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prevalence
total number of people in a population who have a disease or health condition at a certain point in time
incidence
number of new cases of a disease in a population during a specific time period
where and when did the outbreak start?
Dec 2013 with the death of a 2 year old boy in Meliandou (small village) in SE Guinea
countries affected
Guinea
Liberia
Sierra Leone
(UK had 2 cases after 2 volunteer nurses returned but were detected at the airport + put on drug trials + survived)
how did ebola spread + pattern of the outbreak
spread through direct contact with bodily fluids of infected people or infected fruit bats or contaminated objects (contagious diffusion)
disease spread with population movement between villages + cities(e.g. attending funerals) + across the porous borders into Sierra Leone + Liberia (spread outwards but remained highest at source) (expansion diffusion)
environmental factors causing the outbreak
fruit bats are host for ebola virus. contact with blood or bodily fluids led to ebola in human population
forest location of outbreak- SE Guinea village surrounded by bat habitat
tropical wet + dry climate- lots of forest food for bats in wet seasons, but in dry seasons, bats move closer to villages to look for food, increasing contact between bats + humans
climate change- dry season exaggerated, followed by abundance of rainfall + more fruit coincided with outbreak
human factors causing the outbreak
mobile population- migrant workers e.g. miners working in deforested areas returned to the city so spread in urban areas- civil war lead to a displaced population in unhealthy slums- 70% in Freetown (Sierra Leone) live in USS
deforestation + mining- humans came in close contact with bats
poverty- hunted for bat meat- free source of food. LIDCs had basic access to healthcare + sanitation facilities e.g. Liberia only has 1 doctor for every 100,000 people
civil war in Sierra Leone in 1991 + 2002 meant healthcare systems had collapsed
cultural practices- e.g. social greetings of hugging + hand shaking. funeral ritual of touching + kissing the body (e.g. one funeral lead to over 365 ebola cases)
Socio-economic impacts
Agriculture
Economic decline
Children + education
Reduced access to healthcare
Road blocks + quarantine checkpoints
stigma
Socio-economic impacts- agriculrure
40% of farms were abandoned in Sierra Leone (fear of infection)
Rice crops shortages caused 30% increase in prices in Sierra Leone
25% of households struggled to afford high food prices (food insecurity) = more hunger = lower ability to farm = lower household income (PFL)
80% of Sierra Leone’s population are farmers
Outbreak = lower productivity
Socio-economic impacts- economic decline
Loss of tourism
Businesses closed
Neighbouring countries closed borders so loss of trade
Farmers unable to sell produce
Liberia is the poorest country + suffered the biggest GDP losses = 11% of GDP
Sierra Leone = 4% loss of GDP = less devastating as richer of 3 countries but still LIDC
Direct + indirect costs
Guinea = 1.5% loss of GDP
Socio-economic impacts- children + education
10,000 children lost one or both parents to ebola in West Africa- 8,000 of these children were from Sierra Leone
7-8 months of school closures
5 million children across the 3 countries had their education affected by school closures- on re-opening, temps of children taken before entry
Less likely to return to school = long-term poverty
Some relatives refused to take in children = emotionally affected
Socio-economic impacts- reduced access to healthcare
Hospitals prioritised ebola so other diseases were neglected
500 health workers infected + 300 died = weakened long-term healthcare
Socio-economic impacts- road blocks + quarantine checkpoints
Restricted movements made socio-economic impacts worse e.g. farmers couldn’t sell at market = food shortages + economic decline, access to healthcare worsened as many hospitals are in cities so people have to travel from villages
Socio-economic impacts- stigma
Survivors rejected by families + community, faced threats of violence, lost incomes, hid symptoms + avoided healthcare workers
Direct responses used by gov and international agencies to mitigate the disease + respond to the outbreak
Ebola Treatment Units (ETUs)
Personal Protective Equipment (PPE)
Dead body management teams
Banning bat consumption
How were Ebola Treatment Units (ETUs) used as a direct response
Set up by NGOs such as Red Cross + MSF
Visitors not allowed
PPE worn
MSF deployed 3,900 medical staff
How was Personal Protective Equipment (PPE) used as a direct response
WHO recommended people in patients room should wear PPE (e.g. masks, gloves etc.)
How were dead body management teams used as a direct response
Red Cross followed procedure recommended by WHO = spray body with chlorine, place in at least 2 body bags + anything which touched body was burnt or buried as well as cremating the body
How was banning bat consumption used as a direct response
Officials in Guinea banned consumption + sales of bats after outbreak in region
Indirect responses used by gov + internationa agencies to mitigate against the disease and respond to the outbreak
Community awareness
Schools closed + careful reopening
National state of emergency
Contact tracing
Temperature screening
How was community awareness used as an indirect response
Educated on Ebola by NGO volunteers + locally educated people (task forces) e.g. posters, street drama (for illiterate). A song ‘Ebola is Real’ also released. Taught to ‘protect yourself, family + community’
How was school closures + careful reopening used as an indirect response
Closed for 8 months + reopened when there were safety measures
How were national state of emergencies used as an indirect response
All 3 governments declared state of emergency
Guinea = army enforcing travel restrictions through roadblocks
Liberia = night-time curfew enforced by troops + placed the capital, Monrovia, under quarantine
How was contact tracing used as an indirect response
Used to identify, monitor + treat new ebola cases quickly for anyone who came in direct contact
Contacts were watched for signs of illness for 21 days
How was temperature screening used as an indirect response
For air passengers arriving in UK + USA + asking questions about their health
Some countries banned flights from ebola affected countries
WHO response in March 2014
Activated Global Outbreak Alert + Response Network (GOARN)
Set up response roadmap reports where scientists looked at causes of the disease + the response required to control it
WHO response in August 2014
Declared ebola as a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) coordinating a global response = extra staff, tighter border checks + more donor funding
Direct strategies implemented by the WHO
‘70-70-60’ target launched in early 2014 = 70% of ebola patients put in isolation hospitals or ETUs, 70% of bodies done as safe burials within 60 days
Advised health workers follow strict protocols e.g. must wear PPE, have regular health checks + be trained in strict dead body-handling protocols
Encouraged internationa donations + NGOs to fund the setting up of ETUs
Indirect strategies implemented by the WHO
Deployed medical experts + health workers to support affected West African countries. They helped with more laboratories for rapid diagnosis, epidemiological mapping + contact tracing to reduce transmission
Advised the gov on public information campaigns to tackle fear, rumours + mistrust
Improved cross-border coordination between the gov of the 3 countries e.g. to share data on case numbers, set up checkpoints to take temp of people crossing the border, ensure contact tracing teams communicated across the border
Strategies used by the Red Cross
Raised £8.8 million to help tackle ebola in Sierra Leone
Trained over 1,600 local volunteers to support the ebola response
Educated 2.8 million people through dama events, text messages + door-to-door visits
Carried out contact tracing for 49,000 people
Trained teams to conduct safe burials, handling 78% of ebola related deaths, reducing further spread
Set up a 60-bed treatment centre in Kenema
Evidence that strategies have been effective