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Operations
set of purposeful activities you do as part of a work plan to achieve pre-decided objectives
Operations Management
administration of business activities to create the highest level of efficiency possible within an organization
Supply chain network
supplier
manufacturer
distributor
retailer
customer
Supply chain costs
transportation
production
purchase
inventory
Supply chain value (net value)
= product worth - all costs
Decision phases of a supply chain
SC strategy/ decision (how to structure SC over next several years)
SC planning (decisions over the next quarter or year)
SC operation (daily or weekly operational decisions)
Strategy
a plan to achieve an objective
Competitive strategy
defines the set of customer needs a firm seeks to satisfy through its products/services relative to its competitors
4 different competitive strategies
price
variety
delivery response time
quality
Productivity
ratio of outputs divided by inputs (higher is better)
Forecasting
process of predicting future events based on historical data
Time series forecasting
predicting the future based on the past
Measures of forecast errors
MAE = |Ft - At| / N (average of absolute errors)
MAPE = average of % errors (abs Ft-At / At)
RMSE = square root of (Ft-At)² / N
Tracking signal
Ft-At/MAE (>3.75 positive bias < - 3.75 negative bias)
Process
a transformation/production process that uses resources to convert inputs into some desired output
Bottleneck
station with the longest processing time
Max output rate of a system
maximum capacity = 1 / bottleneck time
Process time of system
= bottleneck process time
process cycle time
time required for one init to move through the entire process
Completion time of system
Completion time (x) = cycle time + (x+1) (process time of system)
Process Types
simple (single sequence)
parallel
simultaneous (multiple different activities occur at the same time)
Set up times (require prep before production starts)
Throughput
= actual production rate (not max production rate)
Make to Stock (MTS)
AKA push
consists of goods
produced in advance
Prioritizes fast delivery / cost
risk is over or under stock
Make to Order (MTO)
consists of services
prioritizes flexibility
mostly consists of services
risk is queues
Components of a waiting line system
arrival characteristics (population size, behaviour, arrival timing)
Queue characteristics (length, priority)
Service pattern (number of servers, time distribution)
Customer behaviours in a queue
Balking (never joins)
Reneging (joins then leaves)
Jockeying (switches lines)
Bullwhip effect
small fluctuations in consumer demand cause progressively larger swings in inventory and orders as you move up the chain toward raw mats and manufacturers
Commonly observed patterns in the bullwhip effect
Oscillation: inventory levels and order quantities fluctuate over time
Amplification: Small changes become larger as you move up the supply chain
Delay: it takes time for the wave to travel down the whip