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arugment
a group of statements where the conclusion is supported by the premises
deductive
conclusion must be true if the premises are true
inductive
the stronger the premises the more likely the conclusion is true
moral premises
statements that express what is right, wrong, good, bad
evidence
facts that support the truth of a statement
fallacies of logic
mistakes in reasoning that weaken an argument
moral argument
conclusion is a moral statement, has one moral and one nonmoral premise
obstacles to critical reasoning
denying contrary evidence, looking for confirming evidence, motivated reasoning, preferring available evidence, dunning-kurger effect, laws of stupidity
denying contrary evidence
rejecting evidence that contradicts ones beliefs
looking for confirming evidence
actively seeking information that supports pre-existing beliefs (confirmation bias)
motivated reasoning
forming conclusions based on what you want to believe rather than facts
preferring available evidence
giving disproportionate weight to readily available information, even if incomplete of unrepresentative
dunning-kruger effect
overestimating one’s knowledge or abilities in areas where they lack competence
laws of human stupidity
an insightful framework explaining how stupidity impacts decision-making
helpless
benefits others but harm themselves
bandits
benefit themselves by harming others
intelligent
benefit both themselves and others
stupid
harm others without benefiting themselves
first law ubiquity of stupidity
everyone inevitably underestimates the number of stupid individuals in circulation
second law independent of other qualities
the probability a certain person is stupid is independent of any other charecteristic of that person
third law harm without gain
a stupid person causes losses to others while deriving no gain and possibly incurring losses themselves
fourth law underestimating the danger
non-stupid people always underestimate the damaging power of stupid individuals
fifth law stupidity as the greatest threat
a stupid person is the most dangerous type of person
straw man
misinterpreting/oversimplifying someones arguement to make it easier to refute
appeal to the person
attacking the character/ motives of the person making an argument instead of addressing the argument itself
appeal to ignorance
claiming something is true or false because it has not yet been proven otherwise
begging the question
assuming the truth of the conclusion within the premises rather than proving it
red herring
introducing an irrelevant topic to divert attention from the actual issue
appeal to tradition
arguing that something should continue because it has always been done that way
slippery slope
asserting that a small action will inevitably lead to extreme and undesirable outcomes
sunk cost fallacy
continuing a course of action because of past investment, even if its no longer beneficial
appeal to hypocrisy
dismissing someones argument because their actions contradict their position
personal incredulity
dismissing an arguement or claim as utrue or invalid because it seems too difficult to understand or believe