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Crude Birth Rate (CBR)
Number of births per 1,000 people per year.
Crude Death Rate (CDR)
Number of deaths per 1,000 people per year.
Natural Increase Rate (NIR)
CBR − CDR = population growth rate (does not include migration).
Total Fertility Rate (TFR)
Average number of children a woman will have in her lifetime.
Infant Mortality Rate (IMR)
Number of infant deaths per 1,000 live births.
Life Expectancy
Average number of years a person can expect to live.
Dependency Ratio
Ratio of dependents (under 15 and over 64) to working-age population.
Demographic Transition Model (DTM)
Explains population growth change through 5 stages.
Epidemiologic Transition Model
Tracks main causes of death at different stages of development.
Population Pyramid
Graph showing age and gender distribution of a population.
DTM Stage 1
High birth & death rates; low growth (pre-industrial).
DTM Stage 2
High birth rate, falling death rate; rapid growth (Niger, Yemen).
DTM Stage 3
Falling birth & death rates; moderate growth (Mexico, India).
DTM Stage 4
Low birth & death rates; stable population (U.S., France).
DTM Stage 5
Very low birth, low death; negative growth (Japan, Germany).
Thomas Malthus theory
Population grows faster than food supply; leads to famine and conflict.
Neo-Malthusians
Believe population growth still threatens sustainability.
Anti-Malthusians
Believe technology and innovation can support larger populations.
Push factor
Reason people leave a place (war, famine, lack of jobs).
Pull factor
Reason people move to a place (safety, better economy, education).
Forced migration
People have no choice but to move (conflict, slavery).
Voluntary migration
People move by choice for opportunity.
Refugee
Person forced to flee country due to conflict or persecution.
Internally Displaced Person (IDP)
Person forced to move within their own country.
Chain migration
Migrating to a place where family/friends have already settled.
Internal migration
Movement within the same country (rural → urban).
International migration
Movement across country borders.
Ravenstein’s Laws of Migration
Most migrants move short distance; long-distance migrants go to economic centers; most are young adults.
Gravity Model
Migration interaction = proportional to population ÷ distance².
Zelinsky’s Migration Transition
Migration patterns follow stages of the DTM.
Population density
Number of people living per unit of land area.
Physiological density
People per unit of arable (farmable) land.
Arithmetic density
Total population ÷ total land area.
Agricultural density
Farmers ÷ arable land area.
Pro-natalist policy
Encourages more births (ex: tax breaks, childcare).
Anti-natalist policy
Limits births (ex: China’s One-Child Policy).
Aging population consequence
Labor shortage, increased healthcare cost.
Fertility rate decline reason
Higher education and economic opportunities for women.
Stage 5 challenge
Shrinking labor force, high dependency ratio.
FRQ: Fertility rates fall as countries develop
Women’s education and access to contraception increase.
FRQ: Effect of an aging population
Labor shortage and high healthcare costs.
FRQ: Push and pull factor
Push: war; Pull: jobs.
FRQ: Refugees vs IDPs
Refugees cross borders; IDPs stay within their own country.