the quality of a survey sample
stratified sampling
a variation of random sampling; the population is divided into subgroups and weighted based on demographic characteristics of the national population
straw poll
unscientific survey used to gauge public opinion on a variety of issues and policies
tracking polls
continuous surveys that enable a campaign or news organization to chart a candidate’s daily or weekly rise or fall in support
conservative
one who favors limited government intervention, particularly in economic affairs
fiscal policy
the deliberate use of the national government’s taxing and spending policies to maintain economic stability
horse-race journalism
political journalism of elections that resembles coverage of horse races because of the focus on polling data and public perception instead of candidate policy, and almost exclusive reporting on candidate differences rather than similarities
keynesian polcy
an economic approach first championed by economist John Maynard Keynes in the 1930s, who maintained that spending by government can stimulate economic growth much faster than a free market could on its own
liberal
one who favors greater government intervention, particularly in economic affairs and in the provision of social services
libertarian
one who believes in limited government interference in personal and economic liberties
moderate
a person who takes a relatively centrist or middle-of-the-road view on most political issues
monetary policy
a form of government regulation in which the nation’s money supply and interest rates are controlled
political ideology
the coherent set of values and beliefs about the purpose and scope of government held by groups and individuals
political socialization
the process through which individuals acquire their political beliefs and values
social conservative
one who believes that the government should support and further traditional moral teachings
statist
one who believes in extensive government control of personal and economic liberties
supply-side policies
aims to stimulate economic growth primarily through tax cuts and deregulation
candidate centered politics
politics that focus on the candidates, their particular issues, and teir character, rather than party affiliation
critical election
an election that signals a party realignment through voter polarizaiton around new issues and personalities
delegate
role played by representative who votes the way his or her constituents would want, regardless of personal opinions; may refer to an elected representative to Congress or a representative to the party convention
democratic republican
a political party led by Alexander Hamilton that supported a strong central government, a loose interpretation of the Constitution, and commercial interests
federalist
supporters of ratification of the Constitution and of a strong central government
national chairperson
responsible for day-to-day activities of the party and is usually handpicked by the presidential nominee
national committee
an organization that oversees the activities of a political party at the national level in the United States
national convention
a party meeting held in the presidential election year for the purposes of nominating a presidential and vice presidential tickey adn adopting a platform
national party platform
a statement of the general and specific philosophy and policy goals of a political party, usually promulgated at the national convention
party boss
the person with the most power in a political party or one branch of a political party
party identification
a citizen’s attachment to a political party based on issues, ideology, past experience, or upbringing, which tends to be a reliable indicator of likely voting choices
party realignment
dramatic shifts in partisan preferences that drastically alter the political landscape
political machine
a party organization that recruits voter loyalty with tangible incentives and is characterized by a high degree of control over member activity
political party
an organized group that may include office holders, candidates, activists, and voters who pursue their common interests by gaining and exercising power through the electoral process
republican
a member of one of the two major political parties in the US that is usually associated with reduced taxation, with limited government regulation
secular realignment
the gradual rearrangement of party coalitions, based more on demographic shifts than on shocks to the political system
superdelegate
delegate to each party’s national convention tha is reserved for a party official and whose vote at the convention is unpledged to a candidate
ideological parties
a group of people who have certain beliefs that they support
partisan polarization
the presence of increasingly conflicting and divided viewpoints between the Democratic and Republican parties
protest parties
a group of individuals with broad common interest who organize to nominate candidates for office, win elections, and promote a set of public policies
ralph nader
an American political activist,an author, lecturer, and attorney. Areas of particular concern to Nader include consumer protection, humanitarianism, environmentalism, and democratic government
ross perot
billionaire 3rd-party candidate in the 1992 presidential election who won 19 percent of the popular vote--a result that demonstrated voter disatisfaction with the two major parties and that helped ensure the election of Bill Clinton
single-issue parties
single-member district
splinter parties
winner-take-all system
an electoral system in which the party that receives at least one more vote than any other party wins the election
blanket primary
campaign consultant
a private-sector professional who sells to a candidate technologies, services, and strategies required to get that candidate elected
campaign manager
the individual who travels with the candidate and coordinates the campaign
caucus
the oldest and most party-oriented method of choosing delegates to the national conventions. A closed meeting of party activists in each state who select the party’s choice for presidential candidate.
closed primary
a primary election in which only a party’s registered voters are eligible to cast a ballot
communications director
the person who develops the overall media strategy for the candidate
contrast ad
ad that compares the records and proposals of the candidates, with a bias toward the candidate sponsoring the ad
crossover voting
electoral college
the system established by the Constitution through which the president is chosen by electors from each state, which has many electoral votes as it has members of congress
electorate
individuals who are eligible to vote
finance chair
the individual who coordinates the financial business of the campaign
get-out-the-vote-drives
a push at the end of a political campaign to encourage supporters to go to the polls
incumbency
already holding an office
initiative
an election that allows citizens to propose legislation or state constitutional amendments by submitting them to the electorate for popular vote
inoculation ad
advertising that attempts to counteract an anticipated attack from the opposition before the attack is launched
mandate
a command, indicated by an electorate’s votes for the elected officials to carry out a party platform or policy agenda
midterm election
an election that takes place in the middle of a presidential term
negative ad
advertising on behalf of a candidate that attacks the opponent’s character or platform
open primary
a primary election in which party members, independents, and sometimes members of the other party are allowed to participate
pollster
a campaign consultant who conducts public opinion surveys
positive ad
advertising on behalf of a candidate that stresses the candidate’s qualifications, family, and issue positions, with no direct reference to the opponent
presidential coattails
when successful presidential candidates carry into office congressional candidates of the same party in the year of their election
press secretary
the individual charged with interacting and communicating with journalists on a daily basis
primary election
election in which voters decide which of the candidates within a party will represent the party in the general election
proportional representation primary
a voting system that apportions legislative seats according to the percentage of the vote won by a particular political party
reapportionment
the reallocation of the number of seats in the House of Representatives after each decennial census
recall
an election in which voters can remove an incumbent from office prior to the next scheduled election
referendum
an election whereby the state legislature submits proposed legislation or state constitutional amendments to the voters for approval
runoff primary
a second primary election between the two candidates receiving the greatest number of votes in the first primary
voter canvass
the process by which a campaign reaches individual voters, either by door-to-door solicitation or by telephone
501 (c ) group
interest group whose primary purpose is not electoral politics
527 political committee
organization created with the primary purpose of influencing electoral outcomes; the term is typically applied only to freestanding interest groups that do not explicitly advocate for the election of a candidate
Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act
passed in 2002, this act amended the Federal Election Campaign Act of 1971 with several provisions designed to end the use of nonfederal or “soft money” (money raised outside the limits and prohibitions of federal campaign finance law) for activity affecting federal elections
conventional political participation
activism that attempts to influence the political process through commonly accepted forms of persuasion, such as voting or contacting elected officials
federal election campaign act
passed in 1971, this is the primary law that regulates political campaign spending and fundraising. The law originally focused on increased disclosure of contributions for federal campaigns
federal election commission
an independent regulatory agency founded in 1975 by the U.S. Congress to regulate the campaign finance legislation in the United States
frontloading
the tendency of states to choose an early date on the nomination calendar
Help America Vote Act
a federal law passed in 2002 that addresses issues of voting systems and voter access that were identified following the 2000 election. It established minimum election administration standards for states and units of local government with responsibility for the administration of federal elections and for other purposes related to the Act.
Party-line voting
political action committee
officially recognized fund-raising organization that represents interest groups and is allowed by federal law to make contributions directly to candidates’ campaigns
prospective judgement
a voter’s evaluation of a candidate based on what he or she pledges to do about an issue if elected
public funds
donatins from general tax revenues to the campaigns of qualifying presidential candidates
rational choice theory