Experimental and behavioural economics

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30 Terms

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Experimental Method

Manipulating conditions to test cause-and-effect relationships.

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Experimental Economics

Using lab experiments to test how different market systems work in practice.

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Behavioral Economics

Combining psychology with economics to understand decision-making.

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External Validity

The validity of results outside the laboratory setting in which they were obtained.

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Internal Validity

The validity of the design of the experiment itself.

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Reproducibility

The ability to replicate experimental results in different situations

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Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs)

A study design that randomly assigns participants into an experimental group or a control group.

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Heuristics

Quick mental rules that simplify complex decisions.

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Biases

Predictable errors from overusing mental shortcuts that don't match reality.

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Prospect Theory (Kahneman and Tversky)

People weigh losses more heavily than equal gains - risk assessment isn't symmetric.

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Dual-System Thinking.

System 1: Fast choices based on heuristics

System 2: Slow choices based on rationality

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Nudge

Subtle design that guides behavior predictably while keeping all options open and easy to avoid.

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Representativeness Heuristic

People judge probability by how much A resembles B, rather than using statistical reasoning.

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Biases from Representativeness.

1. Insensitivity to prior probability outcomes (ignoring base rates).

2. Insensitivity to sample size.

3. Misconceptions about chance (gambler's fallacy).

4. Ignoring predictability when making forecasts.

5. Overconfidence from good pattern matches.

6. Not understanding regression to the mean

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Availability Heuristic

People judge frequency or probability by how easily examples come to mind.

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Biases from Availability

1. Overestimating memorable events.

2. Misjudging frequency based on ease of recall.

3. Overestimating what's easy to imagine.

4. Seeing false correlations between strongly associated ideas

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Anchoring and Adjustment

People start from an initial value (anchor) and don't adjust enough from it.

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Biases from Anchoring

1. Staying too close to the starting point (insufficient adjustment).

2. Overestimating probability of multiple things all happening (conjunction).

3. Underestimating probability of at least one thing happening (disjunction).

4. Setting confidence intervals too narrow

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Expected Utility Theory

Risk assessment (probabilities) are not symmetric. People violate axioms of expected utility.

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Passive Observation

Study behavior without intervention

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How Psychology Became Acceptable in Economics?

Rational choice was the standard despite limitations → Kahneman & Tversky's prospect theory made psychology acceptable in economics → This opened the door for broader psychological insights in the field.

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Key Psychological Insights Now in Economics?

1.Dual-system thinking (fast/heuristic vs slow/rational).

2.Prospect theory (asymmetric risk assessment).

3.Framing effects and choice architecture.

4. Recognition of systematic biases.

5. Understanding predictable deviations from rational decision-making

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What Crisis in Social Psychology?

Many experimental results cannot be reproduced, questioning the validity of findings.

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Purpose of RCTs

The random assignment ensures treatment and control groups are comparable, isolating the effect of the intervention.

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How RCTs Changed Economics

From focusing on nation-scale problems with no clear answers to smaller problems with definitive answers

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What was the Research Question of the Premand and Rohner study?

Impact of large-scale, government-led unconditional cash transfer program on violent conflict events in Niger.

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What are the Ethical Issues of RCT’s?

1. Lack of informed consent

2. Unequal treatment creating harm

3. "Bad money" rumors and social division

4. Extractive research

4. Indefinite participation

5. Interventions that harm

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What are the Methodological Issues of RCT’s?

7. Limited scope

8. Poor generalizability

9. Implementation failures

10. Research saturation

11. Data manipulation

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What are the Power Dynamics within RCT’s?

12. Colonial dynamics

13. Weak government exploitation

14. Participants as guinea pigs

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Why use experiments in economics?

Economic experiments isolate causal effects - something hard to do without controlled conditions.