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Infectious disease emergence involves 2 main steps
An agent is introduced into a new host population.
The agent is established and transmitted within the new host population
R0 or R-nought
Reproductive number of a disease in a naïve population.
Essentially it is a measure of how many people one sick person can infect if there are no control measures in an unimmunized population (control measures depend on how a disease is spread).
If a disease has an R0 < 1 then it will fade over time as it takes more than 1 sick person to infect another.
An R0 of 1 would keep the same number sick all the time.
An R0 of > 1 means it will spread and the higher the number the faster the spread.
What is Rt/Re
Rt/Re is the effective reproduction number
Rt/Re represents the average number of new infections that would occur in a setting of non-pharmaceutical measures as well as background immunity because of natural infection or vaccine induced immunity.
Measures could include isolation, masks, education etc.
Effective measures vary by infection type
Herd immunity threshold is defined by
1 - (1/R0)
Herd immunity definition
When a sufficient proportion of a population is immune to an infectious disease (through vaccination and/or prior illness) to make its sustained spread from person to person unlikely
Has been used to establish critical vaccination level or threshold
Challenge: vaccination coverage difference between groups in a population
ASK approach
Acknowledge your client’s concerns
Steer your conversation
Knowledge - know the facts well!
Vaccine Development and Delivery: Step 1
Lab Studies:
Antigen research
epidemiology of a disease
infectious agent
Vaccine Development and Delivery: Step 2
Pre-Clinical
Animal studies
immunogenicity: immune response needed to prevent disease
challenge studies in animal models
Safety studies: no toxicities that would prevent their use in people
Vaccine Development Step 3 (Clinical Phase I)
Human Studies (10-100)
Immunogenicity
Local/systemic reactions
Vaccine Development Step 3 (Clinical Phase II)
Human studies (50-500)
optimal dose/schedule in target population
safety assessment
Vaccine Development Step 3 (Clinical Phase III)
HUman Studies (300-30,000)
Efficacy in target populations
Safety assessment
Passive Vaccine Monitoring
Canadian Adverse Events Following Immunization Surveillance System (CAEFISS)
Active Vaccine Monitoring
Immunization Monitoring Program ACTive (IMPACT)
Who Makes Recommendations for Vaccine Use?
National Advisory Committee on Immunization (NACI)
Falls under the Public Health Agency of Canada
Comprised of recognized experts - pediatricians, infectious diseases, immunology, pharmacy, nursing, epidemiology, pharmacoeconomics, social science and public health
Provides the scientific perspective
Makes recommendations for the use of vaccines independent of cost considerations. Only based on evidence and efficacy
Who Makes Recommendations for Immunization Program Planning?
Canadian Immunization Committee (CIC)
Comprised of federal/provincial/territorial public health officials
Review and provide recommendations on immunization program planning (e.g. cost-analysis of vaccines vs overall benefit to society)
Established to develop national goals and targets
Alberta Advisory Committee on Immunization (AACI) Role
reviews vaccine recommendations
provides scientific expert recommendations to Alberta Health for new or enhanced immunization programs
Immunization Steering Committee (ISC) Role
develop policies and high-level program guidelines
Decisions are made based on a variety of criteria including a cost benefit analysis to determine if a vaccine will be publicly funded.