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Aggregate Demand (AD)
Total demand for all goods/services in an economy at a given price level
Short-run Aggregate Supply (SRAS)
total goods/services firms produce in the short run
Long-run Aggregate Supply (LRAS)
the productive potential of economy operating at full capacity
AD = C + I + G +(X-M)
consumer spending + investment + gov spending + (exports-imports)
Demand-Pull Inflation
prices rise because AD exceeds SRAS
Cost-Push Inflation
Prices rise due to higher production costs, shifting SRAS left
National Income
Total earnings from all resources in an economy
Scenario A
economy is in a recession (output recessionary gap)
Scenario B
SRAS, LRAS, and AD intersect (full-employment)
Scenario C
too much AD so economy is overheating (inflationary gap)
Full-Employment Equilibrium
Economy produces at LRAS
Output Gap
actual GDP is below potential GDP
Inflationary Gap
Actual GDP is greater than Potential GDP
Recessionary Gap
Actual GDP is less than Potential GDP
Long-Run Equilibrium
the process of entry or exit is complete - remaining firms earn zero economic profit
U > NRU
Unemployment exceeds the natural rate
U = NRU
Economy at full employment
U < NRU
Unemployment below natural rate
Tax Multiplier
-MPC/(1−MPC) → effect of tax changes on GDP
Spending Multiplier
1/(1−MPC) - effect of spending on GDP
Balanced Budget Multiplier
the factor by which a change in both spending and taxes changes real GDP
Multiplier Effect
Initial spending trades hands with many people, leads to larger total GDP change
Marginal Propensity to Save (MPS)
(MPS) Fraction saved (MPS=1-MPC)
Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC)
Fraction of extra income spent
Fiscal Policy
Gov uses spending to influence AD
Neoclassical Economic Theory
Laissez-faire focus on long-run supply-side growth
Keynesian Economic Theory
Focuses on short-run demand-side fixes
Long-Run "self-adjustment"
Economy returns to LRAS over time without government intervention b/c of lower wage expectations
Automatic Stabilizers
Policies that counter recessions/inflation without new laws
SRAS "Shifters"
Input costs, supply shocks, government regulations
AD "Shifters"
Changes in C, I, G, (X-M) (e.g., consumer confidence, interest rates, government spending)
Output (Y)
The amount of goods/services produced in the economy
Actual Output (Y) versus Potential Output (Yf)
Y is Real GDP produced, Yf is Max GDP at full employment
Inventories
Unsold supplies for businesses
Financial Asset
Claim on future income
Bonds
Loans to governments/corporations that pay interest
Liquidity
Ease of converting assets to cash
Nominal Interest Rate (NIR)
The cost of a loan that does not account for inflation
Real Interest Rate (RIR)
(Nominal rate - inflation rate) for interest
Monetary Base (M0)
Physical currency + bank reserves
Money Supply (M1)
Cash + checkable deposits
Money Demand
The sum of the transaction demand and the asset demand for money; inversely related to NIR
Required Reserves
Cash banks must hold (set by Fed)
Excess Reserves
Extra cash banks can lend
Assets vs. Liabilities
Assets: Tangible and intangible property under the bank's control and/or possession
Liabilities: Others' legal claims on bank assets
Reserve Ratio
Required reserves/total deposits
Money Multiplier
1/Reserve Ratio1/Reserve Ratio → max money banks can create from $1 deposit (Do not confuse this with Multiplier Effect)
The Federal Reserve
Central bank managing U.S money supply
Monetary Policy
Fed adjusts interest rates via the money supply or via administered rates to stabilize AD
Discount Rate
Interest rate Fed charges banks for loans from the Fed
Open Market Operations (OMO)
Fed buying or selling bonds from/to banks to impact NIR
Reserve Requirement
% of deposits banks must hold
The Money Market
Where Fed influences short-term interest rates (via supply/demand for money)
The Loanable Funds Market
Where savers supply funds and borrowers demand loans (determines real interest rates)
Limited Reserves Framework
Fed targets NIR via money supply -> ex: RR [Reserve requirement], OMO, DR [Discount rate] (pre-2008)
Ample Reserves Framework
Fed uses IOR to control rates (post-2008)
Administered Rates
Interest rates set directly by the Fed
Interest on Reserves (IOR)
Rate Fed pays banks to hold reserves
Liquidity Preference
A general tendency for investors to prefer short-term (that is, more liquid) securities
Expansionary Fiscal Policy
↑ Gov spending or ↓ taxes = ↑ AD (right shift)
Contractionary Fiscal Policy
↓ Gov spending or ↑ taxes = ↓ AD (left shift)
Expansionary Monetary Policy
Central bank ↑ money supply (buy bonds, ↓ rates) → ↓ interest rates = ↑ AD
Contractionary Monetary Policy
Central bank ↓ money supply (sell bonds, ↑ rates) → ↑ interest rates = ↓ AD
Fed Funds Rate
Rate banks charge each other for overnight loans
Policy Rate
Central bank's benchmark rate to steer economy
Money Supply "Shifters"
OMO (buy/sell bonds); reserve ratio rate changes; discount rate changes
Money Demand "Shifters"
National Income (Y): ↑Income → ↑Money demand (more spending).
Price Level (PL): ↑Prices → ↑Money demand (more $ needed for transactions).
Interest Rates: ↑Interest Rates → ↓Money demand (higher opportunity cost of holding cash).
Demand Deposits
Checking accounts
Process of Money Supply Expansion (Via Deposits)
Deposit = bank keeps reserves → lends excess → gets spent → redeposit → repeat
Total money = Initial deposit × money multiplier (1/ required reserve ratio)