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how a population is surveyed
census
sample is a…
subset of a population
limitations of a census
time consuming to collect information about every unit of a population
resource intensive
costly
difficult to enforce participation.
parameter
numerical fact about the population which we are interested in e.g population mean
estimate (or statistic)
calculation of sample values which best predicts the parameter, e.g sample mean
selection bias
systematic tendency to exclude or include on type of person from the sample
non-response bias
caused by participants who fail to complete surveys
interviewer bias
when the interviewer has to make a choice of particpants in the survey or when characteristics of the interviewer have an effect on the answer given by participants
measurement bias
when the form of the question in the survey affects the response to the question.
examples of measurement bias
recall bias: people forget details
social desirability bias: people may not tell the truth
lack of clarity in the question: people may misinterpret the question, or certain words may be ambiguous and so mean different things to different people.
simple random sampling
probability sampling technique which involves drawing individuals from a population at random without replacement - each individual has an equally random chance of being selected from the population
stratified sampling
sampling from a population that is partitioned into subpopulations (e.g gender, age, location, etc). sampling is done independently in each subpopulation (stratum), ensuring that the sample is representative of the population with respect to certain characteristics.
multistage cluster sampling
takes samples in stages and simple random sampling is performed within each stage.
quota sampling
non-probabilistic version of stratified sampling, assembled sample is required to have a pre-determined number of individuals with respect to certain characteristics
may result in unintentional bias from the interviewers when they choose subjects to survey
convenience sampling
non probability sampling technique, subjects are selected because it is convenient to select them. (not recommended as the partcipants that are easy to recruit may not be representative of the population of interest)
sample surveys always involve ….. error, because…..
chance, each sample is just one possible draw from the population.
why does the SE from the box model need to be adjusted to get the exact SE for a survey?
because in practice surveys are drawn without replacement and the same person can’t be interviewed twice.
correction factor (finite population correction)
SEwithout replacement= correction factor x SEwith replacement
where:
correction factor = root [(population size - sample size) / (population size - 1)]
how do you construct a confidence interval from a single sample survey?;
estimate the box population proportion (mean) to be equal to the sample proportion.
follow the box model and the CLT, we can then assume the sample proportion (mean) follows a normal distribution, eith EV = meanbox, and SE = SDbox/root n)
bootstrapping
a computational process that allows us to estimate the properties of the population, by using the properties of a particular sample. it is a method of resampling with replacement from a sample to estimate variability and CIs.
what is a confidence interval
A range of plausible values for the population parameter based on sample data