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Week 4
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Demography
The study of human populations:
population size
population composition
Processes that influence both of the above
Population Distribution
Where people are located and in what numbers
Factors affecting distribution include:
physical (temperature, water, relief, soil quality
cultural (continuation of ancient civilizations)
economic, political, and social (war, poor economy, discrimination)
Dimensions used to measure are
Density, concentration, and pattern
Population analysis is dependent on Census Data
Census
Routine counting of individuals and collection of demographic data
LDCs typically don’t have the infrastructure to carry out routine, organized censuses
UN created a Standardized census protocol
Three Areas of Historic Concentration
South-Central Asia
Clustered along key rivers and coasts
Bulk of population lives rurally
East Asia
Concentrated on West coast of China and along rivers
Europe
More urban, especially in Northern and Western Europe
Population Density
Measures of population over an area
Represents a historical pattern of agriculture
Factors Affecting Population Growth/Decline
Fertility, Mortality, Migration
Global Demographic Equation
P1 = P0 + B - D
P1 = Population at beginning of time period 1
P0 = Population at the beginning of time period 0 (before period 1)
B = Births between time period 0 and 1
D = Deaths in between time period 0 and 1
Sub-global Demographic Equation
P1 = P0 + B - D + I - E
I = Number of migrants into the area between time periods 0 and 1
E = Number of migrants out of the area between times 0 and 1
Measuring Fertility
Two Methods
Crude Birth Rate (CBR)
# of Live Births in a given period per 1000 people
Simplest measure of fertility
Total Fertility Rate (TFR)
Average number of children a woman will have, assuming she has children at the prevailing age-specific rates
Replacement Level
Between 2.1 - 2.5 children per couple replaces a population adequately
Factors affecting Fertility
Biological
affected by age, nutrition, diet
Economic
Cost-benefit decision
Cultural
Marriage age and rates affects birth rates
Contraceptive use
Views on abortion
Variations in Fertility
Correlations between fertility and economic development
LDCs have higher fertility rates
Women less educated can’t enter the work force
Religious stigma keeps women at home
MDCs have lower fertility rates
Industrialization leads to lower fertility rates
Educated women are less likely to have kids
Internal spatial differences
Urban (low fertility) vs Rural (high fertility) differences
Measuring Mortality
CDR (Crude Death Rate) = Total deaths in a given period per 1000 people
Less variable: affected by well-being and age
Infant Mortality
Good Indicator of social well-being
Death of infants <1 year old per 1000 live births / year
Life Expectancy
Average number of years one is expected to live
Good measure of well being
Factors affecting Life Expectancy
Food availability
Nutrition quality
Sanitation quality Health care availability and quality
Disease
Conflict/War
Variations in Mortality
CDR can never be 0
Easier to explain with fewer cultural variations
World CDR patterns less variable than CBR
Reflects Age Structure more than Socio-economic status (Sweden has a higher CDR than Bangladesh, older population base)
Variations in Life Expectancy
Reflects Socio-economic status
Varies between and within countries
Affected by access to resources