(Mod 12) From Great Game to Grand Bargain Ending Chaos in Afghanistan and Pakistan Barnett R. Rubin and Ahmed Rashid

What is the main reason the “Great Game” has become more dangerous today?

Many more actors are involved (U.S., NATO, Pakistan, India, Iran, Taliban, al‑Qaeda), and violence now affects the entire region and world.

Why is Pakistan central to the Afghan conflict?

Pakistan shelters Taliban/al‑Qaeda elements in FATA and views the Taliban as a strategic asset against India and Afghanistan.

Why can’t Afghanistan sustain its own security forces long‑term?

The Afghan government’s revenue is too small; maintaining the army/police would cost far more than the entire national budget.

What political solution do Rubin & Rashid propose?

Negotiate with non‑al‑Qaeda insurgents, offer political inclusion and FATA integration in exchange for breaking with al‑Qaeda and ending cross‑border attacks.

What is the purpose of the proposed UN “contact group”?

To address Pakistan’s security fears, involve regional powers, and create a diplomatic framework to stabilize Afghanistan.