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Falsifiability
New discoveries can overturn old findings.
Positivism
Generating and testing theory, accumulating facts, and searching for truth.
Interpretivism
All “facts” are social, there is no real truth.
Democratic Backsliding
A decline in the quality of democratic governance, often involving reduced citizen rights, weakened institutions, and less government accountability.
Deductive Research
Process moves from theory to hypothesis to data. (top-down approach)
Inductive Research
Process moves from data to empirical patterns to theory. (bottom-up approach)
Research Design
Overall plan of a study for collecting and analyzing data.
Units of Analysis
Cases or entities that are being studied.
Independent Variable
Variable expected to account for variation in the dependent variable. (explanatory variable)
Dependent Variable
Variable to be explained by the research. (outcome variable)
Causality
Established with association, temporal order, non-spuriousness, and a plausible mechanism.
Non-spuriousness
The association is not caused by an outside third variable.
Plausible Mechanism
Some realistic way for the independent variable to actually influence the dependent variable.
Conceptualization
Clarify and define concepts.
Operationalization
Switch from abstract concept to something observable and measurable.
Manipulated Experiment
When variables in an experiment are treated to produce results.
Measured/observational Experiment
Data that is naturally collected rather than manipulated.
Nominal Measurement of Data
Classification
Ordinal Measurement of Data
Classification and rank order
Interval Measurement of Data
Classification, rank order, and equal intervals (ex: numbers)
Ratio Measurement of Data
Classification, rank order, equal intervals, and nonarbitrary zero (ex: percentages, rates)
Validity
Accuracy; measuring what you want to measure; getting the right answer.
Subjective Validity
Seems valid on the “face” of it.
Convergent Validity
Compares well with other well-established measures of same concept.
Construct Validity
Associated with other variables (measures of other concepts) in expected ways.
Reliability
Consistency; getting the same answer across time and contexts.
Test-retest Reliability
Same answers from same persons (or units) at different times.
Alternative Forms
Comparable answers to different phrasing.
Inter-rater Reliability
Same answers from different observers.
Systematic Error
Error that is consistently biased in one direction; cased by factors that influence the process of measurement or concept being measured.
Random Error
Unpredictable error; without a consistent direction; caused by temporary and chance factors.
Generalizability
The extent to which the findings from a particular study hold true to the larger population outside of the study.
Target Population
The exact population to which the research wants to generalize.
Probability Sampling
The probability of selection into sample is known for all members of the population.
Simple Random Samples
Number of cases selected at random, probability is the same for every case in the population.
Stratified Random Sample
Members of the population are divided into strata (homogenous groups) based on some relevant characteristic, a sample frame is created for each strata.
Cluster Samples
Identify “clusters” of cases, such as geographic units, make a sampling frame of all clusters, randomly or proportionately select some of the clusters.
Clusters
Naturally occurring, diverse groups of cases in the population.
Non-probability sampling
Probability of selection into sample is NOT known for members of the population.
Snowball Samples
Rare or hard to talk to individuals using social networks.
Theoretical sample
Used to develop aspects of emerging theory.
Saturation
The point at which new data stops providing new information.
Sampling Frame
List of all possible members of the target population.
Best number of samples to gather in order to produce valid results?
1500-2500
Coverage Error
Sampling error due to mismatch between target population and sampling frame (example of systematic error).
Belmont Ethical Principles
Respect for persons, beneficence, and justice.
Hawthorne Effect
People behave differently when they know they are being observed.
Institutional Review Board (IRB)
Panel of judgement that participant’s rights are protected and comply with federal regulations; exist at nearly all U.S. colleges and universities (and other institutions).
“Backfire Effect”
Corrections to misinformation can actually strengthen misperceptions among the most strongly committed subjects.
Counterfactual
If x=y, then -x=-y (what would happen if the cause didn’t happen).
Sampling
The process of defining and selecting cases.
Mills Method of Agreement
select cases that have same value of outcome variable (all positive cases)
Mills Method of Difference
compare positive and negative cases
Most Similar System
choose cases that are similar in all confounding (control) variables but differ on values of a key explanatory variable
Most Different System
choose cases that take on very different values of multiple independent variables.
Most Likely Case Design
if the theory would work anywhere, it would work here.
Least likely Case Design
if the theory works here, it should hold everywhere.
Process Tracing
look for intervening causal mechanisms linking identified variables to the event of interest
Cross-sectional Surveys
Data collected at one point in time
Retrospective Cross-sectional Surveys
Data collected at one point in time, asking about the past
Longitudinal Surveys
Data collected at more than one point in time
Trend Study
repeated cross-sectional surveys with different samples; shows change in time over a population
Panel Study
repeated surveys of the same sample; shows change over time in individuals
Metadata
additional data that can be drawn from respondent’s reactions to questions, etc.
Intensive in-depth Interviews
each interview is tailored to each respondent
Structured in-depth Interviews
each respondent is asked same basic set of questions
Interview Guide
list of topics and specific questions
“Grand Tour” Question
asks for a general description of the people, processes, or events being studied
Ethnography
research method in which social phenomena and processes are observed in their natural setting as they happen
Emic Perspective
truly understand insider’s perspective
Etic Perspective
still be the outsider who can see the big picture
Reflexivity
practice of reflecting on how a researcher’s own characteristics may shape the research
Non-reactive Measures
measures in which the subject does not know they are being measured
Ecological Fallacies
making claims at one level of analysis, but collecting data at another level of analysis
Content Analysis
set of procedures used to systematically analyze symbolic content of usually pre-existing texts, images, and communications to make inferences about the senders, messages, and audiences
Open Coding
What themes appear in a subset of data?
Focused Coding
Narrow down themes from the open coding into a set of focused codes to apply to the data.
Attribute Coding
Code content based on non-thematic characteristics.
Codebook
definitions and lists of codes
Dictionary
particular words, phrases, or other word-based indicators for AI/computers to use in order to code
Mixed Methods
using both qualitative and quantitative methods in the same project
Triangulation
using multiple methods or measures that do not share the same methodological weaknesses to address the same research question
Four purposes of multiple methods design:
triangulation, complementarity, development, expansion
External Validity
extent to which experiment findings are generalizable to the real world
Equifinality
the same outcome can come from multiple cases
Multifinality
one cause can lead to multiple outcomes
Experimental Studies
when the researcher deliberately manipulates the potential cause and then observes the effects of those manipulations
Observational Studies
when the researcher only observes what is already going on
Tendencies
mean, median, mode
Variance
standard deviation, histograms
Correlation
how related are the data within the data set
β (Beta)
the slope of the line that best fits the pattern of data we used to estimate the equation (should consider the sign, sureness, and size of each β)
Positive (direct) Relationship
increase in x = increase in y
Negative (inverse) Relationship
increase in x = decrease in y
Sureness
when p value is less than 0.5
Reverse Causation
the dependent variable influences the independent variable