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what is credit risk
risk of loss from a borrower’s failure to make full and timely payments
expected loss (formula)
probability of default x loss given default
what are the bottom-up 5Cs
capacity
capital
collateral
covenants
character
what are the top-down 3Cs
conditions
country
currency
what are zombie firms
companies that struggle to repay debt, relying on continued refinancing to stay afloat instead of generating sufficient profits to cover interest payments and principal
what is the altman Z-score
a default prediction model
Z < 1,81 → high bankruptcy probability
Z >= 1,81 <= 3 → no clear bankruptcy risk
Z > 3 → low bankruptcy probability