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Period Rates --> Proximate determinants of fertility
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Period Rates
describes the average number of children born to a “synthetic cohort” or “hypothetical cohort” of women rather than a real birth cohort
What does a Period Rate measure
represents cross-section of the population at a specific year
Is a Period rate or Cohort Rate a more timely measure of fertility?
Period Rate because you do not need to wait for a cohort of women to reach the end of their childbearing years around 45-40.
Cohort Rates
Measures follow the reproductive behavior of women born in the same year
Fecundity
Is a biological, individual process
What are the characteristics of Fecundity?
physiological ability of a person or couple to have a child
females are ____ from menarche(age 12) to menopause(about age 50)
Males are from puberty forward
Fertility
is a social, population process
What are the characteristics of Fertility?
the social realization of the biological ability to have children
many people have the ability to have children, but delay having children until they finish school or get married
Fertility is more complex at measuring than…
mortality
Why is Fertility more complex than measuring mortality?
not everyone gives birth
fertility is limited by a min & max age
fertility is repeatable event, and plural births (twins/triplets) are possible
fertility involves two individuals of the opposite gender
Crude Birth Rates
provides information on how population size is changing due to births
Why is Crude Birth Rates —> “CRUDE”
includes the entire population rather than those “at risk” of having children
What does Crude Birth Rate ignore?
age structure of the population
General Fertility Rate
the number of live births per 1,000 women of childbearing age (typically 15-44 years) given in a year
Reproduction Rates
the rate at which a generation of women are reproduced to the next generation of women
What does reproduction rates calculate
average number of daughters a woman can expect to have
Gross Reproduction Rate
average number of daughters a woman can expect to have, assuming birth rates remain constant and all women survive throughout childbearing years
If a Gross Reproduction Rate is >1.0…
next generation of women will be larger than current one
If a Gross Reproduction Rate is =1.0…
women will replace themsleves
If a Gross Reproduction Rate is <1.0…
next generation of women will be smaller than current one
Net Production Rate (NRR)
number of daughters that a woman can expect to bear, taking into account her risk of dying during her reproductive years
Age-specific fertility rates
the annual number of live births to women in a specific age group (like 20-24) per 1,000 women in that same age group
Total Fertility Rate
a key demographic measure showing the average number of children a hypothetical woman would have in her lifetime if she experienced current age-specific birth rates throughout her childbearing years (typically ages 15-49), expressed as children per woman.
Theories of why fertility declined
Mortality decline = fertility decline
Intergenerational wealth flow
Children have become more expensive
Social contact and diffusion
Mortality decline = fertility decline
children are more likely to survive to adulthood
International Wealth Flow: Pre-Transition
wealth flows form children to parents (free labor, financial support in old age)
International Wealth Flow: Post-Transition
wealth flows from parents to children (education)
Social Contact & Diffusion
once a region in a country has begun a decline, neighboring regions with the same language or culture follow (even if less developed)
Proximate determinants of fertility
Proportion Married
Contraceptive Use
Level of induced abortion
Infecundity during breastfeeding
Proportion Married
household with both mother and father
mother well-educated
later age at marriage
Infecundity during breastfeeding
prolongs postpartum amenorrhea and suppressed ovulation