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public opinion
the attitude and beliefs of individuals on political issues, candidates, and institutions.
polling
the prices of collecting date, by conducting surveys and studies, to measure what the public believes.
approval rating
measure of public support for a political, institution, or policy. measured typically by a percentage
focus group
small group of people brought tigether for a conversation on a certain issue/ topic
random sampling
the process of choosing people from the overall population to partake in a survey or study tagt is aimless or unpredictable
representative sampling
the process of choosing people to partake in a survey or study that reflects the demographics of the overall population
benchmark polls
surveys taken early in a campaign to measure initial support
tracking polls
surveys used to measure the changes in opinions about a candidate or politician overtime
exit polls
surveys taken outside of a polling place to make predictions about election results and analyze why americans may voting a certain way
opinion polls
measure public attitudes on specific issues
margin of error
how much results may differ from the true population value, 3% is typical
push polls
type of poll designed to influence public opinion rather than measure it, often by using biased or misleading questions
question wording
biased or confusing wording can affect the results of a survey or poll
question order
the way the questions are arranged can affect the results of the survey or poll
biased samples
a group of poll respondents that does not accurately represent the larger population being studied, leading to unreliable results
reliability
survey is consistent
validity
the survey is accurate
horse-race journalism
refers to media coverage that focuses on who is winning or losing in an election, based on polling data and campaign momentum, rather than on candidates’ policy positions or qualifications