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what is the first step in choosing candidates for a presidential nominee
the invisible primary
what is the purpose of the invisible primary process
people will test and carry out polling to see i they are a suitable/viable candidate. This includes making speeches and fundraising.
give an example of how the invisible primary affected the primary process
in 2016 17 candidates aimed to be the presidential nominee of the Republican party, of these 5 withdrew during the invisible primary
what will lead to a candidate withdrawing during the invisible primary process
a large degree of unsuccess in the polls and a failure to attract public attention.
where would candidates want to receive financial support from
PACs or Super-PACs
how much did the 2020 election cost
$6 billion, making the invisible primary season important
how can the primary process damage parties
there are televised debates between candidates of the same party, giving them a platform to advance their ideas and policies while highlighting flaws in other candidates.
give an example of the primary process highlighting divides in a party
Jeb Bush announced his candidacy in 2015 and was well received, but suffered bruising criticism from Trump during the invisible primary due to his attacks on Twitter.
when do primaries occur
between february and june of an election year
what is a caucus
a public meeting in which people vote either by moving to a part of a room for a certain candidate or through a show of hands
what is a primary
a state-wide election in which people cast a ballot for their candidate of choice
what are open primaries
- allow all voters in a state to take part, even if they are not a registered party member
- a Democrat voter could take part in a Republican primary
what are closed primaries
only voters who are a party member can take part.
what are semi-closed primaries
registered party members can only take part in their party's primary. Unregistered voters can, however, decide.
what kind of electoral systems are used in primaries
- proportional
- winner-takes- all
- proportional unless a threshold is reached
how can the timing of a primary have an impact
earlier primaries have more significance. for states later in the calendar, the decision for each party's candidate has often already been finalised.
give an example of primaries having different significance based off where they are in the calendar
in 2020 Trump gained the majority of delegates on 17 March but 25 states had not held their primaries at this point, including highly populated states such as California.
What is Super Tuesday?
when lots of primaries and caucuses happen on the same day
what are advantages of the primary process
- raises key national issues
- tests electability of candidates
- voter choice, democracy between candidates
what are the disadvantages of the primary process
- primaries divide parties
- time issues
- inconsistency
give an example of how the primary process addresses key issues
in 2024 Trump and Haley debated US intervention in Ukraine and how to deal with inflation
give an example of how the primary process tests electability
2016 Bush was seen as the most likely presidential nominee until he struggled against Trump in the primaries
how does the US primary process support democracy
allows voters to select their candidates adding an extra level of democracy
give an example of how the primary process provided an extra level of democracy
in 2020 Biden had to convince the Democrats he should be the Presidential candidate despite being preferred by party leaders
give an example of how primaries have divided the republican party
Hayley branded Trump traitor during campaigning, Trump said she was also a traitor for supporting NATO
give an example of how primaries have divided the Democrats
2016 Clinton called Sanders a Communist
why could the primary process be considered unfair
squeezed into 5 months, some primaries are more important than others. Some candidates have dropped out/already won the nomination before some primaries have taken place
give an example of when the primary process was unfair
in march 2024, trump was the only Republican candidate left but 50% of the primaries still hadn't taken place
how is the primary process inconsistent
due to federal system many state processes are completely different meaning voters in different states select candidates differently. This questions how democratic the primary process is.
How are democrat and republican primaries different
Republican primaries are more likely to be winner takes all, democrats more likely to be proportional.
what is a National Party Convention
the importance of these has decreased, the main role of the conventions now is to formally confirms the Presidential nomination.
what are the roles of the convention
- selects presidential candidate
- promotes the candidate to the party and the public
- created party unity after the divisive primary campaign
- adopting the party platform and policies
give an example of the National Party Convention being used as an important media opportunity
Obama's 2007 speech had an audience of around 39 million television viewers.
How can National Party Conventions benefit other party members
can allow some of the rising stars of the party to speak and make their mark, as Obama did in 2004
how does the party convention influence the party platform
allows discussion on and amendments to the party platform
How significant are amendments to the party platform
Now it essentially acts as a rubber stamp for party platform which is normally pre-approved.
give an example of opposition to a party platform being insignificant
in 2016, it took the convention just 6 minutes to approve the party platform despite concerns expressed by some of its members at the anti-LGBTQ+ content of it
give an example of a candidate using the National Convention to confirm party unity
Having lost to Obama in 2008, Clinton opened her convention speech with stating she supported Obama.
where is election campaigning normally focused
swing states
give an example of campaigning being focused on swing states
in 2020 96% of official campaigning took place in one of twelve swing states.
what did governor walker state indicating the importance of swing states
"The Nation as a whole is not going to elect the next president. 12 states are."
how significant are televised debates example
in 2016 Hillary Clinton appeared to have 'won' each debate according to polling conducted afterwards but went on to lose the election
what decides the outcome of a US election
it is not the popular vote, its the Electoral College votes
how does the Electoral College Vote work in most states
operates on a winner-takes-all basis. The candidate with a plurality of a vote in each state gets all of the states ECV's
give an example of the Electoral College producing an unfair outcome
2016, Clinton gained more votes by approximately 3 million but lost the electoral college.
2024, despite a narrow popular vote, Trump comfortably won the electoral college (312)
what are faithless electors
delegates who vote not as their state did
how common are faithless electors
in 2016 there were 10 of 538 - three of these had their vote invalidated as they broke state law but 7 were upheld
what could be considered a positive of the electoral college processs
it protects federalism. ensures both low and high-population states have a voice on a national level in much the same way the Senate protects this in Congress
what are the advantages of incumbency for a president
- name recognition
- presidential record
- campaign spending/fundraising
what are the disadvantages of incumbency for a president
- perception of incompetence
- insurgent/change candidates more appealing
give an example of incumbent presidents being re-elected
Obama in 2012.
Clinton in 1996.
Trump in 2020.
give an example of a president who used their presidential record to their advantage in a capaign
Obama in 2012 campaigned on his handling of the financial crisis and introduction of affordable healthcare
how can being incumbent be beneficial for campaign fundraising
an incumbent president can begin fundraising a year before most challengers. Donors will support them because they are already president
what suggests incumbency can lead to unpopularity
both Clinton and Obama lost support between their 1st and 2nd campaign
how has perception of incompetence affected incumbent presidents
Trump was ahead in the polls until the COVID crisis, Biden-Harris campaign undermined by inflation
give an example of an insurgent candidate being more appealing than an incumbent
Trump in 2024 looked like a radical alternative for an aging Biden
why is the US a two party system
- the use winner-takes-all
- nature of the USA
- party ideology
- expense of politics
- electoral rules
how does winner takes all create a two party system
elections are run on a winner takes all basis for districts and states, makes it harder for small parties or candidates to win
how does the nature of the USA create a two party system
the federal nature of the USA and the guarantee of a state's rights to run its own elections, make every election a small, single-seat election.
how does party ideology in the USA create a two party system
the two main parties have a broad ideology and it is difficult for a third party to carve out any distinctive policy area that it is not already covered by them. If it were able to, it would not take much for one of the main parties to take it.
how has the expense of politics created a two party system
US elections have become so expensive only the main parties have the money to compete
why is it convincing to suggets the electoral college needs to be changed in modern democracy
it has twice returned a winner in the Electoral college that hasn't won the popular vote in the last 6 presidential elections
how does third party control suggest the EC needs to be reformed
effectively excludes third parties from the electoral process as ECVs are often not allocated proportionally and third-party votes tend to be thinly spread across the nation
how does the Electoral College affect small states
they are overrepresented
give an example of how small states are overrepresented in the Electoral college
California has 54 ECVs and a population of nearly 40 million. Wyoming has 3 and a population of 600,000.
That means each ECV exercised by Wyoming represents around 200,000 people while a Californian one represents over 3 times as many people
why could the electoral college creating swing states be a negative thing
campaigning is focused on them, the majority of states are therefore almost ignored throughout the electoral process
how does the Electoral college influence federalism
- allows different electoral procedures
- with the US population heavily concentrated in a few big states. The role, culture and traditions of smaller states could be ignored without the electoral college
what is the consensus that the electoral college should be replaced with
there isn't one, there are slight reforms suggested but given the difficulty of passing an amendment, it is unlikely any change will be produced.
why is the way the Electoral College produces a winner a positive thing
it is clear.
what is the contribution limits by an individual limited
contribution limits for individuals to candidates in 2021-22 was set at $2,900
what are the most common methods of raising campaign finance today
- PACs
- 527s
- Super-PACs
how much can PACs raise
a $5000 donation per campaign
what are 527s
tax exempt organisations created to influence electoral outcomes without calling for the defeat or election of a specific candidate
what can Super-PACs donate
unlimited amounts, but cannot co-ordinate with campaignd
why is there a reluctance for campaign finance reform
because those in power have benefited from the current system and can be reluctant to reform it
what else has made campaign reform difficult
- where there has there been reform groups have found ways around this e.g. Super PACs and B27s
- Supreme court rulings
what is the benefit of the length of the presidential election process
ensures the candidates are able to withstand the demands of being president. The 2024 process showed Biden wasn't
what is the benefit of the electoral college
produces a clear winner despite the split of US political opinion
what is the benefit of the presidential election process for smaller states
electoral college means they have a voice. Despite Democrats winning every time in California, the ECV prevents overrepresentation of one area
how can third parties have a role in the Presidential election process
- share of the national vote
- trying to shape debates of an election (Jill Stein and Gary Johnson, 2016)
how are primaries democratic
allow voters a genuine choice, neither Obama nor Trump was the frontrunner when the invisible primary began but they triumphed
why is there a strong argument that the National Party Convention should be abolished
serves little democratic purpose. It is expensive + bad for the environment.
how can it be argued the presidential election process is elitist
the amount of money required to become the President, open to corporate influence
how else is the amount of money involved in the process negative
gives undue influence to interest groups and corporations over the voice of the general population.
give an example of how corporations have influenced democracy
National Rifle Association makes donations to candidates and therefore has control over policy
how can the length of the process be a negative thing
the length of the process can create political apathy among the voters which can lower turnout and undermine the legitimacy of an election.
what are the two national infrastructures called
the Republican National Committee
the Democratic National Committee
what do the national infrastructures do
head their respective parties, developing and promoting the party platform and organising fundraising
what is the ideology of the democracts
generally liberal, believing in progressive rights and some level of government intervention in both social and economic policy
what is the ideology of the Republicans
generally conservative, believing in individual rights and a limited role for the government in the economy and social policy, although a larger role in homeland security
what is the democrat v Republican stance on the death penalty
D: abolish
R: support
what is democrat v Republican stance on abortion
D: support women's right to access safe and legal abortion
R: want a 'human life' amendment to the constitution, unborn child has a right to life
Democrats on environment
globally competititive, clean energy economy.
Support Paris Agreement
Republicans on environment
support coal, oil, natural gas, nuclear power and hydropower.
Oppose carbon tax
democrats on gun control
- close loopholes and increase background checks
- ban sales of assault weapons and high capacity magazines
republicans on gun control
- support 2nd amendment
- oppose legislation to increase control
democrats on minimum wage
2020 pledge to raise to $15 an hour and guarantee equal pay for women
Republicans on minimum wage
argue it is an issue that should be handled at state and local levels
Democrats on healthcare
support increased access to secure, affordable health insurance. "Right for all, not a priviledge for the few"
Republicans on healthcare
repeal Obamacare