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Why use arguments?
To understand complex realities.
3 types of arguments
Descriptive, Causal, Prescriptive.
Descriptive arguments answer?
“What is…?”
Causal arguments answer?
“Why” or “How?”
Prescriptive arguments answer?
“What should be…?”
Types of descriptive arguments
Indicators, Syntheses, Typologies, Associations.
Example of indicator
Voter turnout.
Causal claim structure
X ➡️ Y with mechanism, order, correlation, no Z.
Causal mechanism
How X affects Y.
Temporal order
X happens before Y.
3 good argument criteria
Truth, Precision, Generality.
Parsimony
Explains much with few assumptions.
Boundedness
Applies to a specific group.
Assessing arguments
Theory + evidence.
What is a concept?
Abstract idea of a real-world thing.
Why clear concepts matter?
Weak concepts = weak arguments.
3 steps to use a concept
Specification, Operationalization, Measurement.
Operationalization
Turning a concept into a variable.
Variable requirements
Varies, disjunct, exhaustive.
Manifest vs. latent
Manifest = visible; Latent = needs indicator.
3 measurement criteria
Objectivity, Reliability, Validity.
Validity
Measures what it's supposed to.
Reliability
Gives consistent results.
Example of concept issue
Metis ID rise = maybe just definitions.