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Risk assessment
involves identifying elements that may predispose a patient to developing periodontal disease or influence the progression of existing disease.
risk
the probability that an individual will develop a specific disease in a given period
Risk Factors
modifiable
Environmental behavioral, or biologic characteristics that increase the likelihood of developing a disease
Exposure must occur before disease onset, and these factors are often modifiable through interventions.
examples of risk factors
—modifiable—
Tobacco smoking
Diabetes
Pathogenic bacteria
Microbial tooth deposits
risk determinants
risk factors that cannot be modified
examples of Risk Determinants
— non-modifiable —
Genetic factors
Age
Gender
Socioeconomic status
Stress
risk indicators
probable or putative risk factors identified in cross-sectional studies but not confirmed by longitudinal studies
examples of risk indicators
Osteoporosis
Infrequent dental visits
Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV)
Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS)
Risk Predictors/Markers
Factors associated with increased risk but do not directly cause the disease
examples of risk predictors / markers
bleeding on probing
previous history of periodontal disease
tobacco smoking
risk factor
it negatively impacts the response to therapy
cessation can overcome negative effects on treatment prognosis
a well-established risk factor with a direct relationship to the prevalence of periodontal disease
Diabetes
Risk Factor
Diabetes is a clear risk factor. The prevalence and severity of periodontitis are significantly higher in patients with Type 1 or Type 2 diabetes. The level of diabetic control is an important variable in this relationship.
pathogenic bacteria
risk factor
the composition, or quality, of the complex plaque biofilm is of importance, rather than the quantity of plaque
while plaque accumulation causes gingivitis, establishing a causal relationship between plaque accumulation and periodontitis is more difficult
3 specific bacteria identified as etiologic agents
Tannerella forsythia
Porphyromonas gingivalis
Aggregatibacter actinomycetemcomitans
bacteria of aggressive periodontitis
Aggregatibacter actinomycetemcomitans
bacteria of chronic periodontitis
Porphyromonas gingivalis
genetic factors
risk determinant
Genetic differences may explain why some patients develop periodontal disease and others do not.
Alterations in specific genes encoding inflammatory cytokines (e.g., Interleukin-1) have been associated with severe chronic periodontitis.
Familial aggregation is indicative of genetic involvement, particularly in localized and generalized aggressive periodontitis.
age
risk determinant
prevalence and severity of periodontal disease increase with age.
However, periodontal disease is not an inevitable consequence of aging.
The cumulative effect of prolonged exposure to other risk factors over time is likely responsible for attachment loss seen in older individuals
anatomic factors
furcations, root concavities, developmental grooves
restorative factors
(e.g., subgingival and overhanging margins)
presence of calculus
serves as a reservoir for bacterial plaque
Prognosis
A prediction of the probable course, duration, and outcome of a disease, established after the diagnosis is made and before the treatment plan is set. Prognosis is often confused with risk
prognostic factors
characteristics that predict the outcome, of disease once the disease is present
prognosis determination
a dynamic process that must be reevaluated after initial therapy is completed
good prognosis
Control of etiologic factors and adequate periodontal support ensure easy maintenance.
fair prognosis
25% attachment loss
class I furcation involvement
poor prognosis
50% attachment loss
class II furcation involvement
questionable prognosis
>50% attachment loss
poor crown-to-root ratio
class III furcation involvements
>2+ mobility
hopeless prognosis
Inadequate attachment to maintain health, comfort, and function; tooth must be extracted.
Kwok & Caton
produced the scheme used for treatment decisions based on the probability of obtaining stability of the periodontal supporting apparatus
Favorable prognosis
Questionable prognosis
Unfavorable prognosis
Hopeless prognosis
overall prognosis
concerns the dentition as a whole
determines if treatment should be undertaken and if remaining teeth can support a prosthesis
Individual Tooth Prognosis
Determined after the overall prognosis and is influenced by it
Plaque Control/Patient Compliance influence on prognosis
Critically dependent; effective plaque removal is vital. Without willingness/ability to perform adequate hygiene, treatment cannot succeed
systemic disease influence on prognosis
cessation improves prognosis
negatively affects treatment outcomes and healing potential
prognosis for smokers:
fair to poor (moderate periodontitis)
poor to hopeless (severe periodontitis)
patient age influence on prognosis
generally better for the older of two patients with comparable destruction, because rapid destruction in a younger patient may indicate aggressive disease or underlying systemic issues
genetic factors influence on prognosis
currently cannot be altered, but early detection of genetic risk can influence treatment recommendations (like adjunctive antibiotics or increased maintenance frequency) to improve prognosis
Disease Severity influence on prognosis
A history of previous periodontal disease indicates susceptibility for future breakdown.
Level of clinical attachment is more critical than pocket depth alone
Bone Loss and Defects Prognosis is adversely affected if the attachment level is close to the root apex.
Subgingival Restorations influence on prognosis
Margins that are subgingival or have discrepancies (overhangs) contribute to increased plaque and bone loss, resulting in a poorer prognosis.
anatomic constraints influence on prognosis
factors that impede cleaning and instrumentation (by the patient or clinician) negatively affect prognosis
include:
root concavities
developmental grooves
difficult-to-access furcation involvements
short, tapered roots (poor crown-to-root ratio)
tooth mobility influence on prognosis
mobility caused by inflammation or trauma may be correctable
but mobility resulting from alveolar bone loss is generally not likely to be corrected.
angular bone loss
infrabony pockets
more difficult to manage ; poor prognosis
oblique / uneven bone loss forming vertical defects
better prognosis if osseous walls are favorable for bone regeneration
commonly seen on aggressive periodontitis, advanced chronic cases
prognosis of plaque-induced gingivitis
prognosis is good, provided all irritants are eliminated and good oral hygiene is maintained.
prognosis of chronic periodontitis
slight-to-moderate disease
good prognosis — if inflammation / local factors are controlled
fair to poor — more severe disease or poor compliance
prognosis of localized aggressive periodontitis (LAP)
although rapid destruction occurs in younger patients, early diagnosis and treatment (including systemic antibiotic therapy) can result in an excellent prognosis.
prognosis of generalized aggressive periodontitis (GAP)
fair, poor, or questionable prognosis
may require systemic antibiotics in addition to conventional therapy
patients often have a poor antibody response and significant alterations in host defense
prognosis of necrotizing ulcerative gingivitis (NUG)
Prognosis is good if bacterial plaque and secondary factors (stress, smoking) are controlled.
provisional prognosis
may be established until phase I therapy (initial scaling and root planing) is completed and evaluated.
The effectiveness of Phase I therapy, particularly the reduction in inflammation, gives a more accurate prognosis.
Enhancing the host response to plaque's microbial challenge significantly and positively influences the periodontal prognosis
For teeth with a questionable outlook, the clinician may consider strategic extraction to improve the prognosis of adjacent teeth or facilitate implant placement.