Public Opinion
how people feel about things
everyone is seeking approval
General Public
most Americans
care more about issues that affect their own daily lives
Issue Public
smaller group with an important issue that makes them become more politically active
this is important to politicians as they can pull in these small groups for votes
Saliency
degree to which an issue is important to a particular group or individual
ex: old people and social security habe a high saliency
Intensity
how strongly do people feel about a particular issue?
Stability
public opinion on an issue can change over time or can stay stable
Referendum
submits to popular vote to accept or reject a measure passed by a legislative body
Public Opinion Polls
how public opinion is more frequently measured
Random Sampling
method that allows pollsters to poll a representative cross-section of the public and apply it to the general population if done correctly = accuracy
Benchmark Polls
conducted by a campaign when a candidate initially announces their intention to run
provide the campaign with baseline data to see if their chance of winning an election improves over time
Tracking Polls
performed multiple times with an identical sample in order to track changes in opinion
Entrance Polls
conducted on Election Day as voters head into polling stations to cast their vote
Exit Polls
they target voting districts that collectivly represent they voting public and randomly poll voters who are leaving the voting place
discourages bias
Stratified Random Sampling
variation of random sampling
population is divided into subgroups and weighted based on demographic characteristics
Sampling Error
tells how far off the poll results may be
Political Socialization
how individuals develop their political attitudes
Family
parents
learned moral and ethical values
HUGE IMPACT
Location
rural v city, etc
School
learning about history and government
exposed to perspectives from teachers and peers
Religious Institutions
perspectives, morals, ethics
Mass Media
inform political issues but mainly takes on things that impact daily lives
Higher Education
start questioning their social and political assumptions for the first time
college = radical change
Ideology
a coherent set of thoughts and beliefs about politics and govt
Conservative
individuals responsible for their own well-being and should not rely on govt assistance
oppose govt interference w/ private sector
oppose federal regulations
laissez-faire economics where market determines everything
SOCIAL conservatives only want govt intervention for social issues
Liberal
govt should be used in a limited way to remedy social and economic injustices of the marketplace
support govt reg
support efforts to readdress past social injustices thru programs like affirmative action
strict church and state separation
no prayer and pro abortion
Moderate (Independent)`
view themselves as pragmatists who apply common sense rather than philosophical principles to practical problems
Race/Ethnicity
minorities usually liberal
Religion
Jews and African American Protestants liberal
Catholics politically left but conservative on social issues
white Protestants conservative
Gender
women more liberal
Income Level
rich liberal but fiscally conservative
poor conservative except for welfare
Region
East Coast liberal
South conservative
West Coast polarized but turning left
rural conservative
city liberal
News Media
important role in developing public opinion
BIAS bc sources, favorability, what is popular, time and money constraints
Public Agenda
determined by the media as it determines what is the most pressing political issues