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Experts & Authorities
Convenient, but may be biased or unreliable.
Personal Experience & Common Sense
Intuitive but prone to cognitive bias and error.
Media & Popular Messages
Driven by attention; often misleading or oversimplified.
Ideological Beliefs & Values
Can distort or suppress scientific knowledge.
Overgeneralization
Assuming personal experience applies to all cases.
Selective Observation
Only noticing info that supports your beliefs.
Premature Closure
Accepting answers too quickly.
Halo Effect
Credibility based on reputation, not merit.
False Consensus
Assuming others share your views.
Attention Economy
Drives media to be sensational, clickbait-driven.
Confirmation Bias
Media reinforces existing beliefs, narrows perspectives.
Disinformation Types
Satire, false connection, misleading, false context, imposter, manipulated, fabricated.
Conspiracy Theories
Claims major events are due to secret plots; reject science.
Science
Systematic, evidence-based knowledge production.
Political Science
Studies human behavior, institutions, using scientific methods.
Theories
Logically consistent, not opinion-based.
Empirical Data
Observable, measurable evidence.
Scientific Norms
Universalism, skepticism, disinterestedness, communalism, honesty.
Empiricism
Knowledge from observation.
Determinism
Events have causes.
Objectivity
Bias should be minimized.
Replication
Results must be testable and repeatable.
Measurement Issues
Some things are hard to quantify.
Subjectivity
Total objectivity is impossible.
Unreliable Responses
People may misreport or lie.
Interpretivism
Focuses on meaning and context.
Normative Research
Studies what ought to be.
Indigenous Methods
Centers traditional knowledge, responds to colonial misuse.
Intuition
Fast, emotional, habitual thinking.
Scientific Thinking
Logic + empirical rules.
Induction
Observe → Generalize.
Deduction
Theory → Predict specific outcome.
Epistemology
What counts as knowledge?
Ontology
What is reality?
David Hume
Problem of induction: past doesn’t guarantee future.
Karl Popper
Science = falsifiable theories, not just confirmations.
Paul Feyerabend
Science progresses by breaking rules.
Thomas Kuhn
Science = revolutions + paradigm shifts.
Relativism
Reality is socially constructed and interpreted.
Descriptive Questions
What does the world look like?
Causal Questions
Why does the world look like that?
Prescriptive Questions
What should the world look like?
Good Research Questions
Precise, falsifiable, testable, clear scope, empirical, relevant.
Arguments in Political Science
Abstract complex reality, test ideas, build understanding.
Descriptive Arguments
Describe political phenomena.
Descriptive Subtypes
Indicators, syntheses, typologies, associations.
Causal Arguments
X (cause) → Y (outcome).
Conditions for Causality
Causal mechanism, time order, correlation, no confounders.
X-Centered Questions
What is the effect of X on Y?
Y-Centered Questions
What explains outcome Y?
Deterministic Argument
If X, then always Y.
Probabilistic Argument
If X, then Y is more likely.
Sufficient Condition
X alone causes Y.
Necessary Condition
Y can’t happen without X.
Both Sufficient & Necessary
X is required and enough for Y.
Explanation
Understand why Y happens.
Prediction
Forecast Y, even if X doesn’t cause it.