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Survivorship bias
Proposed by Abraham Wald, who suggested bomber planes should be reinforced where bullets do not hit them as much (but are more critical areas of the plane) whereas everyone else suggested that they should reinforce the areas that are hit the most (but are less important as the plane is still functional without it)
Suggests people tend to ignore important areas as they focus on what there is rather than what there isn’t
Reflects publisher bias where publishers tend to prefer papers with significant findings rather than null findings
Confirmation bias
Tendency to look for information that aligns with one’s pre-existing beliefs
Leads to biased interpretations and memory
Unconscious
Cherry picking
Choosing data/information that aligns with one’s beliefs/wanted findings
Evidence suppression
Conscious
Biased thinking
Systematic, often unconscious lapses in judgement or thinking which stray away from the rational, resulting in distorted perceptions of reality
Attribution theory
Ways we explain other people’s behaviour - Heider et al (1958)
We have 2 primary needs:
A need to form a coherent view of the world
A need to have control of our environment
We tend to attribute causality as it ascribes meaning to the world and determines clarity and predictability, thereby reducing uncertainty
Locus of causality
Internal (personal) attributions - attributing behaviours to the person (dispositional)
External (situational) attributions - attributions behaviours to the situational (situational)
Stability and controllability
Weiner (1982) added 2 dimenions to the Locus of causality:
Stable vs unstable (permanent vs temporary)
Controllable vs uncontrollable
Fundamental Attribution Error
Assuming others’ behaviour is due to dispositional factors (their personal characteristics)
Napolitan & Goetals (1979) presented a friendly/unfriendly confederate to participants
Half were told she was behaving naturally, other half were told she was instructed how to behave
Ratings between when she was ‘behaving naturally’ vs instructed to act did not change - they still rated her similarly friendly or unfriendly
Suggests even with understanding of situational factors, we still tend to attribute characteristics dispositionally for other people
Perceptual Salience
When the person observed is the most perceptually salient, internal attributions become more accessible
Taylor & Fiske (1975) - 6 observes watched 2 actors have a conversation and were asked to determine who had the most impact in the conversation
Observers tended to say that the actor they were facing had the most impact in the conversation
Suggests we ignore other factors we are not paying attention to
Spousal attributions
Fincham & O’Leary (1983)
Happy marriages tended to rate positive characteristics as internal attributions (‘they’re a good person’) whereas negative characteristics were seen as external attributions (‘they had a bad day’)
Unhappy marriages tended to rate positive characteristics as external attributions (‘they’re only nice because they had a good day’) whereas negative characteristics were seen as internal attributions (‘they’re a bad person’)
Suggests our attributions depend on someone’s likeability
Actor-observer bias
The tendency to explain others’ behaviour by dispositional factors but explain our own behaviour by situational factors
Storms (1973) had 2 actors having a conversation while 2 observers watched them
They all then debated whether what the actors said was reflective of a stable personality trait
The actors emphasised situational factors for explanations, while observers emphasised dispositional attributions
When actors watched a tape of themselves, they tended to used dispositional attributions
Suggests we only see our situation as we can rarely see ourselves, explaining our tendency to look at situational factors, and others dispositional
Universality of attributions
There are cultural differences in how people use attributions
In collectivist cultures, people tend to explain behaviours using situational attributions
In individualistic cultures, people tend to use dispositional attributions (dispositional bias)