Unit 7: Statistical Inference

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Degrees of freedom

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92 Terms

1

Degrees of freedom

________: which depends on how chi- square is being used.

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Ho

________: The distributions of the two populations are the same.

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Homogeneity

________: decides if two populations with unknown distributions have the same distribution as each other.

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Alternative Hypothesis

________ (Ha): A statement that we are trying to find evidence to support; contradictory to H0.

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Unbiasedness

________: the idea that a statistic is expected to give values centered on the unknown parameter value.

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Conclusion

________: conclude your results based on your interval with context.

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Ha

________: The distributions of the two populations are not the same.

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margin of error

The ________: how many percentages points your results will differ from the real population value.

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9

Independence

________: decides whether two variables are ________ or dependent.

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Bias

________: the difference between the estimated probability and the true value of the parameter being estimated.

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measurements

Two ________ (samples) are drawn from the same pair of individuals or objects.

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12

Correlation coefficient

________ (r): is numerical and provides a measure of strength and direction of the linear association between the independent variable x and the dependent variable y.

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Left

________- tailed tests:"too small "values of the statistic as compared to the hypothesized parameter value lead to the rejection of the null hypothesis.

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Parameter

________: characteristic of a population.

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Inefficiency

________: indicates that our guess is wrong unsystematically.

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test statistic

The ________: Measures the difference between the sample result and the null value.

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RR

Rejection or critical region (________ or CR): the set of test statistic values for which we should reject the null hypothesis.

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GOF

Ha for ________: The population does not fit the given distribution.

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Large test statistic

________: Observed values and corresponding expected values are not close to each other.

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Estimation process

________: procedure of guessing an unknown parameter value using the observed values from samples.

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Null Hypothesis

________ (H0): A statement of no change, no effect, or no difference.

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Parameter of interest

________: state what it is you are interested in with the context.

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Confidence interval

________: an interval estimate for an unknown population parameter.

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Hypothesis

________: a statement (or claim) about a property /characteristic of a population.

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Ho of Homogeneity

________: The two populations follow the same distribution.

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Parameter

characteristic of a population

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Statistic

number computed from the sample

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Estimation process

procedure of guessing an unknown parameter value using the observed values from samples

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Estimate

specific guess or value computed from a sample

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Point estimate

a single number computed from a sample and used to estimate a population parameter

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The margin of error

how many percentages points your results will differ from the real population value

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32

Unbiasedness

the idea that a statistic is expected to give values centered on the unknown parameter value

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33

Bias

the difference between the estimated probability and the true value of the parameter being estimated

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Variability

the degree of variation in statistics values

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Inefficiency

indicates that our guess is wrong unsystematically

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Confidence interval

an interval estimate for an unknown population parameter

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37

Confidence level

considered the probability that the calculated confidence interval estimate will contain the true population parameter

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Confidence level interpretation

"We estimate with % confidence that the true population mean (include the context of the problem) is between and (include appropriate units)."

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Hypothesis

a statement (or claim) about a property/characteristic of a population

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Hypothesis testing

a procedure, based on sample evidence and probability, for testing claims about a property/characteristic of a population

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Null Hypothesis (H0)

A statement of no change, no effect, or no difference

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Alternative Hypothesis (Ha)

A statement that we are trying to find evidence to support; contradictory to H0

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The test statistic

Measures the difference between the sample result and the null value

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p-value

the probability that, if the null hypothesis is true, the results from another randomly selected sample will be as extreme or more extreme as the results obtained from the given sample

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Large p-value

calculated from the data indicates that we should not reject the null hypothesis

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Smaller the p-value

the more unlikely the outcome, and the stronger the evidence is against the null hypothesis

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Type I error

We reject the null hypothesis when the null hypothesis is true

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α

P(Type I Error) = P(Rejecting H0 when H0 is true)

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Type II error

We do not reject the null hypothesis when the alternative hypothesis is true

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β

P(Type II Error) = P(Failing to Reject H0 when H0 is false)

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Left-tailed tests

"too small" values of the statistic as compared to the hypothesized parameter value lead to the rejection of the null hypothesis

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Right-tailed tests

"too-large" values of the statistic as compared to the hypothesized parameter a=value lead to the rejection of the null hypothesis

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Rejection or critical region (RR or CR)

the set of test statistic values for which we should reject the null hypothesis

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Non-rejection region

the set of test statistic values for which we should fail to reject the null hypothesis

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Critical value (CV)

the value of a test statistic that gives the boundary between the rejection and the non-rejection region

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Parameter of interest

state what it is you are interested in with the context

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Assumptions and conditions

check them fro the proper interval you are about to use

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Name the type of interval

state the name of the interval that youre about to set up

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Interval

perform your calculations and set up the interval

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Conclusion

conclude your results based on your interval with context

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p-value ≤ α

we reject the null hypothesis

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p-value > α

we fail to reject the null hypothesis

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If you Reject H0

There is sufficient evidence to conclude [statement in Ha]

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If you Fail to Reject H0

There is not sufficient evidence to conclude [statement in Ha]

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Parameter of interest

state what it is you are interested in with the context

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Hypothesis

State your null and alternative hypothesis

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Least-Squares Line

You have a set of data whose scatter plot appears to "fit" a straight line

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68

Least-squares regression line

Helps obtain a line of best fit

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69

Absolute value of a residual

measures the vertical distance between the actual value of y and the estimated value of y

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Slope equation

b = r (sy / sx)

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Interpretation of the Slope

"The slope of the best-fit line tells us how the dependent variable (y) changes for every one unit increase in the independent (x) variable, on average."

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Correlation coefficient (r)

is numerical and provides a measure of strength and direction of the linear association between the independent variable x and the dependent variable y

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73

Degrees of freedom

which depends on how chi-square is being used

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Population mean

μ = df

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The null and alternative hypotheses for GOF

may be written in sentences or may be stated as equations or inequalities

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Null hypothesis

The observed values of the data values and expected values are values you would expect to get

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Large test statistic

Observed values and corresponding expected values are not close to each other

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Expected value rule

Needs to be above 5 to be able to use the test

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Test of independence

Determines whether two factors are independent or not

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The null hypothesis for independence

states that the factors are independent

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The alternative hypothesis for independence

states that they are not independent (dependent)

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82

Expected value formula

(row total)(column total) / total number surveyed

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83

Test for Homogeneity

used to draw a conclusion about whether two populations have the same distribution

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Goodness-of-Fit

decides whether a population with an unknown distribution "fits" a known distribution

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Ho for GOF

The population fits the given distribution

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Ha for GOF

The population does not fit the given distribution

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Independence

decides whether two variables are independent or dependent

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Ho for Independence

The two variables (factors) are independent

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Ha for Independence

The two variables (factors) are dependent

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90

Homogeneity

decides if two populations with unknown distributions have the same distribution as each other

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Ho of Homogeneity

The two populations follow the same distribution

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Ha of Homogeneity*

The two populations have different distributions

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