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1960s
women joining workforce
move to services
structural unemployment
automation of labour and technology
12-8.5% unemployment
before 2000s
4.35% cash rate
Decade before GFC (Resources Boom)
average economic growth 3.7%
peak of economic growth 5.7%
inflation 9%+
unemployment 5%
7.35% cash rate
2000-2001
introduction of GST
inflation 6% jump
China joins WTO
sticky unemployment fall
GFC
no recession (one quarter of negative economic growth)
fiscal spending of $52 billion
1.5% economic growth
5% inflation
projected 4.25-8% unemployment
only 5.8% unemployment due to $52 billion fiscal stimulus
3% cash rate
2010-2012 Renewed Resources Boom
2.6-3.6% inflation
2014-2019 global uncertainty
economic growth consistently below 3%
6.5% unemployment
Morrison government return to surplus
inappropriate fiscal stance
require expansionary monetary stance
low inflationary pressures
income gini 0.328
1.5% cash rate
COVID 2020
recession -0.3% to -7% economic growth
3.4% economic growth after recession
overall -1.1% economic growth
1.6% inflation
7.5% unemployment
jobkeeper stopped from going to 15%
8.5% underemployment
hours cut rather than firing
fiscal 200B+ spending
jobkeeper 90B+/year
$1500 fortnight
0.1% cash rate
COVID 2021
4.2% economic growth
2021-2022 7.8% inflation
3.5% unemployment
+3.4 CA surplus
2022
2.7 economic growth
net foreign debt 52.5% of GDP
net foreign liabilities 36.9% of GDP
4.35% cash rate
2023
1.5% economic growth
$250.3 B social and security welfare fiscal
net foreign liabilities 32% down from peak 63% in 2016
2024
0.8 to 1.3% economic growth
net foreign debt 55% of gdp
Current
inflation 2.5%
14 million workers
unemployment 4.1%
underutilization 10.7%
NAIRU fall to 4%
inflation fall
interest rate fall
albanese revision of tax percentage to stage 3 tax cuts
32.5-20%
19%-16%
minimum wage $24.95
$0.65 USD : $1 AUD
-3.1% CAD
52% net foreign debt
3.85% cash rate
2018
stage 3 tax cuts
$ 300B for stage 3 in 7 years
stage 2/3 benefit top 10% of earners
Debt
almost $10 trillion across sectors in economy
$3.7 trillion household debt
average household debt $276 000
$3.3 trillion mortgage debt with average mortgage $625 000
$16.2 billion assets across economy