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Output gap
current GDP-Potential GDP/ Potential GDP
Business Cycles
short-term fluctuations in economic activity
What happens if we’re above potential?
Inflation will be stressed because unemployment is low.
What is a negative output gap?
Output is below potential, there are idle resources, and it typically corresponds with high unemployment
What is a positive output gap?
output is above potential output; the economy is using its resources with intensity
Potential output
level of output that occurs when all resources are fully employed
How does long-run economic growth reflect growth?
Reflects growth in an economy’s potential output- capital, technology
When does unemployment rise substantially?
During recession
What rises for a period post-recession?
Unemployment
Why does unemployment continue post-recession?
Discouraged workers, lagging indicators, going against economy.
What is a peak?
A high point.
What is a trough?
Low point.
What is a recession?
Declining economic activity, happens quickly
Expansion
period of increasing economic activity
Levels
Tell you where economy is
How do you look at where the economy is?
Look at the level of GDP relative to potential output
Changes
Tells where economy is going
How do you look where economy is going?
Look @ GDP growth rates
Recessions
Short and sharp
Expansions
Long and gradual