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three types of claims
1. frequency claims
2. association claims
3. causal claims
four types of validity
1. construct validity
2. statistical validity
3. external validity
4. internal validity
construct validity
how well something is measured
statistical validity
what is the margin of error? what can the statistics of a claim tell us about its accuracy
internal validity
the ability to rule out alternative explanations for causal relationships between two variables
external validity
a measure of how well the study generalizes to areas outside the study itself
goals of research in psychology
describing behavior
understanding behavior
predicting behavior
solving applied problems
research designs in psychology
survey and observational
correlational
experimental
quasi-experimental
frequency claims goals and design
goals: describing
design: survey, observational
association claims goals and design
goals: understanding predicting, solving problems
design: correlational, quasi-exoerimental
causal claims goals and design
goals: understanding, predicting
design: experimental
scientific method
particular way of arriving at knowledge
ways of arriving at knowledge
authority
logic
experience
knowledge from authority
based on what authority figures tell us, is not always accurate
logical reasoning
1. assumptions (ex: primates are capable of using language, Bozo is a primate)
2. conclusions: Bozo is capable of using language
can also be false
knowledge from experience
-what we experience may have other confounds
-what we experience can be biased, this is called "intuition"
social cognition biases
1. belief perseverance
2. availability heuristic
3. conformation bias
belief perseverance
ignoring contrary evidence
availability heuristic
occurs if one's experience is unrepresentative, the what comes easily to the mind becomes explanation
confirmation bias
selectively seeking out evidence that supports one's belief
the scientific method relies upon
data: role of observation, i.e. experience
logic: to draw logic about what the data means
characteristics of scientific method
1. systematic empiricism
2. public verifiability
3. hypothesis testing
4/ examines only empirical questions
5. conclusions are always tentative
systematic empiricism
-data driven
-empirical: relying on observation to draw conclusion
-systematic: systematic collection of data, precise definitions (so no alternative interpretations), reliable valuable measures
public verifability
-findings must be observable and recognizable by others
-procedures used must be systematically reported (APA style)
testability
-examining only empirical questions ( those that can be tested in a systematically empirical and publicly verifiable manner
-an example of a non-empirical question would be "do angels exist" not publicly verifiable, not replicable, not systematic examination
why we need tentative conclusions
we can never be sure a result will hold up
variables
-what is being studied, unit
-in psychology, an aspect of human behavior or something that affects human behavior
-varies among individuals or situations
types of definitions
1. conceptual
2. operational
conceptual definition
dictionary definition
operational definition
defined in terms of a procedure or set of operations, or how the concept is measured
how to frame a research question
issue of interest -> empirical question -> hypothesis
empirical question
must be answered by observable data and terms must be clearly defined.
hypothesis
conjecture regarding the relationship between two variables that can be tested empirically
theory
a set of propositions specifying interrelationships between constructs and or variables. Should be tentative and falsifiable
construct
hypothetical factor or variable that cannot be directly observed but is inferred from certain behaviors, an abstract factor/variable
alternative definition of theory
-summarizes empirical knowledge
-organizes knowledge in the form of precise statements of relationships among constructs or variables
-provides tentative explanations
-basis for predictions about behavior
deduction
reasoning from the general to the particular
-theory->hypothesis->experiment
induction
reasoning from the particular to the general (think mexican food example) *ideas are derived from a theory through induction
example of a logical inference
-if p then q is true: if p is not true, q is not true
what does an experiment show?
-since theories cannot be logically proven they are always tentative
-can support or confirm
-same for disproof, single study is not disproof
frequency claims
describe rate, level, frequency, number, or amounf of something.
-involves only one variable
-that variable is a measured variable not a manipulated one
association claims
claim that one level of a variable is likely to be associated with a particular level of another variable
-involves more than one variable
-these variables are measured not manipulator
association claims in research designs
-many research designs lead to association claims, should to just be linked to correlation/regression designs
causal claims
-claim that variation in one variable causes variation in another variable
-involves more than one variable
-must satisfy certain criteria of causality
criteria for establishing causality
1. causal and outcome variable must covary (as one changes so does the other)
2. variation in causal variable must precede variation in outcome variable (temporal precedes criterion)
3. other causes of variation in the outcome variable must be ruled out (internal validity criterion, have to rule out third variable)
construct validity
does the operational definition actually measure the construct of interest
statistical validity
extent to which conclusions/claims are based on sound statistical analysis
external validity
degree to which claims/results of study can be generalized to other populations
internal validity
degree to which variation in the outcomes variable was really due to variation in the causal variable
correlations
-can be calculated between any two variables
-only provides measurement of linear relationship
-greatly affected by a range of values
-unaffected by linear transformations
-have no units
-bidirectional
r
-correlation coefficient
-varies between 1 and -1
r^2
-the coefficient of determination
-varies between 1 and 0, the smaller the value the less correlation between the two variables
face validity
extent to which a measure appears to measure the construct it is supposed to measure
content validity
extent to which a measure includes all relevant aspect of the construct
construct validity
the most important kind of measurement validity
-convergent validity (certain things SHOULD always correlate with)
-discriminant validity (certain things should not correlate with)
criterion validity
whether the measure is related to a concrete outcome that it should be related to if its valid
ordinal scale
numbers indicate rank ordering
numeral scale
numbers are just a label
interval scale
equal differences between numbers reflect equal differences in the thing measured
ratio scale
properties of interval scale, and a true zero
descriptive statistics
-measures of central tendency
-measures of dispersion
inferential statistics
-confidence intervals (estimation
-hypothesis testing
convergent validity
a type of measurement validity that represents the extent to which a measure is associated with other measures of a theoretically similar construct
discriminant validity
-also divergent validity and empirically support type of measurement validity that represents the extent to which a measure does NOT associate strongly with measures of other theoretically different constructs
mode
most commonly occurring observation
-unaffected by extreme values
measure of central tendancy
median
score at or below which 50% of observations fall
-unaffected by extreme values
(N+1)/2
measure of central tendancy
mean
the average
-affected by extreme values
measure of central tendancy
all psychological research questions are about what kind of variability
behavioral
how to measure variability
-range
-interquartile range
-variance
-standard deviation
range
-distance between the highest and lowest values
-affected by extreme values
inter-quartile range
-first quartile (Q1) score at or below which 25% of observations fall
-second quartile (Q2) (median) score at or below which 50% of observations fall
-third quartile (Q3) score at or below which 75% of observations fall
SO Q3-Q1 is the range of the middle 50% of observations
-less affected by extreme values
steps in calculating variance
1. calculate mean
2. calculate deviations from mean
3. square deviations
4. add squared deviations
5. adjust for number of subjects in sample by dividing by # of ss
SD
square root of variance (so variance measured in squared units)
-indicated representativeness of mean
systematic variance
the part of the total variability in subjects' behavior that is related in a predictable way to the variables being studied
error variance
the part of total variability due to individual differences or random unpredictable factors (not related to errors made by subjects)
variance formulas
r= variation shared by x,y/ total variation in x,y
OR
r=covariance x,y/SDx x SDy
properties of a normal distribution
within 1 SD 68% of data
within 2 SDs 95% of data
how many sd's from the mean?
take the difference and divide by the SD
z table
-follows normal distribution mean=0 and SD=1
key idea in calculating variability
variance of the observation from the distribution mean/variance of distribution
the t statistic
-use sample SD to calculate SD's from mean
-as sample size increases, t distribution becomes closer to normal distribution
-degrees of freedom = N-1
-use t instead of z when we don't know population SD
types of t-tests
-tests for differences between sample means
--when the samples are independent (different subject in two groups)
--when samples are not independent (same subject in both groups)
how to calculate SD
find distance from mean
square value
take sum of squares
divide by number of entries
take square root