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🌍 8/25 Lecture - How Do We Think About International Politics?
: State (definition in IR)
: A central authority with the ability to make and enforce laws within a given territory.
: Sovereignty
: Ultimate authority over people and territory; no higher power can tell the state what to do.
: Is Rice University a state?
: No — it is subject to higher state authorities (Houston, Texas, U.S.).
: Is the UN a state?
: No — the UN cannot enforce laws; it only coordinates state action and makes recommendations.
: International Anarchy
: The absence of a central authority above states; no world government to enforce rules.
: Central IR Puzzle
: Can states cooperate under anarchy (without a higher authority)?
: Example of Anarchy - South China Sea
: Competing claims over resource-rich sea; China ignored UNCLOS ruling, showing limits of international authority.
: Model in International Politics
: A simplified representation of political processes and interactions to understand and test theories.
: Actors
: Individuals or groups with interests — e.g., states, politicians, firms, organizations.
: Interests (examples)
: Security and power, economic welfare, moral or ideological goals.
: Rational Choice Framework
: Actors weigh costs and benefits to choose actions that best achieve their interests.
: Strategic Interactions
: An actor's best choice depends on what they think others will do.
🔒 9/3 - Prisoner's Dilemma & Cooperation
: Prisoner's Dilemma (PD)
: A game showing why two rational actors might not cooperate even if it's in their best interest.
: PD Equilibrium
: Both defect (go to jail for 5 years) — even though mutual cooperation is better.
: Cooperation (definition)
: When two or more actors adopt policies that make at least one better off without making others worse off.
: IR Application of PD
: Explains why states struggle to cooperate (like China and the Philippines in the South China Sea).
🏛 9/8 - Institutions & Cooperation
: Institution (definition)
: A set of rules that structure interactions in specific ways (formal or informal).
: Examples of Institutions
: Congress, treaties, UN, NATO, NPT.
: Why Institutions Exist
: To facilitate cooperation and help states overcome collective action problems.
: How Institutions Promote Cooperation
:
Create standards of behavior
Verify compliance
Reduce costs of decision-making
Resolve disputes
: Example - NPT (Non-Proliferation Treaty)
: Prevents spread of nuclear weapons; offers nuclear tech to non-nuclear states in return.
: Why Institutions Don't Always Work
:
No enforcement power under anarchy
Biased toward powerful states
: Why States Comply Anyway
: Cooperation brings long-term gains and using existing institutions is cheaper than creating new ones.
⚔️ 9/10 - What Causes War?
: War (definition)
: Organized use of military force between at least two parties, with 1,000+ battle deaths.
: Types of War
: Interstate (state vs state) and Civil/Intrastate (govt vs rebel).
: Crisis Bargaining
: Using threats or coercive diplomacy to gain concessions ("comply, or else").
: Bargaining Range
: Set of deals both sides prefer to war; exists if war is costly and the good is divisible.
: Security Dilemma
: Defensive measures by one state make others feel insecure, leading to arms races.
: Deterrence
: Threat of force to preserve the status quo ("don't do X, or else").
💣 9/15-9/17 - Why Bargaining Fails
: Incomplete Information
: States lack info about opponents' capabilities or resolve, leading to miscalculation and war.
: Capabilities
: A state's military strength or likelihood of victory.
: Resolve
: A state's willingness to fight for an issue.
: Credible Commitment Problem
: No authority to enforce agreements; states can't trust each other to stick to deals.
: Preventive War
: War fought to stop an adversary from growing stronger.
: Preemptive War
: War started to prevent an imminent attack.
: Indivisible Goods
: Goods that cannot be divided without losing value (rare).
🏠 9/22 - Domestic Actors and War
: Rally Effect
: Public support for the government increases after a dramatic event like war.
: Why Leaders Go to War
: To maintain power, distract from domestic issues, or boost legitimacy.
: Bureaucratic Interests
: Bureaucrats (esp. military) may push for war to gain budget or influence.
: Interest Groups
: Private actors that lobby for wars that serve their interests (e.g., oil companies).
: Hawkish vs Dovish Leaders
: Hawks favor aggressive policies; Doves prefer peaceful solutions.
🕊 9/24 - Why Don't Democracies Fight Each Other?
: Democratic Peace Hypothesis
: Democracies are less likely to go to war with one another.
: Democracy (definition)
: A political system with fair, regular elections and significant popular participation.
: Why Democracies Avoid War (4 Reasons)
:
High audience costs increase bargaining range.
Greater transparency reduces misinformation.
Credible communication reduces escalation.
Shared norms favor peaceful dispute resolution.
: Limits of Democratic Peace Theory
:
Not all democracies are stable
Publics don't always want peace
Correlation doesn't equal causation
9/29 - Why Do States Form Alliances?
: Alliance (definition)
: Institution where members promise military cooperation in case of war.
: Types of Alliances
:
Defensive (help if attacked)
Offensive (ally to attack another)
Symmetrical (equal contributions)
Asymmetrical (unequal contributions)
: Reasons to Join Alliances
: Shared interests, increased capabilities, credible signaling, sphere of influence.
: Entrapment
: Being dragged into an unwanted war by an ally's actions.
: Abandonment
: Failing to help an ally when promised.
: Effective Alliances Require
: Willingness to fight and credible commitment.
🇺🇳 10/1 - Can the UN Keep the Peace?
: Collective Security Organization
: Broad institution promoting peace among all members (e.g., the UN).
: Alliance vs Collective Security Org
: Alliances address specific threats; CSOs address all aggression broadly.
: UN Charter
: Members promise not to use force and to seek UN help in resolving disputes.
: UN Security Council
: 15 members (5 permanent with veto power); makes decisions on peace and security.
: Collective Action Problem (UN)
: All benefit from peace, but not all contribute to maintaining it (free rider problem).
: When Does the UN Work Best?
:
When P5 powers agree.
When members are willing to pay costs of enforcement.
: Peacekeeping vs Peace-Enforcement
:
Peacekeeping: After conflict, prevent restart.
Peace-Enforcement: Intervene during conflict to impose peace.
📘 10/6 - Midterm Review Highlights
: Bargaining Model Variables
: Cost of war, probability of victory, and value of the good affect the bargaining range.
: Domestic Actors in War
: Leaders, public, bureaucrats, interest groups — all affect decisions differently.
: Alliances vs Collective Security
: Alliances ensure mutual defense; CSOs promote general world peace.
: Key Takeaway
: Institutions and cooperation only work when states want them to — IR is built on incentives, not enforcement.