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Cyclically Adjusted Budget Balance
an estimate of what the budget balance would be if real GDP were exactly equal to potential output
Fiscal Year
runs from October 1 to September 30 and is labeled according to the calendar year in which it ends
Public Debt
government debt held by individuals and institutions outside the government
Debt-GDP Ratio
the government's debt as a percentage of GDP
Implicit Liabilities
spending promises made by governments that are effectively a debt despite the fact that they are not included in the usual debt statistics
Expansionary Monetary Policy
Monetary policy that increases aggregate demand
Contractionary Monetary Policy
monetary policy that reduces aggregate demand
Money Neutrality
changes in the money supply have no real effects on the economy
Taylor Rule for Monetary Policy
a rule that set the federal funds rate according to the level of inflation rate either the output gap or the unemployment rate.
Classical Model of Price Level
the real quantity of money is always at its long-run equilibrium level
Inflation Tax
a reduction in the value of money held by the public caused by inflation
Cost-Push Inflation
inflation that is caused by a significant increase of the price of an output with economy-wide importance
Demand-Pull Inflation
inflation that is caused by an increase in aggregate demand
Short-Run Phillips Curve
the negative short-run relationship between the unemployment rate and the inflation rate
Nonaccelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment
the unemployment rate at which inflation does not change over time
Long-Run Phillips Curve
shows the relationship between unemployment and inflation after expectations of inflation have had time to adjust to experience
Debt Deflation
the reduction in aggregate demand arising from the increase in the real burden of outstanding debt caused by deflation
Zero Bound
the nominal interest rate cannot go below zero
Liquidity Trap
a situation in which conventional monetary policy is ineffective because nominal interest rates are up against the zero bound
Indexation
when a contract is written such that the terms of the contract are adjusted for changes in inflation
Macroeconomic Policy Activism
the use of monetary and fiscal policy to smooth out the business cycle
Monetarism
asserts that GDP will grow steadily if the money supply grows steadily
Discretionary Monetary Policy
the use of changes in the interest rate or the money supply to stabilize the economy
Monetary Policy Rule
a formula that determines the central bank's actions
Quantity Theory of Money
emphasizes the relationship between the price level and the money supply; it relies on the velocity equation (MV=PY)
Velocity of Money
the ratio of nominal GDP to the money supply; it is a measure of the number of times the average dollar bill is spent per year
Natural Rate Hypothesis
to avoid accelerating inflation over time, the unemployment rate must be high enough that the actual inflation rate equals the expected inflation rate
Political Business Cycle
results when politicians use macroeconomic policy to serve political ends
New Classical Macroeconomics
an approach to the business cycle that returns to the classical view that shifts in the aggregate demand curve affect only the aggregate price level, not aggregate output
Rational Expectations
the view that individuals and firms make decisions optimally, using all available information
New Keynesian Economics
market imperfections can lead to price stickiness for the economy as a whole
Real Business Cycle Theory
claims that fluctuations in the rate of growth of total factor productivity cause the business cycle
Monetarists
believe in a slow steady increase in the money supply equal to the rate of growth of GDP
Rule of 70
# of years it takes for a variable to double = (70/annual growth rate of variable)
(Labor) Productivity
Output/worker.
Three Main Reasons for Growth in Productivity
Physical capital, human capital, technology.
Physical Capital
Consists of human-made goods such as buildings and machines used to produce other goods and services.
Human Capital
The improvement in labor created by the education and knowledge of members of the workforce.
Technology
The technical means for the production of goods and services
Diminishing Returns to Physical Capital
A characteristic of an aggregate production function where, holding the amount of human capital and technology constant, each successive increase in the amount of physical capital per worker leaders to a smaller increase in productivity.
Aggregate Production Function
A hypothetical function that shows how productivity depends on the quantities of physical capital/worker and human capital/worker as well as the state of technology.
Effects of Natural Resources
Natural resources can lead to a higher real GDP/capita, all other things equal. Often, all other things aren't equal.
Total Factor Productivity
The amount of output that can be achieved with a given amount of factor inputs.
Infrastructure
Roads, power lines, ports, information networks, and other underpinnings for economic activity.
Is World Growth Sustainable?
Most economists think so. Population increases and greenhouse provide complications, but they believe it's likely that solutions/alternatives will be found. Often, environmental issues have to do with complicated interactions with the government.
Economic Growth Graphically
PPC shifts out. LRAS shifts right.