Financial Statement Analysis - Midterm 1 Review

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117 Terms

1

primary users of financial statements

shareholders and creditors

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cost constraint

entities only disclose information who’s benefit exceeds the cost - the disclosure of information can have costly consequences (like disclosing salaries may lead to employees demanding a raise)

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advantages of disclosing

(1) helps users make better decisions

(2) reduces the cost of capital

(3) improves information quality

(4) improve reputation

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disadvantages of disclosing

(1) cost to process, collect, and communicate the data

(2) competitive disadvantage

(3) political exposure

(4) legal exposure

(5) set expectations (precedent of certain disclosures

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unqualified opinion

the financial statements present fairly

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qualified opinion

the financial statements present fairly except for…

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adverse opinion

the financial statements do not present fairly (very rare because usually auditors quit before they get to this point)

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scope limitation

auditor cannot form an opinion

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do audits catch all mistakes

no

just because an audit presents an unqualified opinion, doesn’t mean that the auditor didn’t miss something and the financial statements may not be free from error - they just present fairly in all material aspects

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When is an error material

when it could cause a user of the financial statements to change their mind (usually 5-10% of net income for public companies)

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accounting standards board

creates GAAP and modifies existing rules as needed

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securities regulators

regulate public company financial reporting

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IFRS conceptual framework 6 guidelines

(1) relevance

(2) faithful representation

(3) verifiability

(4) comparability

(5) timeliness

(6) understandability

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3 components of faithful representation

(1) completedness

(2) neutrality

(3) freedom from error

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financial statements

Balance sheet, statement of changes in equity, cash flow statement, and income statement

Always backwards-looking, meaning they cannot contain any predictive information/projections - contain information about things that have already happened

governed by GAAP

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Management Discussion and Analysis (MD&A)

Public companies are required to publish an MD&A and laws dictate what must be included, but it is not audited like the F/S

should contain:

  • balanced discussion of good and bad news

  • information that helps investors understand what financial statements show and do not dhow

  • discussion of material information that is not reflected in the financial statement

  • discussion of both present and expected future trends/risk that impacted or may impact F/S

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Annual Report

Contains:

  • MD&A

  • audited financial statements and notes

may contain:

  • BOD letters to shareholders

  • Marketing materials (nice photos)

  • appendices of historical information

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investor targeted materials

public companies may generate various types of information targeted to investors such as investor presentations and fact books

The purpose of these documents is to provide investors with relevant information but must keep in mind that this information is compiled by management and not audited and thus subject to bias

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other name for the income statement

Profit and Loss (P+L) statement

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Grouping by function

If you can add the word “department” instead of “expense” and have it make sense, then it is likely grouped by function

Example

marketing expense → marketing department makes sense so by function

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grouping by nature

if you cannot add the word “department” instead of “expense” and have it make sense, then it is likely grouped by nature

Example

salaries expense → salaries department does not make sense so by nature

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key point of differences between companies income statements

(1) grouping by nature or by function

(2) more vs. less detailed

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recurring item

happens every year at the same predictable amount

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transitory item

non-recurring, not expected every single year (also referred to as infrequent)

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what may be management’s bias in regards to transitory vs. recurring items

to highlight transitory costs b/c those are easier to downplay to investors

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common size analysis

used to compare the F/S of companies that a different scale

expresses financial data in relation to a single item or base

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where is common size analysis typically performed

on the income statement → total revenues as base

on the balance sheet → with total assets as a base

can be preformed over time → using year x as the base year

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total comprehensive income

net income + other comprehensive income (OCI)

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quality of earnings

assesses the usefulness of reported earnings but no numerical score/quantitative measure

if current earnings are a good predictor of future earnings and cash flows → high quality of earnings

if not → low quality of earnings

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relationship between net income and cash flows

in the short run:

  • net income =/= cash flow

in the long-run

  • net income = cash flow

the more earnings diverge from CF, the lower their quality

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major sources of difference between cash and income

CAPEX, deferred revenue, stock-based compensation

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Why do investors like FCF

reminder → FCF = CFO - CFI

Because that is the money a company has to pay back debt debt and payout dividends to shareholders

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Estimates and earnings

preparation of F/S requires estimates and judgement from management. Changes in estimates affect reported income and therefore quality of earnings

  • management can use estimates to “massage results” like with cookie jar reserves

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cookie jar reserves

a technique where accounting estimates (typically pertaining to liabilities (ex. lawsuit liability)) are used to create reserves of income that can be drawn upon in future years by reversing these liabilities

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steps to creating a cookie jar reserve

(1) overestimate liability in Year 1 and record a higher expense (on the basis of being “conservative”)

(2) reverse excess liability to boost future income when needed

note: hard to do this with one big liability without it being spotted but with lots of little liabilities it is almost impossible to detect.

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earnings management

When operational decisions are made for the purpose of manipulating the F/S → difficult to detect because accounting is correct

Earnings management exploits GAAP’s flexibility and is done to accomplish an objective

  • all companies engage in some form of earnings management

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Objectives of earning’s management

(1) maximize income - management/users may benefit from higher reporting results for financing, compensation, and other items

(2) minimize income - for private companies, lower income means lower taxes and public companies may want to seem less successful to not tempt competitors or to avoid scrutiny

(3) “taking a bath” - very large reported losses, usually generated from writing off assets, “cleaning up” the balance sheet making future years look better (for example, lower depreciation)

(4) smooth income - company may prefer to show slow and steady growth rather than volatility because this indicates lower risk and thus better financing terms and higher stock price.

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The purpose of trends

trends hint at what may happen in the future

trend analysis lets you focus what matters → i.e. is anything changing? why?

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trend analysis considerations

(1) having sufficient data points

(2) cause and effect → what is behind the trend?

(3) small numbers → trend analysis is more meaningful when the numbers are material

(4) comparing trends → can only compare comparable trends like trend in revenue, trend in profits, etc.

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limitations of ratio analysis

(1) tells you what happened but not why

(2) can return nonsense numbers, especially when dealing with negatives

(3) multiple definitions of the same ratio can exist

(4) one company that houses many different activities may make it hard to untangle the various activities from one another

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what is asset turnover dependent on

whether the industry is capital intensive as well as accounting policies like depreciation

thus, usually not particularly useful in isolation as it does not contain a profitability component

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liquidity

how quickly can you turn an asset into cash

  • example: short term investments (STIs) are easily convertible into cash

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companies with low solvency ratios are more likely to ___

go bankrupt

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issues with ROA

ROA is a lagging indicator - means that decisions made today may not show up in ROA for years

  • lag may cause management to avoid long term projects if their performance is measured based on ROA

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2 strategies to increase ROA

differentiation: high margins, low asset turover

cost leadership: low margins, high turnover

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cost structure

the mix of fixed and variable costs within an organization

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fixed cost

cost is constant as volume changes

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variable cost

cost that changes as volumes changes

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operating leverage

measures how changes in revenues affect profit

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cost structure’s impact on operating leverage

degree of operating leverage depends on organizations cost structue

  • companies with more fixed costs have higher operating leverage

  • when operating leverage is high, a small % change in revenues results in % change in profits

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when is a high degree of operating leverage good

when revenues are growing (but it is terrible when shrinking because when you’re an organization with high fixed costs it can very hard to switch to variable costs

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how can companies finance their operations (purchase assets to operate a business)

they can either use debt (leverage) or equity

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how can leverage be used to increase ROE

borrow money and invest it into the business (assets) and get those assets to generate a return (profit) and if profit generated > interest cost incurred, then owners earn a higher ROE

  • borrowing is beneficial for ROE when the after tax cost of debt is less than adjusted ROA

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when there is no financial leverage, what is the relationship between ROE and ROA

when no financial leverage, ROE = ROA

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after tax cost of debt

interest rate(1-T)

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advantages and disadvantages of increasing leverage

advantage:

  • reduce capital cost (cost of debt usually less than equity)

  • increase % returns to equity holders

disadvantage:

  • reduce financial flexibility

  • increase risk of default

  • higher interest rate

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advantages and disadvantages of decreasing leverage

advantages:

  • increase financial flexibility

  • decrease risk of default

  • lower interest rate

Disadvantages:

  • increased cost of capital (cost of equity higher than cost of debt)

  • reduced returns to equity holders

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earnings per share

measures the amount of earnings available to common shareholders

  • used for valuation purposes like the P-E multiple

  • reported on statement of profit or loss (only ratio!)

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basic EPS

EPS based on outstanding common shares

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diluted EPS

Worst case scenario for EPS by considering the potential impact of dilutive items

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can you compare earnings per share between companies

never

the amount of shares outstanding that a company has is arbitrary

the only comparison that can be made is for EPS growth over time

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relationship between diluted and basic EPS

diluted EPS will always be equal or less than EPS

diluted EPS is the conservative measure of Basic EPS → arguably, it is the best representation of a shareholder’s true economic claim

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common potentially dilutive items

  • stock based compensation

  • convertible debt

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antidilutive

items who’s inclusion would increase EPS (we only included dilutive items)

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in-the-money options will always be ___

dilutive

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out-of-the-money options will always be ___

antidilutive (but they remain potential outstanding shares)

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for diluted EPS calculation, we should assume all outstanding stock options are exercised when?

what is done with the proceeds at exercise?

at the beginning of the period

repurchase shares at market price

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What should be considered when looking at EPS

EPS is based on net income so we need to consider the quality of earnings

Since it is also based on the number of shares outstanding, when EPS changes, we must look at whether its due to a change in income or in the share units

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share capital

funds contributed by owners for shares

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retained earnings

profits not distributed to shareholders, they are retained

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contributed surplus

stock based compensation and other items

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common share possible rights

(1) voting

(2) dividends

(3) liquidation → right to proportionate share of assets remaining upon liquidation

(4) pre-emptive → right to maintain proportionate ownership in the corporation

(5) other → information, right to hold meeting, transfer of ownership

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dual class share structure

one class of shares with significant voting power and another class/classes with limited voting power

  • done to concentrate voting power amongst certain individuals and allows the access to capital markets without giving up control

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issues with dual-class share structures

(1) vote share not proportional to the capital at risk

(2) little power for minority shareholders

(3) potential for poor corporate governance

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preferred shares

separate legal class of shares from common shareholders that have a preferential claim on earnings meaning they get paid before common shareholders (but after creditors)

no voting rights

dividend can be fixed or variable, cumulative or non-cumulative

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why issue preferred shares

(1) good alternative to debt

(2) positive effect on debt-to-equity ratios

(3) positive effects on covenants that restrict debt issuance

(4) payment flexibility

(5) customizable

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downsides of preferred shares

(1) equity is riskier than debt so investors demand higher returns

(2) dividends payments are not tax deductible

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GAAP may (but does not always) require preferred shares be…

classified as debt on the balance sheet

  • this means dividend payments are expensed

This happens when the shares are

  • retractable → shareholders can force the company to repurchase the shares

  • mandatorily redeemable → company must repurchase the shares

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Capital allocation

when a company generates cash from operations it can…

  • reinvest it

  • pay down debt

  • put it back in the bank account

  • distribute to shareholders

mix of the above is the capital allocation policy

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purpose of reinvestment

to drive future growth in income and cash flow

growth in future income and CF drives growth in equity value

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purpose of shareholder distributions

shareholders may be better of investing the company’s cash themselves if they have access to higher return projects

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considerations for shareholder distributions

(1) stage in company’s life cycle

  • in young companies, little to no cash is generated from operations and if it is available CapEx opportunities are significant so shareholders do not expect distributions

  • in mature companies a lot of cash is generate and reinvestment opportunities are more limited and so shareholders expect distributions

(2) current leverage levels

(3) impact on ability to capitalize on future investment opportunities (called “dry powder”)

(4) the signal distributions send to investors

(5) investor expectations (e.g. what do competitors do? what do investors want?)

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why is dividend policy a critical capital allocation decision

because it has long term implications → it is hard to reverse and change payout policy once a precedence has been established

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dividends - what do investors want

  • balance between distributions and reinvestment

  • sustainable, predictable current dividend AND future dividend growth

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dividends - what do managers want

  • keep investor happy, tell a good story

  • maintain flexibility → hard to do with high dividends because those reduce funds for strategic projects

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why repurchase shares

  • more flexibility than dividends - they are discretionary which means they don’t really set a precedent

  • more tax efficient for investors

  • shows belief that company shares are undervalued

  • offset dilution from employee share compensation plans

  • control the company’s debt level

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Cash includes

  • cash (cash on hand, deposits)

  • cash equivalents (short-term investments (<90 days))

  • Negative cash (overdraft, short term bank indebtedness/line of credit)

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what happens when a company has too little cash

not able to pay bills, need to borrow, reputation risk

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what happens when a company has too much cash

not efficient, results in negative carry when there is debt

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statement of cash flow

measures cash generated from operating, investing, and financing activities

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Why is the statement of cash flows so useful?

(1) least effected by accounting policy choices/estimates

(2) hardest to “game” or “manipulate”

(3) paints the current picture of how a company is doing

(4) most useful for valuation purposes

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cash from operations

cash the company has earned from the principal revenue-producing activities of the entity

  • add back non cash expenses

  • remove non cash incomes

  • adjust for changes to working capital

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cash from investing

cash from the sale of assets or purchase of CapEx → pertains to non current assets and payments

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cash from financing

cash from borrowing or from the issuance ofshares

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working capital

current assets and liabilities

  • the difference between current assets and current liabilities, excluding cash and short term debt

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changes to working capital

increase in current assets → decrease in cash

decrease in current assets → increase in cash

increase in current liabilities → increase in cash

decrease in current liabilities → decrease in cash

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dividends and cash flow statement

dividend payments are not included in net income so we must remove this cash from net income for cash from financing

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relationship between distributions, debt, and FCF

when distributions > FCF → debt increases

when distributions < FCF → debt decreases

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t/f FCF is capital structure agnostic

true

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revenue

income arising in the course of an entity’s ordinary activities

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