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normative
what people should do (logical, mathematical)
descriptive
what people actually do
4 types of predicates
universal affirmative, universal negative, particular affirmative, particular negative
content effects
if the logically-justified conclusion is at odds w/ the real world, becomes harder
base rates
P(p) and P(q)
syllogisms
arguments consisting of 2 premises and a conclusion
syllogism example
all poodles are pets
all pets have names
therefore: all poodles have names
left ventral prefrontal & left temporal-parietal
reasoning about material w/ meaningful content
posterior parietal region
reasoning about problems w/o meaningful content
deductive reasoning
conclusions that follow w/ certainty from the premises (i.e., fred is the uncle of lisa)
inductive reasoning
conclusions that follow probabilistically from the premises (i.e., fred is older than lisa)
conditional statement
if, then
antecedent
if
consequent
then
Modus ponens
Given A is true, infer B is true -- valid
Modus tollens
Given B is false, infer A is false -- valid
Affirmation of the Consequent
Given B is true, infer A is true -- invalid
Denial of the Antecedent
Given A is false, infer B is false -- invalid
Bayesian inference
idea that estimation of the probability of an outcome is determined by prior probability and likelihood
Bayes nets
probabilistic graphical model
if-then statements
can be interpreted as logical conditionals or causal statements
Wason Selection Task
EK47. If a card has a vowel on one side, then it has an even number on the other side.
permission schema
performance on Wason task is better when the condition (if, then) statement is about a social norm
social contract rules
depend on our skill at detecting cheaters
logical quantifiers
Elements such as all, no, some, and some ... not that appear in statements like All A are B and Some C are not D.
universal statements
blanket statements with no exceptions. all or none.
categorical syllogism
statements containing qualifiers such as all, no, some...not. 2 premises and a conclusion.
atmosphere hypothesis
logical qualifiers in a syllogism create an atmosphere that predisposes participants to accept conclusions with the same qualifiers
particular statements
statements w/ some or some...not
mental model theory
ppl make a mental model of a world that satisfies the premises and inspects the model to see whether the conclusion is justified
conjunctive concept
2 stars. easiest.
disjunctive concept
2 borders or 2 diamonds
relational concept
# of objects = # of borders
attribute identification
determining which features are relevant
rule learning
determining what rule connects the features
confirmation bias
testing only instances that support hypothesis
ACC
when viewing inconsistent evidence, ppl have more activation in the _____
type 1 processes
rapid & automatic
type 2 processes
slow & deliberative
the backfire effect
ppl see contradictory evidence as an attack on their beliefs, so they strengthen their beliefs even more
selection bias
A polling error in which the sample is not representative of the population being studied, so that some opinions are over- or underrepresented
survivorship bias
an error that comes from focusing only on surviving examples, causing us to misjudge a situation (i.e., conductors).
Gambler's Fallacy
random looks more likely
availability heuristic
estimating the likelihood of events based on their availability in memory; if instances come readily to mind (perhaps because of their vividness), we presume such events are common