2. Fairness I

What is a common misconception about the goal of a ML model?

• The goal is not to train the most accurate classifier on your data.

• Instead, we want to optimise some real-world criteria under given constraints.

Example: Maximize community safety without putting more than 1000 people in jail.

What is the True Positive Rate (TPR)?

P(y^{^} = 1 | y = 1)

Calculated by TPR = TP / (TP + FN)

What is the True Negative Rate (TNR)?

P(y^{^} = 0 | y = 0)

Calculated by TNR = TN / (TN + FP)

What is the Positive Predictive Value (PPV)?

P(y = 1 | y^{^} = 1)

Calculated by PPV = TP / (TP + FP)

What is the Negative Predicive Value (NPV)?

P(y = 0 | y^ = 0)

Calculated by NPV = TN / (TN + FN)

What is the Positive Prediction Rate (PPR)?

P(y^ = 1)

Calculated by PPR = (TP + FP) / (TP + FP + FN + TN)

What is Direct Discrimination in ML?

• Sensitive features z (race, gender, age) are used to make predictions → z ∩ x ≠ ∅

• Can also be hidden by using features that correlate with sensitive features (f.e. location with race).

How can Indirect Discriminiation be measured in ML?

• Statistical Parity (aka disparate impact)

• Equality of opportunity (aka disparate mistreatment)

How is Statistical Parity (Disparate Impact) defined?

P(y^{^} = 1 | z = 0) = P(y^{^} = 1 | z = 1)

→ Same outcome probability for both groups.

How is Equality of Opportunity (Disparate Mistreatment) defined?

P(y^ = 0 | y = 0, z = 0) = P(y^ = 0 | y = 0, z = 1)

→ Probability of correct outcome should be equal among groups.

When is it impossible to have equal values across all measures of the confusion matrix for 2 groups?

When the underlying risk score distribution of the groups is different.

What is the narrow view of fairness?

• Similar people should get similar treatment.

• Groups do not rely matter / sensitive groups should be disregarded.

What is the broad view of fairness?

• Society should be structured to grant people equal opportunities.

• Most broad / substantial interventions required.

What is the middle view of fairness?

• Decision makers should consider past injustices that are causes of current differences in qualifications.

• Scope is individual risk prediction scenarios.