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Bad Conditional Reasoning
reads the conditionals supplied in the premises incorrectly.
reads the conditional chain backwards without negating.
negates the premise and reads straight through.
Bad Casual Reasoning
assumes two things are correlated.
forgets about omitted options.
Whole to Part
Part to Whole
loophole: what if wholes/parts don’t necessarily equal parts/wholes?
Overgeneralization
taking a premise about one small thing and turning it into something big.
Survey Problems
You should always assume surveys are done with the greatest possible incompetence.
Biased Samples
Biased Questions
Survey Liars
Small Sample Size
Other Contradictory Surveys
False Starts
Researchers always assume that two groups are the same in every factor other than the one that is part of a study.
Loophole: What if the two groups were different in a key respect?
Possibility ≠ Certainty
lack of evidence ≠ evidence of lacking
proof of evidence ≠ evidence of proof
Lack of Evidence ≠ Evidence of Lacking
It’s not necessarily true/false so it cannot be true/false
Proof of Evidence ≠ Evidence of Proof
it could be true/false so it must be true/false
Implication
Person has a belief
Crazy person mentions a factual implication of that belief
Crazy person claims that person believes the implication of that belief.
Loophole: What is the person in question isn’t aware of what their belief implies?
False Dichotomy
Limits a spectrum: assumes there are only 2 options when there are really 3. up, down, unchanged
Limits options: pretends there are only 2 options when there could be more.
Loophole: What if there are more than 2 options?
Straw Man
“responding” to an argument by “mishearing” what was said. Look for a mismatch between the first speaker’s argument and what the second speaker responded with.
Loophole: What if what they sai has nothing to do with the claim they’re pretending to respond to?
Ad Hominem
Loophole: What if this person’s character/motivation doesn’t affect the truth?
Circular Reasoning
Assumes the conclusion is true before doing the work of proving it. Source? trust me bro.
Loophole: What if we can’t use the conclusion as evidence for itself?
Equivocation
Changing the meaning of a word throughout the argument.
Loophole: What if we shouldn’t let words change in meaning?
Appeal Fallacies
OPINION ≠ FACT
invalid appeal to authority/public opinion
Loophole: What if this opinion doesn’t equal evidence of fact?
Irrelevant!
Loophole: What if the premises and the conclusion have nothing to do with each other?
Percentages ≠ Numbers
Premises about numbers almost never lead to conclusions about percentages and vice versa.
Always assume group sizes remain the same. They do not.