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three roadblocks to critical thinking
hindsight bias, overconfidence, percieving patterens in random events
Hindsight bias
the tendency to believe, after learning an outcome, that we could have predicted the very outcome. “I knew it all along”
Overconfidence
the tendency to think that we know more than we do
in our natural eagerness to make sense of an unpredictable world we are prone to
perceive patterns
three elements of the scientific attitude
curiosity, skepticism, humility
curiosity
a desire to explore and understand without misleading or being mislead
skepticism
doubting and questioning without judgement
humility
be willing to put aside one’s own ideas if evidence is to the contrary
Critical thinkers
do not accept arguments and conclusions blindly, examine assumptions, discern hidden values, evaluate evidence and assess conclusions. They ask questions
Psychologists use scientific methods to support their scientific attitude. It is a self-correcting process using
observation and analysis to evaluate ideas
theory
is an explanation using an integrated set of principles that organizes observations and predicts behaviors or events
hypothesis
is a testable prediction, often implied by a theory, to enable us to accept, reject, or revise the theory
Falsifiable hypothesis
is a research prediction that can be potentially proven false through experimentation or observation
operational definition
a carefully worded statement of the exact procedures used in research study
operational definition
what we mean by “sleep loss” or “caffeine” or “smiling” we can repeat the experiment replication precisely as it was conducted the first time
replication is
confirmation
population
consist of ALL individuals in a group being studied
sample
is a subset of the population. The are the individuals being studied to represent the population
random sample
represents a population without bias because each member has an equal chance of inclusion
sampling bias occurs
when there is a flaw in the sampling process that produces a sample that does not fully represent the population
representative sampling
has the same distribution of demographic qualities as the population
stratified random sampling
allows a researcher to ensure that the sample represents the population
the proportion of each group in the sample should be the same as the
proportion of each group in the population
systemic sampling
researchers select members of the population and at a regular interval
individuals in a convenience sample are selected
not because they are most representative of the population, but because they are most easily accessible to the researcher
the three scientific methods
descriptive, correlational, and experimental methods
the three descriptive methods are
cause studies, naturalistic observations, surveys, and interviews
case study
an intensive observational technique descriptive and analysis in which 1 person or small group of individuals is studied in depth to reveal underlying behavior principles
clinical study
is a form of case study in which the therapist investigates the problems associated with a client
strengths of the case study method
allows for examination of unusual behavior, provide a large amount of qualitative data, suggest directions for further study
limitations of the case study method
atypical case studies can be misleading, results form one study may not be generalized to the larger group. Cannot determine cause and effect
naturalistic observation
researcher is watching and recording behavior in naturally occurring situations without trying to manipulate or control the situation
strengths of naturalistic observation
subjects behave normally outside of lab setting, data collection is unobtrusive (doesn’t disturb the subject)
limitations of Naturalistc observation
independent variable cannot be isolated. observations by researchers may be subjective. Cannot determine cause and effect
survey
is a technique for obtaining the self-reported attitudes, opinions or behaviors of people usually done by questioning a representative, random sample of people
Linkert scale
respondent are asked to rate the level to which they agree with a statement. such scales are often used to assess personality, attitudes, and behaviors
Strengths of survey
avle to quickly obtain people’s beliefs, behaviors or opinions, able to include many cases
limitations to survey
response bias, wording effects can skew the outcome, acquiring a random sample is difficult, cannot determine cause and effect
response bias
when people give answers that hey believe the researchers want to hear or to purposefully distort the result of the study
non-response
occurs when people chosen for a survey select not to provide feedback
social desirability
a type of response bias that occurs when survey respondents provide answers according to society’s expectations rather than their own beliefs or experiences
wording effects
occurs when the wording of the question can influence how people answer the question
cohort occurs
when the development or perception of a particular group is influenced by their same shared life experiences
False consensus effect
the tendency to overestimate the extent to which other share our beliefs and behaviors
self-report bias
refers to the incapability of human beings to accurately evaluate themselves
honesty
subjects may make the more socially acceptable answer rather than being truthful
introspective ability
the subject may not be able to assess themselves accurately
interpretation of question
the wording of the questions may be confusing or have different meanings to different subjects
rating scales
rating something yes or no can be too restrictive, but numerical scales also can be inexact and subject to individual inclination to give an extreme or middle response to all questions
variable
any attribute of an individual (person, animal, or thing) being studied. can take different values for different individuals
quantitative variable
is a numerical variable that are count or measurements
qualitative
is a categorical variable that divides the individuals into distinct groups (it can be numerical)
correlational method
looks at the relationship between two variables without establishing cause and effect relationships. Goal is to measure the extent to which two factors vary together and how well either factor predicts the other
scatterplot
a graph comprised of points that are generated by values of two quantitative variables
slope of the points depicts the
direction (positive or negative) of the relationship between the two variables
the amount of scatter suggest
the strengths of the correlation
values on the x and y axis must be
quantified
correlation coefficient
a statistical measure of the relationship between 2 variables
positive correlation
the variables increase tougher or decrease together
negative correlation
as one variable increase the other decreases
no correlation
as one variable increases or decreases, the other increases or decreases randomly
illusory correlation
the perception of a relationship where none exist or perceiving a stronger-than-actual relationship
correlation does not imply
causation
experiments isolate
causes and effects
treatment
a specific condition applied to the individual in an experiment
independent variable
is the factor manipulated by the experimenter. only given to the experimental group.
dependent variable
is the factor (outcome) that is measured. Manipulated (measured) in both the experimental and control group
in psychology the dependent variable is usually a
behavior or a mental process
in the experimental Group
subjects receive the treatment
in the control group
subjects do not receive the treatment or they recieve a dummy treatment
Random assignment
ensures that each participant has an equal chance of being place into any group
random assignment
statistic method that uses a chance process to place the participants to the experimental group or the control group
random sampling
is a statistical method that uses a chance process to choose a representative sample of the population being studied
quasi-experiment research
does not randomly assign participants into groups. the participants are in pre-existing groups
confounding variables
extraneous factors (not the independent variable being studied) that might influence a study’s results (dependent variables)
directionality problem
when two variables correlate and might actually have a causal relationship, but it’s impossible to conclude which variable causes change in the other
third variable problem
occurs when a factor (another variable- NOT the independent or dependent variable) leads to a mistaken casual relationship between the 2 variables in a study
experimental bias
occurs when a researcher expectations or presences about the outcome of a study influence the result obtain
placebo effect
a psychological response to a treatment simply from expectionations of the procedure/medication
to avoid the placebo effect subjects should
NOT be aware of whether they received an inert/dummy treatment (placebo), or an experimental treatment
single-blind procedure
the participate in the study are not informed about the treatment, if any, that they are receiving
double-blind procedure
participants and the researcher are not informed about which group receives the treatment, and which does not
experimental validity
is the tent to which a test or experiment measures or predicts what is supposed to
5 main research methods are
case study, naturalistic observation, correlation study, experiment, meta-analysis
meta-analysis
is a type of statistical analysis where researchers review, combine, and analyze the result of multiple studies
psychologist study animals
animals are fascinating to study, animals teach us about humans, animals often have simpler systems
ethical guidelines
safeguard animals research subjects
ethical guidelines were establish to
protect human and non-human animals in research studies. Participants give informed consent, protection form harm, debriefing, confidentiality, right to withdrawal, approval from institutional review board
institutional review board
a committee stablished to evaluate the risks and benefits of human participants and non-human animals, research, ensuring the rights and welfare of the participants are protected
statistics
are the tools that allow researchers to measure variables and interpret results
bar graph
shows a frequency distribution of a qualitative (categorical) variable
descriptive statistics use
numerical data to measure and describe characteristics of groups
measures of central tendency
mean median and mode
mean
the mathematical average of a set of numbers. add the scores and divide by the number (n) scores
median
the score in a distibution. arrange scores from highest to lowest with half of the data above and half below this number
mode
the most frequently occurring data point in a distribution
regression to the mean
the tendency for extreme scores or events to fall back towards the average
skewed distribution
most of the cores or data fall on one side of the scale and there are very few scores on the other side
the median will be a better descriptor when the
mean is impacted by outliers