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Default risk
probability that the insurer is unable or unwilling to make interest payments or pay off the face value
Risk premium
the spread between the interest rates on bonds with default risk and the interest rates on Canada bonds
Income tax considerations
interest payments on municipal bonds are exempt from federal income taxes
Liquidity premium
additional yield investors require to hold a less liquid asset
Upward sloping yield curve interpretation
long term interest rates > short term interest rates
typical
Flat yield curve interpretation
long term interest rates are equal to short term interest rates
Inverted yield curve interpretation
long term interest rates < short term interest rates
signals economic recession
3 key facts about interest rates
Interest rates on bonds of different maturities move together over time
When short-term rates are low, yield curves are more likely to have an upward slope, and more likely inverted when rates are high
yield curves almost always slope upward
Expectations theory
Explains facts 1 and 2
The long-term interest rate on a bond will equal an average of the expected short-term interest rates over the long-term bond’s lifetime
Bond holders do not have maturity preferences (perfect substitutes)
Segmented markets theory
Explains only fact 3
investors have maturity preferences
investors generally prefer bonds with shorter maturities that have less interest-rate risk
Liquidity preference theory
Explains all 3 facts
Bonds of different maturities are partial (not perfect) substitutes
The interest rate on a long-term bond will equal the average of short-term interest rates over the long-term period PLUS a liquidity premium
Preferred habitat theory
investors have a preference for bonds of one maturity over another
they will be willing to buy bonds of different maturities, only if they earn a somewhat higher expected return
investors are likely to prefer short-term bonds over long term bonds