APES Unit 3

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Baby boom

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75 Terms

1

Baby boom

Significant increase in birth rates that occurred in the United States from approximately 1946 to 1964, following World War II

  • create changes in population dynamics as they move through the age structure—-create competition for jobs, dominate demands for goods and services and have political control

  • echo-boom generation 1977-2000 largest generation ever; It would cause a population decline as they die off

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Carrying capacity (K)

The maximum number of individuals in a population that an ecosystem can support—based on limiting resources

  • population can briefly “overshoot“ (K) and then die-off happens

  • limiting resources like food, water, habitat, etc…

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Crude birth rate

Number of births per 1,000 individuals per year

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Crude death rate (CDR)

Number of deaths per 1,000 individuals per year

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Demographic bottleneck

Specific demographic characteristics of a population become skewed or unbalanced, limiting the population’s ability to grow or sustain itself

  • demographic characteristics such as age distribution, sex ratio, reproductive rate, etc…

  • often result from selectives pressures, environmental changes, or human impacts

  • can happen even if the overall population size remains stable—happens when the demographic structure becomes skewed

  • ex. population of species where most individuals are too old to reproduce

  • ex. population heavily affected by hunting or fishing that skews the ratio

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Demographic transition

A model that describes the changes in birth and death rates a country experiences as it develops economically

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Stage 1: Pre-Industrial (Demographic Transition Model)

  • High birth and death rates

  • Slow/stagnant population growth

  • Caused by limited access to healthcare, high infant mortality, and subsistence farming

  • Virtually no country is in stage 1

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Stage 2: Transitional/Industrializing/Developing (Demographic Transition Model)

  • High birth rates, declining death rates (from improvements in healthcare, sanitation, and nutrition)

  • Rapid increase in population growth

  • Caused by advances in medicine and hygiene (lower mortality rates)

  • Economic/Societal factors:

    • low GDP per capita

    • shorter life expectancy

    • declining IMR

    • high TFR

    • low literacy rate/school life expectancy for girls

  • ex. Africa, Guatemala, Afghanistan, etc…

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Stage 3: Industrialized/Developed (Demographic Transition Model)

  • Declining birth rates and low death rates

  • Slower population growth

  • Caused by urbanization, access to contraception, and changing social norms regarding family size

  • Economic/Societal factors:

    • higher GDP per capita

    • long life expectancy

    • low IMR

    • TFR is near replacement level (~2.1)

    • high literacy rate/school life expectancy

  • Ex. Mexico, Kenya, South Africa, etc…

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Stage 4: Post-Industrial/Highly Developed (Demographic Transition Model)

  • Low birth and death rates

  • Stabilized or negative population growth

  • Caused by high levels of education (particularly for women) and a focus on careers

  • Economic/Societal factors:

    • very high GDP per capita

    • longest life expectancy

    • TFR is below replacement level (<2.1)

  • ex. Canada, US, South Korea, etc…

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Developed country

Countries that have a large stock of physical capital and in which most people have a high standard of living

  • World Bank classification

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Developing country

Countries with low or middle levels of GNP per capita

  • World Bank classification

  • GNP per capita is a measurement that reflects a country’s average productivity per person

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Emigration

Species going out of an environment

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Family planning

The effort to plan the number and spacing of one’s children, so as to offer children and parents the best quality of life possible

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Gross domestic product (GDP)

The value of all final goods and services produced in a country in a given year

  • one of the most common ways to measure a country’s economic health

  • includes things such as investments, consumption, government spending, exports minus imports, etc…

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Growth rate (r)

% increase in a population (usually by year)

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Immigration

Species coming into an environment

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Infant mortality rate

The number of deaths of infants under one year per 1,000 live births in a given year

  • higher IMR → higher TFR due to families having replacement children

    • lower IMR → lower TFR

  • higher in less developed countries due to lack of access to: health care, clean water, enough food

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Intrinsic rate of increase

The maximum potential for reproduction and survival within a species under ideal conditions with unlimited resources

  • # births -(minus) # deaths

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Nonrenewable resource

Energy sources that cannot be replenished or regenerated within a human lifespan

  • finite resources that will eventually run out if used at a faster rate than they can be naturally formed

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Per capita

Per person

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Population density

Population/Area

  • a measure of the number of individuals living in a particular area, usually expressed as the number of people per square kilometer or square mile

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Population overshoot

When a population briefly exceeds carrying capacity

  • ex. deer breed in fall, give birth all at once in spring; sudden spike in population = overshoot

  • r-selected species are more likely to grow at a rapid rate and overshoot

  • K-selected species have better production regulation and are more likely to maintain population at carrying capacity

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Replacement-level fertility

Total fertility rate (TFR) needed for a population to replace itself without any increase or decrease

  • often slightly above 2 children per woman in developed countries

  • often higher in less developed countries due to infant mortality

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Rule of 70

A way to predict the doubling time of a population size

  • dividing the number of 70 by the percentage population growth approximates the population doubling time (70/r)

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Subsidies

In environmental science, financial support provided by governments to encourage certain economic activities or behaviors

  • can include direct payments, tac breaks, grants, etc…

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Sustainable yield

The amount of resource that can be harvested without decreasing the food supply

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Total fertility rate (TFR)

The average number of children born per woman

  • higher TFR = high birth rate → higher population growth rate

  • affected by:

    • age of first pregnancy

    • educational opportunities

    • family planning

    • governmental policies

    • infant mortality rates

    • healthcare access

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Survivorship curves (S curves)

Line that shows survival rate of a cohort (group of same-aged individuals) from a population from birth to death

  • steep slope/faster drop in line = quicker die-off of individuals

  • slower drop in line = longer average lifespan

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Type I curve

  • Early life - high survivorship because high parental care

  • Mid life - high survivorship because large size and population

  • Old age - rapid decrease in survivorship

    • most mammals (ex. humans)

    • mostly K-selected

    • late loss

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Type II curve

  • Steadily decreasing survivorship throughout life

    • in between r and K selected

    • constant loss

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Type III curve

  • Early life - high mortality (low survivorship) because little to no parental care

  • Mid life - few make it; slow, steady decline in survivorship

  • Old age - even fewer make it; slow decline in survivorship

    • ex. insects, fish, plants

    • mostly r-selected

    • early loss

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Die-off/Die-back

Sharp decrease in population size when resource depletion (overshoot) leads to many new fawns feeding in spring

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Predator vs. Prey relations and carrying capacity

  • Prey population increase due to low predator population

  • Predator population increase due to more food/prey

  • Increasing predator population limits prey population; leading to die-off of prey populations

  • Prey die-off decreases predator’s food source; leading to die-off of predator populations

  • Prey population increase due to low predator population (repeat and continues to repeat)

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Size (population characteristic)

Total number of individuals in a given area at a given time

  • larger = safer from population decline

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Density (population characteristic)

Number of individuals in an area

  • ex. 12 panthers/km^2

  • high density = higher competition, possibility for disease outbreak, possibility of depleting food

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Distribution/Dispersion (population characteristic)

How individuals in a population are spread out compared to each other

  • Random (ex. trees)

  • Uniform (ex. territorial animals)

    • evenly-spaced distribution of individuals within a population

  • Clumped (ex. herd/group animals)

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Sex ratio (population characteristic)

Ratio of males to females

  • closer to 50:50 is usually more ideal for breeding

  • die-off or bottleneck effect can lead to skewed sex ratio (not enough females), limiting population growth

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Density-dependent factors (growth factors)

Factors that influence population growth based on size

  • ex. food, competition for habitat, predation, water, light, disease, etc…

    • all limit population growth based on their size

    • small population doesn’t experience them, large ones do

    • tend to be biotic

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Density-independent factors (growth factors)

Factors that influence population growth independent of their size

  • ex. natural disasters (floods, hurricanes, tornadoes, fires…), droughts

  • doesn’t matter how big or small a population is, natural disasters affect both

  • tend to be abiotic

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Biotic potential graph

Max. potential growth rate, with no limiting resources

  • may occur naturally, but limiting resources slow growth and eventually limit population to carrying capacity

  • exponential growth/curve

  • J-shaped

  • all species experience this when they are small and first starting

<p>Max. potential growth rate, with no limiting resources</p><ul><li><p>may occur naturally, but limiting resources slow growth and eventually limit population to carrying capacity</p></li><li><p><strong>exponential growth/curve</strong></p></li><li><p>J-shaped</p></li><li><p>all species experience this when they are small and first starting</p></li></ul><p></p>
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Environmental resistance graph

Initial rapid growth, then limiting factors limit population to K

  • logistic growth/curve

  • environmental resistance → factors that limit growth

  • S-shaped

<p>Initial rapid growth, then limiting factors limit population to K</p><ul><li><p><strong>logistic growth/curve</strong></p></li><li><p>environmental resistance → factors that limit growth</p></li><li><p>S-shaped</p></li></ul><p></p>
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Population growth rate equation

(immigrants + births) - (emigrations + deaths)

  • if = (-), population is decreasing

  • if = (+), population is increasing

  • if = 0, population is stable

  • add total to existing population when done (subtract technically if negative)

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Fecundity

Ability to produce offspring

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Why are human populations sort of different from natural populations? (population growth)

Humans can alter their resource availability and carrying capacity

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Age cohort

Groups of similarly aged individuals

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Pre-reproductive age cohort

0-14 years old

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Reproductive age cohort

15-44 years old

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Post-reproductive age cohort

45+ years old

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Larger pre-reproductive cohort indicates:

Current or future growth

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Roughly equal reproductive and pre-reproductive cohorts indicate:

Slight growth/stable

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Reproductive cohort AND/OR post-reproductive cohort is larger:

Population decline

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Extreme pyramid shape (age group cohort)

Rapid growth

  • often less developed countries that want children in the workforce

  • to remember: stairs are easy to climb, and you can rapidly increase on them

  • ex. Guatemala, Nigeria, Saudi Arabia, etc…

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Less extreme pyramid shape (age group cohort)

Slow, stable growth

  • often less developed countries that want children in the workforce

  • to remember: a bit hard to climb, so you increase more slowly

  • ex. United States, Australia, Canada, etc…

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House (age group cohort)

Stable, little to no growth

  • more well-developed nations who have a focus on education

    • citizens will be focused on education, not necessarily children

  • to remember: very hard to climb, stay stable at one/a couple stairs

    • ex. Spain, Portugal, Greece

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Narrowest at base (age group cohort)

Declining population

  • more well-developed nations who have a focus on education

    • citizens will be focused on education, not necessarily children

  • to remember: practically impossible to climb stairs, so you decline (go down first stairs cause you realize you can’t climb it, so you climb down—kind of a stretch)

  • ex. Germany, Bulgaria, Italy

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Factors in IMR decline

  • Access to clean water

  • Access to healthcare

  • Food supply

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How does development/affluence impact TFR?

Wealthy nations generally have lower TFR

  • more educational access for women

  • more economical opportunity for women

  • higher access to family planning educations and contraceptives

  • later age of first pregnancy

  • less need for child to provide income through agricultural labor

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How does government policy play a role in TFR?

Through coercive or noncoercive policies

  • forced or voluntary sterilization

  • ta incentives to have fewer children

  • microcredits or loans to women without children to start businesses

  • ex. China’s 1 (now 2) child policy

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Malthusian theory

Earth has a human carrying capacity

  • likely based on food production

  • human population growth is happening father than growth of food production

  • humans will reach a k limited by food

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Technological advancement

Humans can alter earth’s k with technology innovations

  • ex. synthesize fixation of nitrogen in 1918 leads to synthetic fertilizer, dramatically increasing food supply

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Global population growth rate equation

(CBR-CDR)/10

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Factors that increase population growth

  • Higher TFR → higher birth rate

  • High infant mortality rate can drive up TFR (with replacement children)

  • High immigration level

  • Increased access to clean water and healthcare (decrease death rate)

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Factors that decrease population growth

  • High death rate

  • High infant mortality

  • Increased development (education and affluence)

  • Increased education for women

  • Delayed age of first child

  • Postponement of marriage age

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Standard of living

What the quality of life is like for people of a country based on GDP

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Life expectancy

Average a person will live to in a given country

  • key health indicator of standard of living

  • increases with access to clean water, health care, stable food resource

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What do high GDP and life expectancy generally indicate?

Development and low population growth

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Industrialization

The process of economic and social transition from an agrarian (farming) economy to an industrial one (manufacturing based)

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Pre-Industrialized/Less developed nations

A country that has not yet made the agrarian to industrial transition

  • typically very poor (low GDP)

  • typically very high death rate and high infant mortality

  • high TFR for replacement children and agricultural labor

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Industrializing/Developing nations

Part way through transitioning from agrarian economy to industrial economy

  • decreasing death rate and IMR

  • rising GDP

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Industrialized/Developed nations

Completed transition from agrarian economy to industrial economy

  • very low DR and IMR

  • very high GDP

  • low TFR

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Boom and bust cycle

When a population repeatedly overshoots the carrying capacity of their habitat and then crashes catastrophically

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Percent birth rate equation

(Births/population)x100

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Percent death rate equation

(Deaths/population)x100

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Percent change

((New value-old value)/old value)x100

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