Lecture Notes on Statistical Tests and Intervals

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Flashcards on Z-tests, T-tests, and Confidence Intervals

Economics

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30 Terms

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Z-Test

is used when the population standard deviation is known and the sample size is large (n ≥ 30).

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T-Test

is used when the population standard deviation is unknown, the sample size is small (n < 30), and the sample is assumed to come from a normally distributed population.

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Type I Error

False Positive) occurs when the null hypothesis (H0) is rejected when it is actually true.

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Type II Error

False Negative) occurs when the null hypothesis (H0) is not rejected when it is actually false.

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Excel for Z-Test

In Excel, use NORM.S.DIST for cumulative distribution and NORM.S.INV for inverse (critical value) calculations.

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Excel for T-Test

In Excel, use T.DIST for cumulative probability and T.INV.2T for the critical t-value.

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Critical Z-Value

is used to determine the threshold for rejecting the null hypothesis at a given confidence level.

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Sample Size

A Z-Test is appropriate for large sample sizes (n ≥ 30), while a T-Test is used for small sample sizes (n < 30).

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Z-Test Application

is used when the population standard deviation (σ) is known and the sample size is large (n ≥ 30).

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T-Test Application

is used when the population standard deviation (σ) is unknown, the sample size is small (n < 30), and the sample is assumed to come from a normally distributed population.

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Critical Z-Value in Excel

Use the function NORM.S.INV(probability) to find the z-value for a given confidence level.

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Critical Z-Value Example

For a 95% confidence level (α = 0.05), use the formula =NORM.S.INV(0.025).

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Critical T-Value in Excel

Use the function T.INV.2T(probability, degreesoffreedom) to find the critical t-value for a given confidence level and degrees of freedom.

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Critical T-Value Example

For a 95% confidence level and 10 degrees of freedom, use the formula =T.INV.2T(0.05, 10).

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T-Distribution

is used when the sample size is small and/or the population standard deviation is unknown. It is similar to the normal distribution but has heavier tails to account for increased uncertainty with small samples.

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Degrees of Freedom

(df) is calculated as df = n - 1, where n is the sample size.

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Critical T-Value Significance

is used to determine the threshold for statistical significance based on a given confidence level and degrees of freedom.

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Finding Critical T-Value

You can find the critical t-value using a t-distribution table or Excel's T.INV.2T function.

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Excel Function for T-Value

The function is T.DIST(x, degreesoffreedom, cumulative), which finds the cumulative probability for a given t-value.

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T.DIST Example

To find the cumulative probability for a t-value of 2 with 10 degrees of freedom, use T.DIST(2, 10, TRUE).

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Confidence Interval

gives a range of values that likely contains the population parameter.

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Confidence Interval Formula

CI = x̄ ± tα/2 × (s/√n) where x̄ is the sample mean, tα/2 is the critical t-value based on the desired confidence level, s is the sample standard deviation, and n is the sample size.

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Confidence Interval Components

x̄ is the sample mean, tα/2 is the critical t-value for the confidence level, s is the sample standard deviation, and n is the sample size.

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Margin of Error

Critical t-value × (s/√n).

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Excel Function - Margin of Error

= T.INV.2T(0.05, degreesoffreedom) × (s/√DEV.S(range)/SQRT(COUNT(range))).

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Critical T-Value Dependence

depends on the desired confidence level.

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Sample Size Impact

A larger sample size decreases the margin of error, resulting in a narrower confidence interval.

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Sample Mean Significance

The sample mean (x̄) serves as the central point around which the confidence interval is constructed.

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Sample Standard Deviation Role

The sample standard deviation (s) measures the variability of the sample data, influencing the width of the confidence interval.

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