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Population of units
a group of entities having some quantifiable characteristics in common
Population of observations
A group consisting of the numerical vallues of a quantifiable characteristics determined for each member of a population of units
Sample
A subset of a population
Sampling strategy
population —> sample —> sample statistic —> estimate population parameters
Statistical inference
A conclusion concerning a population of observations made on the basis of a sample of observation
Population vs. Sample
Sample: Find reasonable estimators of the parameter (population)
Sample Probability samples
simple random sample
stratified sample
cluster sample
Simple Random Sample (SRS)
size n is taken when every possible subset of n units in the population has the same chance of being the sample. The simplest form of probability sample. Easy design and analyze
Stratified Sample
the population is divided into subgroups called strata. Then an SRS is selected from each stratum, and the SRS in the strata are selected independently. Often used for subgroups of interest
Cluster Sample
Observation units in the population are aggregated into larger sampling units, called cluster. Cheap, convenient to manage but less precise and extensive statistical analysis
Forms of Bias
Selection, measurement, confounding factors
Selection bias
convenience sample, purposefully selecting “representative” sample, mis-specifying the target population, failing to include all the target population in the sampling frame
Measurement bias
do not tell the truth, do not understand the questions, forget, different answers to different interviewers, particular interviewer, questionnaire design
Confounding factors
Situation in which a measure of the effect of an exposure on risk is distorted because of the association of exposure with other factors that influence the outcome under study
Statistics
the science of collecting, organizing, summarizing, analyzing, and makign inferences from data
Descriptive statistics
includes collecting, organizing, summarizing, and presenting data. Used to summarize and present data related to public health issues. Focus on describing what is currently known about a population’s health without making inferences.
Inferential statistics
Includes making inferences, hypothesis testing, and determining relationships. Helps public health professionals determine rates after an intervention, is statistically significant and likely to apply to the entire population
Qualitative data
Categorical-anything that is not a # (Sex, etc)
Quantitative data (numeric)
Anything that is measured (Age, weight, etc)
Measure of Effect
Calculate point estimate and confidence interval of the ‘risk’ associated with an exposure
Rate ratio
If =1 there is no relationship between the exposure and the outcome
Interpreting measures of effects
OR= 1, no association
OR>1, risk factor
OR<1, protective factor
What is a p-value?
measure the likelihood that the observed estimate is due to random sampling error
What affects statistical power?
Beta error (type II)- lower statistical power
total sample size and group within sample size
alpha error (type I)- probability of rejecting a null hypothesis when it is actually true
T-Test
A statistical hypothesis test used to determine if there is a significant difference between the means of two groups or samples A
ANOVA
analysis of variance- is a statistical test used to analyze the variation between multiple groups or conditions to determine whether there are statistically significant differences