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hindsight bias
also known as the i-knew-it-all-along phenomenon. the tendency to believe, after learning an outcome that one would have foreseen it.
overconfidence
tend to think we know more that we do
perceiving order in random events
finding patterns even in random data
peer reviewers
scientific experts who evaluate a research article’s theory, originality, and accuracy
theory
an explanation using an integrated set of principles that organizes observations and predicts behaviors or events
hypotheses
a testable prediction, often implied by a theory
operational definitions
a carefully worded statement of the exact procedures (operations) used in a research study. for example, human intelligence may be operationally defined as what an intelligence test measures. (also known as operationalization)
replicate
repeating the essence of a research study, usually with different participants in different situations, to see whether the basic finding can be reproduced
preregistration
publicly communicating planned study design, hypotheses, data collection, and analyses
meta-analysis
a statistical procedure for analyzing the results of multiple studies to reach an overall conclusion
exploratory research
investigators gather data and seek patters that inspire theories
confirmatory research
the researcher has a pretty specific idea about the relationship between the variables under investigation.
case study
a descriptive technique in which one individual or group is studied in depth in the hope of revealing universal principles
naturalistic observations
a descriptive technique of observing and recording behavior in naturally occurring situations without changing or controlling the situation
survey
a descriptive technique for obtaining the self-reported attitudes or behaviors of a particular group, usually by questioning a representative, random sample of the group
random sample
a sample that fairly represents a population because each member has an equal chance of inclusion
population
all those in a group being studied, from which rando samples may be drawn. except for national studies, this does NOT refer to a country’s whole population.
correlate
a measure of the extent to which two factors vary together, and thus of how well either factor (variable) predicts the other
correlation coefficient
a statistical index of the direction and strength of the relationship between two things (from -1.00 to +1.00)
variables
anything that can vary and is practical and ethical to measure
scatterplots
a graphed cluster of dots, each of which represents the values of two variables. the slope of the points suggests the direction of the relationship between the two variables. the amount of scatter suggests the strength of the correlation (little scatter indicates high correlation).
illusory correlation
perceiving a relationship where none exists, or perceiving a stronger-than-actual relationship
regression toward the mean
the tendency for extreme or unusual scores or events to fall back (regress) toward the average
double-blind procedure
an experimental procedure in which both the research participants and the research staff are uninformed (blind) about whether the research participants have received the treatment or a placebo. commonly used in drug-evaluation studies
placebo effect
experimental results caused by expectations alone; any effect on behavior caused by the administration of an inert substance or condition, which the recipient assumes is an active agent
confounding variables
in an experiment, a variable other than the variable being studied that might influence a study’s results
experimental group
in an experiment, the group exposed to the treatment, that is, to one version of the independent variable
independent variable
the variable that is manipulated
dependent variable
the variable that is measured; the variable that may change when the independent variable is manipulated