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Risk
the probability of suffering harm from some sort of hazard
risk- hazard examples
injury, disease, death, economic loss
Possibility
the event could happen
Probability
the chances of the event happening
three parts of risk assessment
hazard identification
probability of risk
consequence of risk
four parts of risk management
compare risks
risk reduction
risk reduction strategy
financial commitment
____ can play a big role in how we view risk
media
media’s role on risk assessment example
avian bird flu killed no one in US
common flu kills 35k ppl in US per year
5 types of hazards that humans face
biological
chemical
physical
cultural
lifestyle choices
Biological hazards
pathogens infecting humans
pathogens
living organism that causes disease in another organism
pathogen examples
bacteria
viruses
parasites
protozoa
fungi
Chemical hazards
in the air, water, soil, or food
chemical hazards examples
mercury in fish
radon in ground
ozone in troposphere
physical hazard examples
fire
earthquakes
tsunami
floods
hurricanes
Cultural hazards examples
bad working conditions
unsafe highways
poverty
lifestyle choices hazard examples
smoking
drinking
drugs
unprotected intercourse
overeating
3 examples of high risk health problems
indoor/outoor air pollution
pesticide residue on food
worker exposure to industrial or farm chemicals
3 examples of high risk ecological problems
global climate change
ozone depletion
loss of biodiversity
medium risk ecological problems (4)
acid deposition
pesticides
airborne toxic chemicals
toxic chemicals, nutrients, and sediment in surface water
3 examples of low risk ecological problems
oil spills
groundwater pollution
acid runoff
risk analysis
identify hazards and evaluate and ranking risk, making decisions about reducing risks and then informing decision makers and the public
what are statistical probabilities based on
past experience, animal testing, tests determining risk from older chemicals and technologies
what is the greatest risk to human’s reduced life span
poverty
what lifestyle choices can help reduce risk
avoid smoking, lose excess weight, eat healthy, exercise, drink minimal alcohol, avoid excess sunlight, practice safe intercourse
the more ____ a technological system, the more difficult it is to estimate _____
complex, hazarads
reliability
probability that a person/ device will complete a task w/o failing
reliability equation
technological reliability * human reliability= system reliability (%)
unfair distribution “not in my backyard” factor
no one wants landfills or power plants near them even though risk is small
so found in low income and minority areas
evaluating risk- fear
ppl over-estimate risk
worry more about unusual risks than common risks
new and unknown technologies have more “fear” to them
evaluating risk- degree of control
greater fear over things they can’t control
evaluating risk- catastrophic vs chronic risk
catastrophic events are more eye catching vs effects spread out over time don’t
evaluating risk- optimism bias
risks apply to other ppl but not them
evaluating risk- instant gratification
pleasure that behavior brings overrules brain’s realization of risk
non-transmissible disease
disease not caused by pathogen and not spread between people
non-transmissible diseases have multiple____ and develop _____
causes, slowly
non-transmissible disease examples
heart disease, cancer, asthma, malnutrition
as life expectancy ______ non transmissible diseases ______
increase, increase
transmissible disease
an infectious disease that can be transmitted from one person to another
transmissible is not always______
infectious
infectious disease
caused by pathogen
infectious disease examples
flu
HIV
Malaria
Chicken pox
spillover
inter-species spread of infectious disease
Genetic disease
passed from parent to offspring
what has caused the decrease of death by infectious disease after 1950
better health care, use of medicine, vaccination programs
as life expectancy increased the leading cause of death shifted to ______. why?
non-transmissible diseases.
body starts deteriorating with age and can’t defend itself as well
where are infectious diseases still a major threat
developing countries
what are the main pathways for infectious diseases to humans
air
food
water
animals
unsanitary habits
Epidemic
large-scale outbreak of an infectious disease in a particular country
Pandemic
outbreak of a disease becomes worldwide
pandemic example
AIDS
Disability Adjusted Life Years (DALYs)
measure of a disease’s burden
Tuberculosis
bacterial disease infecting 10m/ year killing 1.5m, easily infect other people
drug treatments effective, but allows bacteria to develop resistance to antibiotics if they cut treatment short and leave some bacteria in body
Multi-drug resistant TB
infects 500,000/year in Africa, China, India, Russia
people with multi-drug resistant TB must do what
be permanently quarantined from society bc it’s incurable
multi-drug resistant TB pose threats to who? and how?
health workers
mass transportation
what is needed to control TB spread
screening and control programs in developing countries (early detection)
develop new antibiotics
better treatment for people with AIDS (weaker immune system)
tuberculosis is density_______
dependent
what is the issue with treating viruses
few anti-viral drugs and they develop rapidly
three most widespread and dangerous viruses
Influenza (Flu)
Hepatitis B (HBV)
Human Immunodeficiency virus (HIV)
how is Influenza transmitted
bodily fluids and airborne
what groups does influenza kill mostly
young, old, immunocompromised, already sick
virulent strains of influenza can have a death rate of __%
80%
how many people did the Spanish flu kill
20-59 million
what do viruses do as they move between species
mutate and swap genetic material
what animals can flu infect
pigs
chickens
ducks
geese
1997 H5N1 bird flue
started in Asia, linked to Spanish flu
65% fatality rate
in chickens first, to humans in Hong Kong, then migratory birds
didn’t spread between humans easily, but w mutation it could
Hepatitis B virus
damages liver
sexually transmitted through exposure to infected blood, and from infected mother to infant
what does the CDC recommend to slow down HBV
campaign for increased vaccinations
increase testing
increase care and treatment for chronic HBV
HIV/ AIDS
sexually transmitted through blood
can only be slowed down
WHO priorities to slow HIV/AIDS spread (6)
reduce new infections
concentrate on those most likely to spread disease
provide free testing
advertising and education
provide low-cost drugs
increase funding for research and medicine development
West Nile virus
humans to mosquitoes that fed on birds w the disease
causes severe illness including encephalitis and meningitis
Ebola
from West Africa Equatorial region
high lethality
spread through contact with bodily fluids
Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) virus
showed up in China
human to human and animal to human
can lead to pneumonia
Covid-19
infected 700m people and killed 7m people
Malaria
mostly in Africa
caused by parasite, spread by vector
infects blood
deaths mostly in young children
describe how Malaria can be spread
female mosquito bites infected person, picks up parasite
mosquito passes parasite to another person
plasmodium moves to person’s liver and multiplies
blood transfusions and drug users can spread the parasite
the malarial cycle will repeat itself unless what?
immunity develops, treatment is given, the victim dies
why did malaria in the 1950s an 60s decrease
drain swamps
pesticides
killing plasmodium in patients
what are the reasons that malaria cases are increasing again
anopheles mosquitoes are pesticide resistant
plasmodium has become resistant to several drugs
clearing rain forests brings workers who contract and spread it
climate range increases range of anopheles mosquitoes
drug studies against malaria
artemisinins from wormwood
fungi acting as biological control
genetically modified mosquitoes to resist plasmodium or infertile females to outcompete natural species
low cost treatments for malaria
giving bed nets and window screens
zinc and vitamin A supplements for immunity
spraying homes with DDT
what are the simplest methods to help prevent deaths from infectious diseases
oral rehydration therapy
better sanitation
toxic chemical
any chemical substance that can cause temporary/ permanent harm or death
Carcinogens
cause or promote cancer
doesn’t develop for 10-40 years
Mutagens
damage DNA which can cause cancer
mutations in reproductive cells can be passed down generations
Teratogens
cause harm/ birth defect to developing fetus or embryo
premature births and low birth rate, and mental issues
teratogen examples
alcohol for pregnant women
pollution in China
what are the 3 major types of potentially toxic agents
carcinogens
mutagens
teratogens
Immune system
specialized cells that protect the body from disease and foreign substances
protects from cancer
what 3 things have been shown to weaken the immune system
arsenic
methylmercury
dioxins
Nervous system- neurotoxins
cause behavioral changes, learning disabilities, retardation, ADD, paralysis, and death
neurotoxin examples
PCBs
methylmercury
arsenic
lead
pesticides
Endocrine system
glands that release hormones
describe how hormones operate
use lock and key model with cell receptors
what do hormones help control
sexual reproduction
growth and development
learning
behavior
chemicals that mimic hormones
hormonally active agents (HAAs)
some HAA examples
aluminum
herbicides
mercury
BPA
hormone blockers
block action of hormones by blocking their attachment to receptors
HAA effect on sexual development and reproduction
mimic estrogen affecting female development
blockers affect androgen