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heuristics
intuitive mental operations, performed quickly and automatically, that provide efficient answers to common problems of judgement
availability heuristic
the process whereby judgements of frequency or probability are based on how readily pertinent instances come to mind
representativeness heuristic
the process whereby judgements of likelihood are based on assessments of similarity between individuals and group prototypes, or between cause and effect
Affect heuristic
Judging something’s merit, value, or risk, based on the emotional reaction it generates.
Anchoring Heuristics
when an estimation of a value is influenced by an accidental or irrelevant starting point
fluency
the feeling of ease (or difficulty) associated with processing information
base rate information
information about the relative frequency of events or members of different categories in a population
illusory correlation
the belief that two variables are correlated when in fact they are not
regression effect
the statistical tendency, when two variables are imperfectly correlated, for extreme values of one of them to be associated with less extreme values of the other
regression fallacy
the failure to recognize the influence of the regression effect and to instead offer a casual theory for what is really a simple statistical regularity