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Risk
uncertainty concerning the occurrence of a LOSS
Loss Exposure
Any situation or circumstance in which a loss is possible, regardless of whether a loss occurs or not.
Objective Risk
defined as the relative variation of actual loss from expected loss. It can be statistically calculated using a measure of dispersion, such as the standard deviation.
Subjective Risk
uncertainty based on a persons mental condition or state of mind. Two persons in the same situation may have different perceptions of risk. High subjective risk often results in conservative behavior.
Peril
the cause of loss. Example, a car crash, the collision is the ______
Hazard
a condition that increases chance of loss
Physical Hazard
physical conditions that increase chance of loss
Moral Hazard
dishonesty or character defects in an individual that increase the chance of loss. Faking something like a fire or a car accident.
Attitudinal Hazard
(Morale Hazard) carelessness or indifference to a loss which increases the frequency or severity of loss.
Legal Hazard
refers to characteristics of the legal system or regulatory environment that increase the chance of loss. (Large damage awards in liability lawsuits)
Pure Risk
one in which there are only the possibilities of loss or no loss. Example is earthquake
Speculative Risk
one in which both profit or loss are possible. Example is gambling
Diversifiable Risk
affects only individuals or small groups, also known as nonsystematic or particular risk.
Nondiversifiable Risk
affects the entire economy or a large number of people within the economy. aka systematic or fundamental risk
Enterprise Risk
encompasses all major risks faced by a business that include pure, speculative, strategic, operational, and financial risk.
Strategic Risk
risk that arises from decisions made by the board of directors
Operational Risk
risk that is connected to internal resources, systems, processes, and employees.
Financial Risk
risk that refers to the uncertainty of loss because adverse changes in commodity prices, interest rates, foreign exchange rates, and value of the dollar.
Enterprise Risk Management
combines into a single unified treatment program all major risks faced by the firm: pure, strategic, operational, and financial.
Personal Risks
involve the possibility of a loss or reduction in income, extra expenses, or depletion of financial assets. Examples of this can be:
-Premature death of head of family
-insufficient income during retirement
-poor health (medical bills, loss of income)
-involuntary unemployment
Property Risks
involve the possibility of losses associated with the destruction or theft of property. Physical damage to a home from vandalism, fire, tornado, etc.
Direct Loss
a financial loss that results from the physical damage, destruction or theft of property, such as a fire to a home.
Indirect loss
results indirectly from the occurrence of a direct physical damage or theft loss, like additional living expenses after a fire. These expenses would be consequential loss.
Liability Risk
involve the possibility of being held liable for bodily injuries or property damage to someone else. There is no maximum with respect to the amount of loss. A lien can be placed on your income and financial assets. Defense costs can be enormous.
Commercial Risk
firms face a variety of pure risks that can have serious financial consequences if a loss occurs. This could be property risks, liability risks, loss of business, or others like crime, HR exposure, etc.
Burden of Risk
Three Burdens:
In absence of insurance, individuals would have to maintain large emergency funds.
Risk of liability lawsuits may discourage innovation, depriving society of goods or services
Risk causes worry or fear.
Insurance
a social device in which a group of individuals (insured) transfers risk to another party (insurer) in order to combine loss experience, which permits statistical prediction of losses and provides for payment of losses from funds contributed (premiums) by all members who transferred risk.
Insurable Loss (from the point of the insurance company)
For a loss to be insurable, it must be:
-Large number of homogeneous units (in order to predict average loss)
-Accidental and unintentional losses (to control moral hazard)
-Definite in time and place, measurable and of sufficient severity to cause economic hardships (to enable loss adjustment)
-Non-catastrophic (to allow pooling technique to work, not all insurance companies are being hit at once, draining the pool)
Insurable Loss (point of view of the insured)
Does this exposure warrant protection? Is the probability of loss low? How much is the premium for low probability exposures?
Adverse selection
undisclosed information caused people to pay less than their “fair” share
causes subsidization
because included with people paying more than their “fair” share
Private Insurance
Property-liability insurance, Life insurance, Personal lines, Commercial lines
Property-liability insurance
fire, marine (boat), casualty, workers compensation
life insurance
life and health, annuities
Other kinds of insurance
weather insurance, municipal bond, boiler and machine, motion picture compensation
Personal lines
cover real estate, personal property, or provide protection against legal liability
Commercial Lines
coverage for businesses, nonprofit organizations
government insurance
social insurance programs: social security, medicare, unemployment insurance
other: national flood insurance program, state health insurance pools
Costs of Insurance System
fraud and cost of doing business
benefits of Insurance Systems
payment for losses, peace of mind, loss prevention, facilitate credit, financial intermediation
risk management
making a pre-loss arrangement for post-loss resources, managing the risk, the logical way of controlling loss exposure.
Risk management statement of objectives
survival and growth, compliance with government regulations, efficiency, procedures and principles are implemented and followed
Steps of Risk Management Process
Identify
Measure (evaluate)
Choose most efficient tool(s) for loss control and loss of finances
Implement and review
Loss frequency
an estimate (numerical or verbal) as to the number of times the loss will occur
Loss severity
refers to the probable size of the loss that may occur; more important than loss frequency
maximum probable loss
a conservative estimate of what is likely to occur in a worst case loss
risk control
techniques that reduce the frequency and severity of loss; methods include avoidance, loss prevention, and loss reduction
avoidance
means a certain loss exposure is never acquired, or an existing loss exposure is abandoned, the chance of loss is reduced to zero, and it is not always possible or practical to avoid all losses
loss prevention
take various steps to reduce the probability of losses occuring
loss reduction
steps designed to reduce severity, take steps to reduce the damage before and after a loss
retention
the firm assumes part or all of the losses
retention level
the dollar amount of losses that the firm will retain,
max retention can be calculated as a percentage of the firms networking capital
methods for paying retained losses:
current net income: losses are treated as current expenses
unfunded reserve: losses are deducted from a bookkeeping account
funded reserve: losses are deducted from a liquid fund
credit line: funds are borrowed to pay losses as they occur
deductible
a provision by which a specified amount is subtracted from the loss payment otherwise payable to the insured
excess insurance policy
is one in which the insurer does not participate in the loss until the actual loss exceeds the amount a firm has decided to retain
manuscript policy
a policy specially tailored for the firm; language in the policy MUST be clear to BOTH parties; the parties must agree on the contract provisions, endorsements, forms and premiums.
hard market
profitability is declining, standards have tightened, premiums increase, and insurance is harder to obtain
soft market
profitability is improving, standards loosen, premiums decline, and insurance is easier to obtain
Stock insurers
incorporated insurance companies owned by investors; investors have limited liability, shares can be traded on an organized exchange (NYSE or NASDAQ)
Examples: Allstate, Lincoln National, Equitable Life, MetLife
Mutual insurers
incorporated, nonprofit organization, owned by policyholders; initial premium followed by dividends
Examples: state farm, liberty mutual
Reciprocal Exchange
unincorporated, nonprofit association (but not a mutual insurance company) third largest auto insurer
Lloyd’s of London
one of a kind coverage, not an insurance company but a coffee shop in 1688,
provided individuals with unlimited liability by being backed by other members of the community
Underwriting
refers to the process of selecting, classifying, and pricing applicants for insurance
Statement of Underwriting Policy
establishes policies that are consistent with the company’s objectives, such as:
acceptable classes of business
amounts of insurance that can be written
Line Underwriter
makes daily decisions concerning the acceptance or rejection of business.
Primary objective of underwriting
to attain an underwriting profit
secondary objective of underwriting
select prospective insured according to the company’s underwriting standards
the purpose of underwriting standards
reduce adverse selection against the insured
adverse selection
is the tendency of people with a higher than average chance of loss to seek insurance at standard rates.
maintain equity
underwriting should also _________ among the policyholders
-the application
-the agents report
-an inspection report
-physical inspection
-physical examination and attending physician report
underwriting starts with the agent in the field, information comes from:
-accept the application
-accept the application subject to restrictions or modifications
-reject the application
after reviewing the information, the underwriter can:
Production
refers to the sales and marketing activities of the insurer
Agent
represents the company, and is often referred to as a producer
Broker
represents the customer/insured
Direct response distribution
mass media advertising, direct mail, internet
ratemaking
refers to the pricing of insurance and the calculation of insurance premiums
a rate is a price per unit of insurance
exposure unit
the unit of measurement used in insurance pricing
actuary
a person who compiles and analyzes statistics and uses them to calculate insurance risks and premiums.
Objective of Insurance Pricing
Find the premium that equals expected costs including a return on capital
4 Determinants of Fair Premiums
-expected claim costs
-administrative costs
-investment income
-profit loading
Pure Premium
the premium that just covers expected claim costs
judgement rating
used when no reliable statistics are available
class rating
Class rating is a method used in insurance to group individuals or properties with similar risk profiles, allowing insurers to assign appropriate rates based on their level of risk
merit rating
class rating adjusted upward or downward according to individual loss experience
Objectives of claims settlement
-verification of a covered loss
-fair and prompt payment of claims
-personal assistance to the insured
claims adjustor
determines if a covered loss has occurred and the amount of loss. proof of loss may be required before the claim is paid. decides if the claim should be paid or denied
reinsurance
an arrangement by which the primary insurer that initially writes the insurance transfers to another insurer part or all of the potential losses associated with such insurance. Used to increase underwriting capacity, stabilizes profits, reduce the unearned premium reserve
ceding company
primary insurer is
reinsurer
the insurer that accepts the insurance from the ceding company is the
retention limit
the amount of insurance retained by the ceding company
cession
the amount of insurance ceded to the reinsurer is known as
unearned premium reserve
represent the unearned portion of gross premiums on all outstanding policies at the time of valuation
facultative reinsurance
An optional, case-by-case method that is used when the ceding company receives an application for insurance that exceeds its retention limit. often used when the primary insurer has an application for a large amount of insurance
Treaty reinsurance
the primary insurer has agreed to cede insurance to the reinsurer and the reinsurer has agreed to accept the business.
securitization of risk
means that an insurable risk is transferred to the capital markets through the creation of financial instruments, such as futures contract
catastrophe bonds
corporate bonds that permit the insurer of the bond to skip or reduce the interest payments if a catastrophic loss occurs. these are growing in importance and are considered to be a standard supplement to traditional reinsurance.
investments
because premiums are paid in advance, they can be invested until needed to pay claims and expenses
investment income
extremely important in reducing the cost of insurance to policyowners and offsetting unfavorable underwriting experience
life insurance contracts
long term, safety of principal is a primary consideration