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Common shares (3)
- EQUITY ownership in a company
- get paid last (residual claimant). u get what is left over after all other obligations (like debts or preferred dividends) have been paid
- get ownership on UPSIDE (means they benefit from stock price going up!)
Preferred Shares (3)
- ownership in a fixed-income stream, similar to bonds
- get paid first (u get a set dividend payment, but no residual claim)
- u do NOT own the upside (dont benefit from stock price going up!)
stock valuation
expected/estimated value (TVM)
how is the INFINITE dividend growth rate estimated?
the company's dividend history is used to estimate future dividend growth rates
When is the STAGED growth model used?
Used when dividend growth is high initially and then slows down.
The two-stage model works by first applying a higher growth rate to the company's dividends for a certain period (the early high growth phase) and then switching to a lower, more sustainable growth rate (the mature growth phase).
How is Sustainable Growth Rate 'g' estimated?
using a company's ABILITY and WILLINGNESS TO GROW its dividends
What is the Retention Ratio and how does it affect ROE?
% of net income retained and reinvested into the business
What does Sustainable Growth Rate (g) represent?
rate at which a company can grow without increasing debt
What if a company does not pay dividends?
managers may reinvest earnings to fuel growth. This decision can create a Principal-Agent problem if management seeks power or compensation over shareholder wealth.
NPVGO
measures how valuable a firm's reinvestments are!
Net PV of Growth Opportunities
goal of DCF?
Find Enterprise Value (EV) by taking FCF and discounting them back to today using WACC
What is the formula for Estimating Equity Value?
Equity value is derived from enterprise value by subtracting debt and adding cash. The formula is: Equity Value = EV - Debt + Cash.
Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
Weighted average required return for a company, taking into account the market values of debt, common equity, and preferred equity
Can dividend GROWTH rates be higher then GDP?
YES. bc history only covers a finite period
FCF (Free Cash Flow) formula
CFO - Capex
Does CAPEX (Capital Expenditures) count as CFI?
Yes
FCF (Free Cash Flow)
the cash a company has left over after it pays for its required investments (CAPEX).
Negative FCF is associated with large CAPEX, meaning the firm is....
investing a lot (high CFI), with potential for future CF
Positive FCF is associated with low CAPEX, meaning the firm is....
might be a more mature business with fewer investment options
CAPEX
Capital Expenditures = money a firm spends on long-term assets (CFI)
2 types of FCF
- FCFF (Free Cash Flow TO THE FIRM)
- FCFE (Free Cash Flow TO EQUITY)
Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF)
Here is all the free cash the business produced.
First we pay bondholders (debt holders), and whatever is left goes to shareholders (equityholders).
We use FCFF when finding...
Enterprise value (valuing the entire business)
What do u use as the discount rate when using FCFF?
WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital)
Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)
Cash that is only available to equity holders (shareholders)
- Bondholders have already been paid interest and principal.
We use FCFE when finding...
the equity
what discount rate do u use when finding FCFE?
Cost of Equity
Enterprise Value =
ValueEquity + ValueDebt - Cash
*** its the PV of all future FCFF
Equity Value =
Enterprise Value - ValueDebt + Cash
Multiples
valuation ratios used to compare companies
ex) EV/EBITDA, P/E, EV/Sales etc
Comparables (Comps)
actual companies we compare our company against
How do "Comparables" with multiples work?
Multiples are calculated for your comparables, and then you use the median or mean to estimate your company's value.