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Measuring Economic Growth: Circular Flow Model
Households - provide resources (like human labor), earn income
Businesses - provide products, earn profit
Measuring Economic Growth: The Business Cycle
Periods of expansion, recession, and depression
Relationship between GDP, CPI and unemployment
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
the value of all final goods and services produced within a nation in a year
What does not count in our GDP?
Intermediate goods, double counting, non market transactions, underground economy
Intermediate goods
goods used to produce final goods - DONT COUNT
Double counting
items sold more than once in a production year
Nonmarket transaction
unpaid labor
Underground economy
illegal activity or under the table practices
What is used to calculate GDP
Consumer spending, investment spending, government spending, net exports
Consumer spending
money spent by households (consumers)
Investment spending
Money spend by businesses
Government spending
money spent by the government
Net exports
Gross exports minus gross imports
Calculating GDP
Consumer + Imports + Government + (exports - imports)
Consumer price index (CPI)
A measure of the average of the prices paid by consumers for a fixed market basket of consumer goods and services.
Calculating CPI
(Cost of CPI basket at current price/ Cost of CPI basket at base period price) * 100
Real
Adjusting the value of money for inflation
Nominal
The actual amount of money, the actual dollar amount
Nominal Income
the amount you are actually making
Real Income
the amount you are actually making taking into consideration inflation
Nominal Income vs Real Income Formula
Nominal Income/ CPI in hundredths = real income
Nominal GDP
States GDP in terms of the current value of goods and services
Real GDP
States GDP corrected for changes in price year to year (taking out inflation)
Nominal GDP vs Real GDP Formula
Nominal GDP/ CPI in hundredths = real GDP
Calculating Unemployment rate
= Unemployed/Labor Force
Formula for Labor Force
= Unemployed (over 16) + employed (over 16)
Employed
People who work for pay at least one hour a week
Unemployed
People who are out of work, but looking for work
Out of labor force
people who are not seeking employment
discouraged workers
people who are out of work and have given up looking for work
These people are no longer considered unemployed, therefore not part of labor force
Natural rate of unemployment
There will always be workers switching jobs, working seasonally or being replaced by technology. The unemployment rate can never be zero
Considered full employment when unemployment rate is around 4% to 6%
What is considered full employment?
Nearly everyone who wants a job can find one
lowest sustainable unemployment rate
Types of unemployment
Frictional, Structural, Seasonal, Cyclical
Frictional
When someone is unemployed short term either voluntarily or involuntarily - finishing college, fired - least troublesome
Structural
When the economy changes to create job loss for a skill no longer in demand - technology replaces
Seasonal
Unemployment for jobs that have a particular season during the calendar year - lifeguard - doesn’t affect published employment rate
Cyclical
Jobs are lost and gained as the business cycle improves and worsens - company downsizes - last as long as it takes to get through the recession
The circular flow model is
A tool that economists use to understand how market economies operate
Product market
The market where goods and services are bought and sold
Factor (Resource) Market
The market for the factor of production (Land, Labor, Capital and entrepreneurial ability)
the resource that almost every household provides to businesses is
Labor
The business cycle is
the periodic rise and fall in economic activity
What is an extended period of high unemployment and limited business activity called?
Depression
Would economic growth lead to an increase in real GDP or a decrease in real GDP?
Increase
A contraction lasting two or more quarters is called?
Recession
Are jobs easier to find during economic expansion or economic contraction?
economic expansion
People considered to be unemployed are
actively looking
What unemployment rate is considered full employment?
4% - 6%
What is treason why cloth made in the US would NOT be counted as part of the nation’s GDP for that year (cloth is used to make clothes)?
Intermediate goods
Difference between GDP and GNP
GDP - US only, GNP - Everywhere
What type of spending would the purchase of chicken, socks and dentist visits be classified as?
Consumer Spending
Cars produced but not sold, new capital (machines) purchased, and buying of stocks/bonds in a given year would be classified as which type of spending?
Investment spending
How do you find the value of net exports?
Export - Import
If consumption increases by 800 billion and imports increases by 800 billion, then GDP will do what?
Doesn’t change
How is real GDP different than just GDP?
Real GDP adjust for inflation
What is the best measure of a nation’s economic growth?
GDP
A sustained rise in the level of prices or a sustained fall in buying power is known as?
inflation
What does inflation do to the value of the dollar?
brings it down
If the current year CPI is 125, then the amount of inflation since the base year has risen what percent? (hint, what is always the base year CPI))
25%
Your income increases 82000(2011) to 90000 (2012). The CPI from 2011 to 2012 is 110. Did you gain or lose buying power?
Calculate real income - lost buying power
Relationship between CPI, UE and GDP
High GDP = Low UE and vice vera
CPI high = inflation
Explain how the circular flow model works
Households provide resources (mainly Human Resources) to businesses in order to earn income
Businesses purchase these resources, from households to produce goods and services
Businesses produce goods/services consumers want in order to make a profit
Households ultimately use their income to purchase goods/services they want