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Revenue
Previous Year * (1 + Growth Rate)
Cost of Goods Sold
Vertical Analysis for previous years by doing COGS/Revenue. Take the percentage and multiply by the projected year Revenue.
Gross Profit
Revenue - COGS
SG&A Expenses
Calculate vertical analysis for previous year by doing SG&A Expenses/Revenue. Take the percentage and multiply by projected year Revenue
Depreciation
Usually given
Operating Profit
Gross Profit - SG&A Expenses - Depreciation
Interest Expense
Interest Rate * (Current Maturities + Long-term Debt)
Pre-tax Income
Operating Profit - Interest Expense
Tax Expense
Tax Rate * Pre-Tax Income
Tax Rate
Stays consistent, so calculate the tax rate of given years with Tax Expense/Pre-Tax Income
Interest Rate
Stays consistent, so calculate the interest rate of given years with Interest Expense/ (Current Maturities + Long-term Debt)
Cash
should be calculated last as the plug value | Ending Total Liabilities and Equity - (Accounts Receivable + Inventory + Other Current Assets + PP&E)
Accounts Receivable (DSO Approach)
Calculate DSO. Then, do (DSO*Revenue)/265
Inventory
First, calculate DIO. Then, do (DIO*COGS)/365
Other Current Assets
Calculate percentage of sales for previous year by doing Other Current Assets/Assets. Take the percentage and multiply by projected year Revenue
Current Assets
Cash + Accounts Receivable + Inventory + Other Current Assets
Net PP&E
Take the PP&E total of the previous year and subtract the projected year Depreciation expense
Total Assets
Current Assets + Net PP&E
Current Maturities
Same as previous year unless stated otherwise
Accounts Payable (DPO Approach)
(DPO*COGS)/365
Accrued Expenses
Calculate vertical analysis for previous year Accrued Expenses. Multiply percentage by projected year Revenue
Other Current Liabilities
Calculate vertical analysis for previous year Other Current Liabilities. Multiply percentage by projected year Revenue
Current LIabilities
Current Maturities + Accounts Payable + Accrued Expenses + Other Current Liabilities
Long-term Debt
Previous Year Long-term Debt - Current Maturities
Owner’s Equity
Previous Year Owner’s Equity + Projected Year Net Profit
Total Liabilities and Equity
Current Laibilitis + Long-term Debt + Owner’s Equity
Cash Balance Target
Cash Target Balance Percentage * Revenue
Forecast Cash Balance
Cash amount on balance sheet
External Financing Need
Cash Balance Target + Forecast Cash Balance
Net Income
Net Profit
Change in Asset Accounts
-(Ending - Beginning)
Change in Liability Accounts
Ending - Beginning
Change in Net Working Capital
Change in Asset Accounts + Change in Liability Accounts
Capital Expenditures
Change in net PP&E + Depreciation or actual CapEx for the year
Change in Long-term Debt
Ending - Beginning
Cash used in Financing Activities’
Change in Long-term Debt + DIvidends
Change in Cash
Cash from Operations - Cash used in Investing Activities + Cash used in Financing Activities
Terminal Value (in year x)
UFCFs in Year x * (1+Terminal Growth Rate)/(Discount Rate - Terminal Growth Rate)
Present Value of Terminal Value
Terminal Value in Year x/(1+Discount Rate)^Year x
Implied Enterprise Value
Present Value of Terminal Value + Sum of Present Value of UFCFs
Implied Equity Value
Implied Enterprise Value (EV) - Total Debt + Cash and Cash Equivalents
Implied Share Price
Implied Equity Value / Shares Outstandng