Some theorists believe a fifth stage is needed to represent countries with sub-replacement fertility.
Death rates exceed birth rates in most European and East Asian nations.
Unless mass immigration continues, population aging and decline will occur in this stage.
Population growth is zero when birth and death rates are equal.
The standard of living is higher, and birth and death rates are low.
In some countries, birth rates are lower than mortality rates, resulting in population losses.
Urbanization reduces economic incentives for large families.
Urban families are increasingly discouraged from having large families as costs rise.
Female education and employment lower birth rates.
Leisure time and food are not priorities.
This stage occurs after the start of industrialization.
Hygiene, medical advances, sanitation, cleaner water, vaccinations, and higher education lower the death rate, resulting in a significant population increase.
Population rises rapidly.
Poor agricultural practices, pestilence, and living conditions make food scarce and medical care is poor.
High birth rates replace high mortality, resulting in low population growth.
Sub-Saharan Africa has 54% of the world's AIDS-HIV cases but only 6% of the population.
Currently ~ 7.5 billion humans.
In 1650 C.E., the growth rate was ~ 0.1%.
Today it is ~ 1.2%.
Planetary Management
~ 600 million humans.
Plagues reduced population growth rate.
Up to 25% mortality rates are attributed to the plagues that reached their peak in the mid-1600s.
~ 500 million humans.
Population rate increased during the Middle Ages because new habitats were discovered.
Factors that reduced population growth rate during this time were famines, wars, and disease
Frontier Worldview
~ 200 million humans.
Rate of population growth during this period was about 0.03 to 0.05%, compared with today’s growth rate of 1.3%.
Frontier Worldview
~ 50 million humans.
Increases due to advances in agriculture, domestication of animals, and the end of a nomadic lifestyle.
Earth Wisdom
~ 1 million to 3 million humans.
Hunter-gatherer lifestyle.
Earth Wisdom
Not endangered
Have many offspring and tend to overproduce
Low parental care
Mature rapidly
Population size limited by density-independent limiting factors, including climate, weather, natural disasters, and requirements for growth
Short-lived
Tend to be prey
Tend to be small
Type III survivor curve
Wide fluctuations in population density
Most endangered
Have few offspring
High parental care
Mature slowly
Density-dependent limiting factors to population growth stem from intraspecific competition and include competition, predation, parasitism, and migration
Long-lived
Tend to be predator and prey
Tend to be larger
Type I or II survivor curve
Population size stabilizes near the carrying capacity.
Able to use a variety of environmental resources
Adaptable to a wide range of environments
Have a high level (range) of tolerance
Have an advantage when environmental conditions change
Less likely to be extinct
Use specific set of resources
Less adaptable due to specialized needs
Have a low level of tolerance
Easily affected when environmental conditions change
More likely to become extinct